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KTP Kotka Basket vs Kataja Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-72
17-18 21-21 32-15 24-18
Position#11
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#3
Record12-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game85.8
FinlandKorisliigaRound 17· Steveco-Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja
30 Dec 2026
KTP v KAT
upcoming
03 Oct 2025
KTP 74
KAT77
28 Dec 2024
KTP 94
KAT72
08 Oct 2023
KTP 67
KAT68
10 Apr 2023
KTP 94
KAT66
02 Apr 2023
KTP 77
KAT70
27 Jan 2023
KTP 86
KAT83
04 Oct 2022
KTP 90
KAT76
19 Oct 2021
KTP 57
KAT86
14 Oct 2020
KTP 97
KAT96
10 Feb 2020
KTP 84
KAT80
02 Dec 2019
KTP 100
KAT82
27 Apr 2019
KTP 96
KAT80
22 Apr 2019
KTP 98
KAT95
29 Mar 2019
KTP 100
KAT79
21 Dec 2018
KTP 79
KAT77
02 Mar 2018
KTP 89
KAT63
17 Nov 2017
KTP 68
KAT76
10 Feb 2017
KTP 79
KAT82
04 Nov 2016
KTP 68
KAT78
02 Mar 2016
KTP 92
KAT85
10 Jan 2016
KTP 100
KAT112
13 Feb 2015
KTP 74
KAT65
24 Oct 2014
KTP 97
KAT95
29 Mar 2014
KTP 62
KAT76
30 Dec 2013
KTP 100
KAT84
02 May 2013
KTP 73
KAT60
27 Apr 2013
KTP 90
KAT84
22 Feb 2013
KTP 92
KAT78
04 Jan 2013
KTP 88
KAT99
09 Mar 2012
KTP 105
KAT87
30 Nov 2011
KTP 83
KAT89
17 Apr 2011
KTP 100
KAT83
12 Apr 2011
KTP 73
KAT98
28 Jan 2011
KTP 81
KAT93
23 Oct 2010
KTP 85
KAT75
12 Mar 2010
KTP 74
KAT88
09 Dec 2009
KTP 70
KAT78
28 Jan 2009
KTP 87
KAT76
03 Nov 2008
KTP 85
KAT88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KTP Kotka Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
79-61
79
61
+18
66avg 74
H01/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
89-91
89
91
-2
87avg 74
A06/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
82-77
82
77
+5
67avg 74
H12/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
88-99
88
99
-11
71avg 74
A15/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 74
H29/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
92-96
92
96
-4
81avg 74
H03/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 74
A07/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
87-98
87
98
-11
76avg 74
A15/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
70avg 74
H18/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
88-106
88
106
-18
75avg 74
A21/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
15-11
28-21
22-11
24-17
21-22
20-28
24-24
21-13
19-26
19-14
23-24
32-25
21-25
12-23
23-26
17-15
21-26
19-12
23-12
19-29
21-26
21-23
31-18
26-16
20-18
10-24
14-18
25-19
24-23
18-29
20-27
22-31
21-28
19-22
21-17
27-24
17-21
22-29
22-32
170.5Avg total
83.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.189.0174.1-3.919%
Season at home (8)84.183.0167.1+1.138%
Season away (8)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)83.886.7170.5-2.930%
Last 5 (5)84.094.8178.8-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.694.2178.9-9.612%
vs Similar (19)84.889.2174.0-4.326%
vs Weaker (3)89.795.7185.3-6.033%
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
94-68
94
68
+26
86avg 78
A01/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
116-114 OT
116
114
+2
110avg 78
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
101-78
101
78
+23
101avg 78
A09/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 78
A16/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
72-95
72
95
-23
58avg 78
A29/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
91-97
91
97
-6
85avg 78
H04/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
101-81
101
81
+20
98avg 78
A07/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 78
H14/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
86-69
86
69
+17
86avg 78
A18/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
92avg 78
H21/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
16-17
31-21
22-17
22-26
20-31
31-20
27-23
25-11
21-27
28-18
27-22
23-18
18-25
24-21
20-14
24-27
20-19
9-25
19-24
24-23
27-21
25-28
15-25
27-24
25-13
23-20
26-24
27-27
16-23
23-22
18-24
19-12
24-25
25-20
18-12
27-22
15-21
21-24
29-20
178.5Avg total
92.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.885.8178.6+7.075%
Season at home (7)96.191.6187.7+4.671%
Season away (9)90.281.3171.6+8.978%
Last 10 (10)92.286.3178.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)90.886.0176.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)82.289.9172.1-7.727%
vs Similar (10)87.785.6173.3+2.170%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.481.1174.6+12.389%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.6+1.6
