PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Almaty 2 vs CHAMP1ON Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 114-61
26-18 36-7 28-17 24-19
Position#5
Record18-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#9
Record14-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.5
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - Semi-finals
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Almaty 2 v CHAMP1ON
29 Apr 2026
BC A114
CHAM61
12 Nov 2025
BC A80
CHAM65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Almaty 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CHAMP1ON winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H26/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
106-79
106
79
+27
A27/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A29/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A14/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H27/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-17
21-16
20-13
16-18
30-25
27-20
28-18
21-16
25-15
22-18
22-15
25-21
26-18
19-12
23-20
30-25
12-10
21-24
28-19
14-18
30-19
27-26
8-23
19-24
21-22
20-24
20-10
24-12
23-22
9-23
23-16
16-19
23-15
16-24
24-26
15-29
18-18
20-19
6-28
18-23
162.5Avg total
84.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.074.9156.9+7.160%
Season at home (15)83.573.5157.1+10.060%
Season away (15)80.576.3156.7+4.260%
Last 10 (10)84.578.0162.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)76.084.4160.4-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.490.6158.0-23.20%
vs Similar (2)86.593.0179.5-6.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.466.8154.2+20.690%
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A27/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H28/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A29/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A14/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H15/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
A16/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H17/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
51-104
51
104
-53
A26/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H27/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
19-25
18-18
27-19
24-15
26-18
26-23
16-22
24-16
21-22
10-22
12-18
19-20
17-19
20-20
19-10
12-28
19-24
17-20
21-10
23-17
27-22
22-14
14-27
19-26
17-25
11-23
12-14
23-24
21-21
19-19
15-17
20-26
8-32
12-22
11-24
13-24
10-14
14-16
13-17
151.9Avg total
71.0Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)72.975.5148.4-2.747%
Season at home (15)71.977.1149.0-5.340%
Season away (15)73.973.9147.8-0.153%
Last 10 (10)71.080.9151.9-9.940%
Last 5 (5)64.884.8149.6-20.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)63.882.1145.9-18.412%
vs Similar (8)85.674.6160.2+11.075%
vs Weaker (6)80.259.2139.3+21.0100%
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.8-1.8
BC Almaty 2CHAMP1ON
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H26/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A27/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A29/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Higher League
83.2Avg total
44.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.881.6+5.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.936.583.3+10.473%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 10 (10)44.538.783.2+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.847.284.0-10.525%-
vs Similar (2)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.833.680.4+13.270%-
This opponent (CHAMP1ON) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CHAMP1ONLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karaganda
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H26/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A27/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A29/03
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A14/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H15/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A16/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
28-58
28
58
-30
A26/04
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H27/04
Higher League
81.5Avg total
38.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.576.8-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.439.075.4-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)38.140.178.1-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.143.481.5-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.246.282.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.443.174.5-11.812%-
vs Similar (8)45.039.984.9+5.162%-
vs Weaker (6)42.529.572.0+13.083%-
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.0
54.1%
49.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.2
30.5%
28.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.710.9
58.3%
63.9%10.9
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CHAMP1ONtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CHAMP1ON: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.322.5
50.8%
49.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.1
26.6%
28.5%18.3
🏀 Free throws11.47.7
67.5%
63.9%7.7
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Almaty 2
LLLWLWWWWW
CHAMP1ON
LLLLWLWLWW
#5
League position
#9
+7.6
Net rating
-13.1
107.0
Offensive rating
94.0
99.4
Defensive rating
107.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
47.1%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.5%
3-point %
26.6%
52.7%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 94.0Defence99.4 · 107.2Shooting51.3% · 47.1%3-point %30.5% · 26.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ BC Almaty 2   ■ CHAMP1ON
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Almaty 2 wins
1
CHAMP1ON wins
DateGameScore
12/11/25BC Almaty 2 v CHAMP1ON80-65
26/10/25CHAMP1ON v BC Almaty 273-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk62-88
26/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk78-94
17/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk71-80
16/04/26ATigers-KazATU85-68
15/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk84-92
14/04/26ATigers-KazATU75-71
29/03/26AKaraganda98-75
28/03/26HPavlodar94-69
27/03/26AKaraganda106-79
26/03/26HPavlodar92-64
CHAMP1ONlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HTuran50-71
26/04/26ATuran51-104
17/04/26HTigers-KazATU78-81
16/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk59-88
15/04/26HTigers-KazATU86-80
14/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk69-82
29/03/26APavlodar75-69
28/03/26HKaraganda67-78
27/03/26APavlodar92-78
26/03/26HKaraganda83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL60%
HomeWWLLL60%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game82.083.580.5
Allowed / game74.973.576.3
Point differential+7.1+10.0+4.2
Avg total156.9157.1156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%60%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CHAMP1ON
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %47%40%53%
Points / game72.971.973.9
Allowed / game75.577.173.9
Point differential-2.7-5.3-0.1
Avg total148.4149.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan30300100%87.459.0+28.4
2 Shymkent3027390%95.268.8+26.4
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3025583%86.262.1+24.1
4 Aktobe3023777%81.667.7+13.9
5 Atyrau 230191163%76.170.0+6.1
6 BC Almaty 230181260%82.074.9+7.1
7 ChelSU Kostanay30151550%74.780.0-5.3
8 CHAMP1ON30141647%72.975.5-2.7
9 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Almaty 226362824114
CHAMP1ON187171961
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.