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BC Nokia vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-75
25-24 20-18 20-22 17-11
Position#5
Record8-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Position#4
Record12-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.9
FinlandKorisliigaRound 22· AGCO Power Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · BC Nokia v Salon Vilpas
18 Jan 2025
NOK82
SVI75
09 Mar 2024
NOK91
SVI87
13 Oct 2023
NOK84
SVI90
26 Nov 2022
NOK103
SVI101
31 Oct 2021
NOK100
SVI97
13 Nov 2020
NOK84
SVI66
28 Jan 2020
NOK77
SVI84
21 Oct 2019
NOK73
SVI83
22 Apr 2019
NOK70
SVI88
04 Jan 2019
NOK80
SVI99
14 Nov 2018
NOK86
SVI89
01 Apr 2018
NOK65
SVI114
11 Oct 2017
NOK94
SVI84
22 Feb 2017
NOK98
SVI97
30 Nov 2016
NOK83
SVI90
10 Jan 2016
NOK83
SVI74
11 Oct 2015
NOK87
SVI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC NokiaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNokia
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
L
81-101
81
101
-20
51avg 76
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
107-92
107
92
+15
104avg 76
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
68avg 76
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
101-86
101
86
+15
98avg 76
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
99-72
99
72
+27
110avg 76
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
89-107
89
107
-18
84avg 76
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
98-64
98
64
+34
103avg 76
H30/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
78avg 76
A03/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 76
H07/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
80-98
80
98
-18
70avg 76
A14/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
13-25
20-23
24-26
24-22
32-27
25-26
26-17
17-24
21-24
20-20
22-22
21-29
33-10
22-24
25-23
25-23
33-15
25-13
16-21
23-20
16-28
24-25
26-34
18-12
27-16
30-23
23-13
22-31
20-17
20-27
19-17
25-16
16-22
23-22
26-16
24-18
22-25
12-24
22-31
178.4Avg total
90.6Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.885.4169.2-1.638%
Season at home (10)85.881.3167.1+4.560%
Season away (11)82.089.2171.2-7.218%
Last 10 (10)90.687.8178.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)87.687.4175.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.975.8152.7+1.156%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.286.8170.0-3.627%
vs Weaker (5)84.276.8161.0+7.480%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
79avg 76
A06/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
92-107
92
107
-15
82avg 76
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 76
H13/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 76
A18/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
65avg 76
A21/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
61-87
61
87
-26
47avg 76
A28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
67avg 76
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
64avg 76
H04/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
72avg 76
A08/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
90avg 76
H15/01
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
22-20
18-25
28-15
22-24
27-32
26-25
17-26
30-9
22-24
16-21
23-25
31-22
28-21
22-19
17-21
24-11
15-19
22-23
10-22
14-21
13-21
16-26
18-19
20-20
21-29
22-15
16-21
17-21
14-20
21-14
26-18
23-18
15-17
25-19
19-23
25-12
16-22
24-31
25-21
165.4Avg total
82.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.083.9169.8+2.157%
Season at home (11)86.682.5169.2+4.164%
Season away (10)85.285.3170.5-0.150%
Last 10 (10)82.383.1165.4-0.860%
Last 5 (5)78.081.6159.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.394.7182.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.383.6168.9+1.748%
vs Weaker (6)82.580.2162.7+2.383%
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
BC NokiaSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC NokiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/12
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A10/12
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/12
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H18/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H21/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A28/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H30/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A03/01
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/01
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A14/01
Korisliiga
88.7Avg total
45.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.581.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.839.782.5+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)38.243.181.3-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)45.643.188.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.083.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.739.777.3-2.044%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.844.686.4-2.833%-
vs Weaker (5)42.435.678.0+6.860%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobrat
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A18/12
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A21/12
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/12
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H30/12
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H04/01
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A08/01
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/01
Korisliiga
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.982.4+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.781.8-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.840.182.9+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.281.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.275.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.051.7100.7-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)41.240.281.5+1.048%-
vs Weaker (6)38.537.876.3+0.750%-
This opponent (BC Nokia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.5
55.8%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.7
41.1%
34.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
73.9%13.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.4
35.3%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
73.9%14.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia
LWLWLWWLWL
Salon Vilpas
WWWLLLWWLW
#5
League position
#4
+3.7
Net rating
-0.8
121.4
Offensive rating
111.3
117.7
Defensive rating
112.1
57.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
41.1%
3-point %
35.3%
56.9%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence121.4 · 111.3Defence117.7 · 112.1Shooting57.9% · 51.3%3-point %41.1% · 35.3%Ball care16.3% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ BC Nokia   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
BC Nokia wins
3
Salon Vilpas wins
BC Nokialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25AKouvot Kouvola80-98
07/01/25HKTP Kotka Basket90-76
03/01/25AHonka81-92
30/12/24HBisons Loimaa98-64
28/12/24AHelsinki Seagulls89-107
21/12/24HKobrat99-72
18/12/24HPyrinto Tampere101-86
13/12/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki80-90
10/12/24ASalon Vilpas107-92
07/12/24HKataja81-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HPyrinto Tampere90-86
08/01/25AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82-77
04/01/25HKataja78-73
30/12/24HKouvot Kouvola79-85
28/12/24ABisons Loimaa61-87
21/12/24AKarhu Basket71-75
18/12/24AKTP Kotka Basket98-83
13/12/24HHonka91-79
10/12/24HBC Nokia92-107
06/12/24AKobrat81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game83.885.882.0
Allowed / game85.481.389.2
Point differential-1.6+4.5-7.2
Avg total169.2167.1171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game86.086.685.2
Allowed / game83.982.585.3
Point differential+2.1+4.1-0.1
Avg total169.8169.2170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls2119290%97.583.0+14.5
2 Kataja2115671%90.985.2+5.7
3 Karhu Basket2114767%82.780.0+2.7
4 Salon Vilpas2112957%86.083.9+2.1
5 Pyrinto Tampere2112957%83.784.3-0.6
6 Bisons Loimaa21111052%80.478.9+1.5
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki21111052%80.881.7-0.9
8 Honka2191243%83.986.8-2.9
9 Kouvot Kouvola2191243%81.485.3-4.0
10 BC Nokia2181338%83.885.4-1.6
11 KTP Kotka Basket2141719%85.190.0-4.9
12 Kobrat2121910%77.589.1-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia2520201782
Salon Vilpas2418221175
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