PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Nokia vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-76
25-16 16-22 23-22 26-16
Position#5
Record7-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game85.3
vs
Position#11
Record4-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game88.7
FinlandKorisliigaRound 20· AGCO Power Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · BC Nokia v KTP Kotka Basket
28 Jan 2025
NOK61
KTP 98
07 Jan 2025
NOK90
KTP 76
03 Feb 2024
NOK100
KTP 94
16 Dec 2022
NOK73
KTP 71
02 Oct 2021
NOK88
KTP 86
06 Feb 2021
NOK101
KTP 87
15 Jan 2020
NOK77
KTP 86
04 Oct 2019
NOK72
KTP 85
13 Apr 2019
NOK101
KTP 89
16 Mar 2019
NOK89
KTP 78
25 Mar 2018
NOK92
KTP 83
30 Dec 2017
NOK66
KTP 77
25 Feb 2017
NOK85
KTP 84
23 Nov 2016
NOK94
KTP 75
30 Dec 2015
NOK95
KTP 62
04 Oct 2015
NOK85
KTP 76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 77
H15/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 77
A04/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
81-101
81
101
-20
51avg 77
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 77
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 77
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
101-86
101
86
+15
98avg 77
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
110avg 77
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
84avg 77
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
98-64
98
64
+34
103avg 77
H30/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
78avg 77
A03/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-20
22-16
12-21
25-18
18-25
18-31
24-17
24-27
13-25
20-23
24-26
24-22
32-27
25-26
26-17
17-24
21-24
20-20
22-22
21-29
33-10
22-24
25-23
25-23
33-15
25-13
16-21
23-20
16-28
24-25
26-34
18-12
27-16
30-23
23-13
22-31
20-17
20-27
19-17
176.8Avg total
89.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.785.3168.9-1.637%
Season at home (9)85.381.9167.2+3.456%
Season away (10)82.288.3170.5-6.120%
Last 10 (10)89.387.5176.8+1.840%
Last 5 (5)93.684.2177.8+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.975.8152.7+1.156%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.986.8169.7-3.823%
vs Weaker (7)85.983.0168.9+2.957%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
88-99
88
99
-11
71avg 75
A15/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 75
H29/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
92-96
92
96
-4
81avg 75
H03/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 75
A07/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
87-98
87
98
-11
76avg 75
A15/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
70avg 75
H18/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
88-106
88
106
-18
75avg 75
A21/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
92avg 75
H28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 75
A30/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 75
H03/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
21-25
12-23
23-26
17-15
21-26
19-12
23-12
19-29
21-26
21-23
31-18
26-16
20-18
10-24
14-18
25-19
24-23
18-29
20-27
22-31
21-28
19-22
21-17
27-24
17-21
22-29
22-32
17-18
21-21
32-15
24-18
29-25
16-35
22-16
22-24
19-26
19-21
14-21
33-22
175.6Avg total
85.6Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.788.7174.5-3.021%
Season at home (10)85.282.6167.8+2.640%
Season away (9)86.395.6181.9-9.20%
Last 10 (10)85.690.0175.6-4.420%
Last 5 (5)87.893.2181.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.591.4178.9-3.925%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.889.1174.9-3.226%
vs Weaker (3)89.795.7185.3-6.033%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -4.3-4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.9+1.9
BC NokiaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H30/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/01
Korisliiga
88.6Avg total
45.0Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.782.3-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.139.983.1+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)38.243.381.6-5.125%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.688.6+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.287.8+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.739.777.3-2.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.545.286.8-3.723%-
vs Weaker (7)43.637.981.4+5.771%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A15/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H29/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H03/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H18/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A30/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H03/01
Korisliiga
90.6Avg total
43.4Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.745.187.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.444.585.9-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)43.945.789.7-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)43.447.290.6-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.650.091.6-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.149.193.2-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.442.383.7-0.847%-
vs Weaker (3)46.752.399.0-5.70%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 88.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.4
54.9%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.2
40.5%
34.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.612.9
77.7%
73.9%12.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.615.3
50.0%
51.9%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.313.1
38.2%
34.2%39.3
🏀 Free throws18.014.9
82.8%
73.9%14.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LWLWWLWLLL
KTP Kotka Basket
LLWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#11
+2.3
Net rating
-5.9
119.2
Offensive rating
113.4
116.9
Defensive rating
119.3
57.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.6%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
40.5%
3-point %
38.2%
58.3%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 113.4Defence116.9 · 119.3Shooting57.1% · 53.9%3-point %40.5% · 38.2%Ball care16.3% · 18.6%Off. rebounds33.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ BC Nokia   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BC Nokia wins
3
KTP Kotka Basket wins
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25AHonka81-92
30/12/24HBisons Loimaa98-64
28/12/24AHelsinki Seagulls89-107
21/12/24HKobrat99-72
18/12/24HPyrinto Tampere101-86
13/12/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki80-90
10/12/24ASalon Vilpas107-92
07/12/24HKataja81-101
04/12/24AKarhu Basket85-91
15/11/24HKouvot Kouvola72-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HPyrinto Tampere85-90
30/12/24AKarhu Basket89-100
28/12/24HKataja94-72
21/12/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki88-106
18/12/24HSalon Vilpas83-98
15/12/24AKouvot Kouvola87-98
07/12/24ABisons Loimaa70-76
03/12/24HHonka92-96
29/11/24HKobrat80-65
15/11/24AHelsinki Seagulls88-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL37%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%56%20%
Points / game83.785.382.2
Allowed / game85.381.988.3
Point differential-1.6+3.4-6.1
Avg total168.9167.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%11%0%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%40%0%
Points / game85.785.286.3
Allowed / game88.782.695.6
Point differential-3.0+2.6-9.2
Avg total174.5167.8181.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%10%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1917289%96.783.2+13.5
2 Kataja1913668%90.385.3+5.0
3 Karhu Basket1913668%82.980.4+2.5
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki1911858%82.182.2-0.1
5 Pyrinto Tampere1911858%83.384.1-0.8
6 Salon Vilpas1910953%85.984.1+1.8
7 Bisons Loimaa1910953%79.978.4+1.5
8 Honka1981142%83.686.2-2.6
9 Kouvot Kouvola1981142%80.485.4-4.9
10 BC Nokia1971237%83.785.3-1.6
11 KTP Kotka Basket1941521%85.788.7-3.0
12 Kobrat1921711%77.688.8-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2516232690
KTP Kotka Basket1622221676
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.