KTP Kotka BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A06/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A15/11
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H29/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H03/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A07/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H18/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/12
Korisliiga
86.0Avg total
42.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.345.487.7-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.845.186.9-3.443%-
Last 30 away (16)42.745.788.4-3.044%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.386.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.091.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.450.193.5-6.850%-
vs Similar (19)41.142.483.5-1.347%-
vs Weaker (3)46.752.399.0-5.70%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/11
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H06/11
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A09/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H04/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A07/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H14/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A18/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H21/12
Korisliiga
87.0Avg total
44.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.142.484.5-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.744.688.3-0.938%-
Last 30 away (17)40.940.881.6+0.135%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.288.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.842.681.5-3.818%-
vs Similar (10)41.742.784.4-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.641.988.4+4.756%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.5
50.6%
51.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.312.4
36.2%
34.2%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
73.9%12.8
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.4
53.8%
51.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.8
38.7%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
73.9%17.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KTP Kotka Basket
LLLLLWLWLW
Kataja
WWLWLLWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-3.9
Net rating
+7.1
112.5
Offensive rating
117.0
116.4
Defensive rating
110.0
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
38.7%
56.4%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 117.0Defence116.4 · 110.0Shooting52.5% · 55.5%3-point %36.2% · 38.7%Ball care15.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ KTP Kotka Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
KTP Kotka Basket wins
5
Kataja wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki88-106
18/12/24HSalon Vilpas83-98
15/12/24AKouvot Kouvola87-98
07/12/24ABisons Loimaa70-76
03/12/24HHonka92-96
29/11/24HKobrat80-65
15/11/24AHelsinki Seagulls88-99
12/11/24HBC Nokia82-77
06/11/24APyrinto Tampere89-91
01/11/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-61
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HKouvot Kouvola92-87
18/12/24AKobrat86-69
14/12/24HHelsinki Seagulls84-96
07/12/24ABC Nokia101-81
04/12/24HPyrinto Tampere91-97
29/11/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-95
16/11/24ABisons Loimaa85-78
09/11/24AKarhu Basket101-78
06/11/24HSalon Vilpas116-114 OT
01/11/24AKouvot Kouvola94-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %19%38%0%
Points / game85.184.186.0
Allowed / game89.083.095.0
Point differential-3.9+1.1-9.0
Avg total174.1167.1181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %75%71%78%
Points / game92.896.190.2
Allowed / game85.891.681.3
Point differential+7.0+4.6+8.9
Avg total178.6187.7171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%14%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1715288%96.883.4+13.4
2 Kataja1612475%92.885.8+7.0
3 Karhu Basket1711665%82.380.3+2.0
4 Bisons Loimaa1710759%81.277.4+3.8
5 Pyrinto Tampere1710759%84.284.1+0.2
6 Salon Vilpas179853%86.884.7+2.1
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki168850%80.283.0-2.8
8 Honka167944%83.786.5-2.8
9 Kouvot Kouvola1771041%80.685.6-5.0
10 BC Nokia1761135%83.086.1-3.1
11 KTP Kotka Basket1631319%85.189.0-3.9
12 Kobrat1721512%76.086.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KTP Kotka Basket1721322494
Kataja1821151872
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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