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BC Nokia vs Karhu Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:42
Final 71-79
20-22 20-23 18-16 13-18
Position#5
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FinlandKorisliigaRound 1· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Other2024-25
Meetings · BC Nokia v Karhu Basket
04 Oct 2024
NOK71
KAH79
14 Feb 2024
NOK92
KAH83
09 Dec 2023
NOK84
KAH91
04 Nov 2022
NOK76
KAH86
05 Feb 2022
NOK75
KAH82
21 Mar 2021
NOK86
KAH80
16 Mar 2021
NOK69
KAH78
27 Feb 2021
NOK75
KAH99
09 Mar 2020
NOK63
KAH87
26 Nov 2019
NOK81
KAH72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kataja
#7
L
90-104
90
104
-14
85avg 79
A03/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
75-74
75
74
+1
72avg 79
H05/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
69-63
69
63
+6
62avg 79
A08/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
85-60
85
60
+25
85avg 79
H10/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 79
A12/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
65avg 79
H15/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
45avg 79
A18/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
88-65
88
65
+23
82avg 79
H21/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 79
A24/05
Korisliiga
Rilski Sportist
#17
L
64-71
64
71
-7
49avg 79
A17/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
26-19
23-28
20-30
16-23
18-13
15-24
26-14
16-12
17-16
22-11
14-24
25-18
13-13
27-11
20-18
18-20
18-31
16-20
27-14
22-20
17-13
17-23
16-19
10-17
20-17
14-12
13-31
20-15
34-20
15-16
19-14
20-21
15-23
15-12
26-19
17-21
15-21
16-15
16-14
150.4Avg total
75.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.574.9150.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)71.472.6144.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.775.3151.0+0.344%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.185.2169.3-1.156%
vs Weaker (11)85.582.9168.4+2.564%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
76-97
76
97
-21
74avg 77
A11/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
90avg 77
H13/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
88avg 77
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 77
H22/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 77
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
50-67
50
67
-17
44avg 77
H27/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
71avg 77
A29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
78-73
78
73
+5
68avg 77
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
91-100
91
100
-9
80avg 77
A04/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
95avg 77
H11/05
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-25
21-28
18-21
19-22
18-15
21-16
18-23
24-20
22-19
19-18
23-24
14-19
24-12
13-25
22-24
18-20
24-21
20-20
22-20
9-19
19-13
5-16
17-19
16-24
16-16
25-22
19-19
28-13
17-21
13-19
20-20
19-24
24-23
18-25
30-28
19-20
25-22
28-15
25-16
162.7Avg total
80.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.582.2162.7-1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.478.8157.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.183.7163.8-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.580.8163.3+1.664%
vs Weaker (9)88.675.3163.9+13.267%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
BC NokiaKarhu Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H05/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A08/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H10/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A12/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H15/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H21/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A24/05
Korisliiga
Rilski Sportist
#17
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/09
Champions League
75.8Avg total
37.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.879.6-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.780.9+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)37.441.078.4-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.075.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.675.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.038.176.1-0.144%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.045.286.2-4.222%-
vs Weaker (11)41.036.677.6+4.482%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A11/04
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A18/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H22/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A24/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H27/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A29/04
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H02/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A04/05
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/05
Korisliiga
78.3Avg total
39.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.237.778.9+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.240.381.5+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.178.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.077.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.838.878.6+1.064%-
vs Weaker (9)44.137.881.9+6.378%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.0
48.4%
51.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.5
33.6%
34.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws12.58.8
70.4%
73.9%8.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.2
50.1%
51.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.210.8
31.6%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
73.9%12.7
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LWWLLLWWWL
Karhu Basket
WLWLLWLWWL
#5
League position
#2
+0.3
Net rating
-2.3
99.3
Offensive rating
108.6
99.1
Defensive rating
110.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
31.6%
57.5%
Assist %
70.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 108.6Defence99.1 · 110.9Shooting49.2% · 48.8%3-point %33.6% · 31.6%Ball care15.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds23.8% · 36.9%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Karhu Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
BC Nokia wins
7
Karhu Basket wins
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/24ARilski Sportist64-71
24/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-75
21/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls88-65
18/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls57-77
15/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls72-75
12/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls79-85
10/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls85-60
08/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls69-63
05/05/24HKataja75-74
03/05/24AKataja90-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HKataja97-73
04/05/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-100
02/05/24HHelsinki Seagulls78-73
29/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls76-81
27/04/24HHelsinki Seagulls50-67
24/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls84-81
22/04/24HHelsinki Seagulls73-80
18/04/24AHelsinki Seagulls88-81
13/04/24HSalon Vilpas92-89 OT
11/04/24ASalon Vilpas76-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kataja110100%100.066.0+34.0
2 Kouvot Kouvola110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki110100%86.074.0+12.0
4 Helsinki Seagulls110100%94.085.0+9.0
5 Salon Vilpas1010%85.094.0-9.0
6 Bisons Loimaa1010%74.086.0-12.0
7 Kobrat1010%76.089.0-13.0
8 Pyrinto Tampere1010%66.0100.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2020181371
Karhu Basket2223161879
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