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Karhu Basket vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-71
11-24 19-15 23-22 22-10
Position#2
Record9-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game80.9
vs
Position#4
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.2
FinlandKorisliigaRound 18· IKH Areena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas
30 Dec 2026
KAH v SVI
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAH73
SVI98
20 Dec 2025
KAH79
SVI74
19 Mar 2025
KAH85
SVI83
21 Dec 2024
KAH75
SVI71
13 Apr 2024
KAH92
SVI89
08 Apr 2024
KAH97
SVI92
17 Feb 2024
KAH77
SVI70
16 Dec 2023
KAH89
SVI79
25 Apr 2023
KAH100
SVI88
20 Apr 2023
KAH87
SVI90
14 Apr 2023
KAH80
SVI63
11 Feb 2023
KAH101
SVI60
05 Oct 2022
KAH82
SVI73
11 May 2022
KAH90
SVI67
06 May 2022
KAH82
SVI81
02 May 2022
KAH90
SVI68
16 Mar 2022
KAH76
SVI88
06 Oct 2021
KAH99
SVI85
25 Apr 2021
KAH92
SVI73
21 Apr 2021
KAH83
SVI71
15 Apr 2021
KAH89
SVI96
06 Jan 2021
KAH76
SVI86
14 Mar 2020
KAH v SVI
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KAH70
SVI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
89avg 74
H26/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
68avg 74
A02/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
60avg 74
H06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
78-101
78
101
-23
58avg 74
H09/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
78avg 74
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
56avg 74
H29/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 74
H04/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
69-99
69
99
-30
46avg 74
A10/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
88-61
88
61
+27
79avg 74
H14/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
76-96
76
96
-20
69avg 74
A17/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
21-20
22-17
31-4
23-11
19-19
27-12
7-18
17-22
25-22
20-17
16-20
11-25
27-21
18-28
22-27
24-20
25-26
18-24
24-19
8-30
16-14
29-18
20-16
18-25
25-18
31-18
17-24
26-27
10-21
20-28
13-23
21-18
18-13
24-18
25-12
31-25
19-29
13-17
13-25
163.5Avg total
81.5Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.280.9163.1+1.360%
Season at home (8)83.577.1160.6+6.462%
Season away (7)80.785.3166.0-4.657%
Last 10 (10)81.582.0163.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.483.8163.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.682.2158.8-5.744%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.082.0163.0-1.060%
vs Weaker (11)83.578.4161.9+5.255%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 79
H26/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
60-76
60
76
-16
52avg 79
H02/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
114-116 OT
114
116
-2
105avg 79
A06/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
109-61
109
61
+48
110avg 79
H09/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
98-81
98
81
+17
98avg 79
A16/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
99-102
99
102
-3
89avg 79
H04/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
79avg 79
A06/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
92-107
92
107
-15
82avg 79
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
90avg 79
H13/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 79
A18/12
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
11-18
21-17
22-23
11-23
19-19
12-27
18-7
26-22
31-20
20-31
23-27
22-11
26-26
29-16
32-8
20-19
28-22
28-17
22-23
28-27
26-29
22-19
23-27
13-19
22-20
18-25
28-15
22-24
27-32
26-25
17-26
30-9
22-24
16-21
23-25
31-22
28-21
22-19
17-21
177.6Avg total
91.9Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.685.2174.8+4.460%
Season at home (8)88.283.0171.2+5.262%
Season away (7)91.187.7178.9+3.457%
Last 10 (10)91.985.7177.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)92.290.0182.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.290.8179.0-2.525%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.282.5167.8+2.748%
vs Weaker (5)86.878.8165.6+8.0100%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
Karhu BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kouvot Kouvola
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H26/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A02/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H06/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H29/11
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/12
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H14/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A17/12
Korisliiga
84.0Avg total
40.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.181.1-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.179.3-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.282.9-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.584.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.082.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.738.777.3+0.056%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.539.478.9+0.150%-
vs Weaker (11)41.544.786.2-3.336%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#9
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H26/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H02/11
Korisliiga
Kataja
#3
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A06/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#6
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/11
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A16/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H04/12
Korisliiga
Kobrat
#12
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/12
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#5
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H10/12
Korisliiga
Honka
#10
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/12
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#11
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A18/12
Korisliiga
88.8Avg total
46.6Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.141.682.7-0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)44.841.286.0+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)46.642.288.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.845.495.2+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.848.897.5+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)42.141.183.2+1.048%-
vs Weaker (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.1
49.6%
51.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.5
33.2%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.913.0
65.3%
73.9%13.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.0 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.3
56.4%
51.9%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.0
39.8%
34.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.214.8
77.1%
73.9%14.8
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
LWLWLWLLWW
Salon Vilpas
WWLWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#4
-0.1
Net rating
+7.2
108.0
Offensive rating
120.3
108.2
Defensive rating
113.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.2%
3-point %
39.8%
53.8%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 120.3Defence108.2 · 113.1Shooting49.7% · 57.5%3-point %33.2% · 39.8%Ball care15.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.7% · 34.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karhu Basket wins
2
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AHonka76-96
14/12/24HKobrat88-61
10/12/24AHelsinki Seagulls69-99
04/12/24HBC Nokia91-85
29/11/24HPyrinto Tampere73-78
16/11/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki91-89
09/11/24HKataja78-101
06/11/24HBisons Loimaa78-81
02/11/24ASalon Vilpas76-60
26/10/24HKouvot Kouvola95-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AKTP Kotka Basket98-83
13/12/24HHonka91-79
10/12/24HBC Nokia92-107
06/12/24AKobrat81-79
04/12/24HHelsinki Seagulls99-102
16/11/24APyrinto Tampere98-81
09/11/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki109-61
06/11/24AKataja114-116 OT
02/11/24HKarhu Basket60-76
26/10/24HBisons Loimaa77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game82.283.580.7
Allowed / game80.977.185.3
Point differential+1.3+6.4-4.6
Avg total163.1160.6166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWLLW62%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game89.688.291.1
Allowed / game85.283.087.7
Point differential+4.4+5.2+3.4
Avg total174.8171.2178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls1614288%96.283.1+13.1
2 Kataja1612475%92.885.8+7.0
3 Salon Vilpas159660%89.685.2+4.4
4 Karhu Basket159660%82.280.9+1.3
5 Bisons Loimaa169756%80.878.4+2.4
6 Pyrinto Tampere158753%83.884.8-1.0
7 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki168850%80.283.0-2.8
8 Honka157847%84.486.4-2.0
9 Kouvot Kouvola167944%80.785.3-4.6
10 BC Nokia1661038%82.684.8-2.2
11 KTP Kotka Basket1631319%85.189.0-3.9
12 Kobrat1621412%75.586.9-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1119232275
Salon Vilpas2415221071
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