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Kataja vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 78-73
15-28 17-13 21-18 25-14
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.1
Kataja 🏆
Finland
vs
Position#5
Record9-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game82.6
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena (Joensuu)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kataja v Karhu Basket
05 Dec 2026
KAT v KAH
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
KAT101
KAH80
02 Apr 2026
KAT92
KAH71
27 Mar 2026
KAT85
KAH60
21 Jan 2026
KAT76
KAH62
15 Apr 2025
KAT87
KAH99
09 Apr 2025
KAT82
KAH96
08 Mar 2025
KAT82
KAH75
08 Jan 2025
KAT92
KAH90
02 Mar 2024
KAT84
KAH92
03 Jan 2024
KAT78
KAH73
01 Mar 2023
KAT75
KAH79
19 Nov 2022
KAT71
KAH81
19 Jan 2022
KAT78
KAH106
31 Oct 2020
KAT82
KAH77
26 Feb 2020
KAT89
KAH95
09 Nov 2019
KAT80
KAH106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
L
92-105
92
105
-13
79avg 72
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
75-92
75
92
-17
55avg 72
A18/11
Korisliiga
Levice
#32
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 72
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
78avg 72
H25/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
103-96
103
96
+7
98avg 72
A29/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
88-69
88
69
+19
86avg 72
A06/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
L
76-77
76
77
-1
69avg 72
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
79-68
79
68
+11
72avg 72
A16/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
80-123
80
123
-43
61avg 72
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
72avg 72
H30/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
30-26
14-30
26-23
16-26
25-18
17-16
17-32
26-23
19-29
28-21
19-10
22-26
26-19
21-27
19-14
24-20
30-23
26-30
23-23
22-18
27-20
19-20
20-11
26-15
17-16
17-15
16-31
15-22
18-13
19-9
27-24
23-26
19-42
21-33
17-22
17-24
27-19
29-19
8-30
174.5Avg total
85.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.883.1165.8-0.356%
Season at home (7)83.981.7165.6+2.157%
Season away (9)81.984.1166.0-2.256%
Last 10 (10)85.489.1174.5-3.750%
Last 5 (5)80.885.8166.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.292.1170.3-13.97%
vs Similar (14)82.576.5159.0+6.071%
vs Weaker (2)95.591.0186.5+4.5100%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
L
68-77
68
77
-9
49avg 76
A18/11
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 76
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
100-109
100
109
-9
99avg 76
A29/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
111-116 OT
111
116
-5
no box
H02/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
91-84
91
84
+7
87avg 76
A09/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
89-79
89
79
+10
83avg 76
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 76
A19/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
106-65
106
65
+41
109avg 76
H22/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 76
H28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
79avg 76
A30/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
23-26
11-15
20-15
18-12
17-21
14-22
31-30
31-28
19-31
22-17
28-33
27-20
19-25
20-21
22-22
31-16
20-24
21-18
19-26
29-20
22-23
24-23
14-13
26-22
21-19
22-16
20-20
24-20
34-14
29-13
19-18
20-24
30-25
29-18
15-23
29-19
15-22
22-22
21-30
179.0Avg total
91.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.882.6170.4+5.253%
Season at home (8)92.080.6172.6+11.462%
Season away (9)84.084.3168.3-0.344%
Last 10 (10)91.587.5179.0+4.050%
Last 5 (5)93.080.8173.8+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.085.2164.2-6.217%
vs Similar (16)82.185.2167.2-3.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.078.9169.9+12.157%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.1-2.1
KatajaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#17
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A18/11
Korisliiga
Levice
#32
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H25/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A29/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A06/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A16/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A28/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H30/12
Korisliiga
90.2Avg total
45.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.084.2+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.985.3+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.143.183.2-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)45.145.190.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.243.085.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.345.987.1-4.636%-
vs Similar (14)42.037.879.8+4.257%-
vs Weaker (2)51.044.095.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/11
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A29/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H02/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A09/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H16/12
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H22/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/12
Korisliiga
90.1Avg total
46.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.782.5+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.379.7+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.285.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.290.1+3.780%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.691.6+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.337.374.7+0.050%-
vs Similar (16)41.841.783.5+0.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.641.788.3+4.957%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.4
49.1%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.510.5
34.4%
33.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.713.9
70.6%
73.5%13.9
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.0
54.3%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.7
35.5%
33.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.514.5
70.7%
73.5%14.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
LLWLWWWWLL
Karhu Basket
LWWWWWLLLL
#7
League position
#5
-5.3
Net rating
+4.7
109.2
Offensive rating
112.6
114.5
Defensive rating
107.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
35.5%
56.2%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 112.6Defence114.5 · 107.9Shooting50.2% · 53.9%3-point %34.4% · 35.5%Ball care13.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kataja   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kataja wins
9
Karhu Basket wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Karhu Basket v Kataja88-80
04/03/23Karhu Basket v Kataja79-64
01/03/23Kataja v Karhu Basket75-79
18/01/23Karhu Basket v Kataja95-59
19/11/22Kataja v Karhu Basket71-81
19/01/22Kataja v Karhu Basket78-106
13/11/21Karhu Basket v Kataja92-67
06/02/21Karhu Basket v Kataja84-80
31/10/20Kataja v Karhu Basket82-77
26/02/20Kataja v Karhu Basket89-95
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HSalon Vilpas81-92
28/12/23ABC Nokia80-123
16/12/23APyrinto Tampere79-68
09/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket76-77
06/12/23AKobrat88-69
29/11/23ALahti Basketball103-96
25/11/23HBisons Loimaa88-86
22/11/23HLevice92-83
18/11/23AHelsinki Seagulls75-92
15/11/23ACSM Oradea92-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AHelsinki Seagulls87-93
28/12/23HKouvot Kouvola94-90
22/12/23HKTP Kotka Basket106-65
19/12/23ALahti Basketball89-77
16/12/23HSalon Vilpas89-79
09/12/23ABC Nokia91-84
02/12/23HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki111-116 OT
29/11/23APyrinto Tampere100-109
22/11/23HAEK Larnaca80-85
18/11/23AKobrat68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game82.883.981.9
Allowed / game83.181.784.1
Point differential-0.3+2.1-2.2
Avg total165.8165.6166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game87.892.084.0
Allowed / game82.680.684.3
Point differential+5.2+11.4-0.3
Avg total170.4172.6168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1716194%95.478.1+17.4
2 BC Nokia1712571%90.684.5+6.1
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1610662%89.889.1+0.8
4 Kataja169756%82.883.1-0.3
5 Karhu Basket179853%87.882.6+5.2
6 Salon Vilpas179853%85.284.8+0.4
7 Kouvot Kouvola178947%90.389.4+0.9
8 KTP Kotka Basket178947%85.487.3-1.9
9 Kobrat167944%81.781.9-0.2
10 Pyrinto Tampere1751229%80.188.0-7.9
11 Bisons Loimaa1641225%84.190.4-6.3
12 Lahti Basketball1731418%86.9101.3-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja1517212578
Karhu Basket2813181473
← all games of the day
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