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BC Nokia W vs LePy W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 85-62
23-20 20-13 15-18 27-11
Position#1
Record18-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game60.2
BC Nokia W 🏆
Finland
vs
LePy W
Finland
Position#11
Record8-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game56.5
Allowed / game62.5
FinlandI Divisioona Women· Harjuniityn Liikuntahalli
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Nokia W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LePy W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Nokia WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
W
84-52
84
52
+32
80avg 68
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
76avg 68
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 68
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
87-66
87
66
+21
86avg 68
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
76-55
76
55
+21
64avg 68
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
65avg 68
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
101-42
101
42
+59
106avg 68
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
89-67
89
67
+22
74avg 68
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
74-58
74
58
+16
72avg 68
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
71-49
71
49
+22
59avg 68
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
25-17
21-7
16-10
20-16
27-17
18-18
22-14
28-14
8-21
22-21
17-11
22-17
21-11
24-13
20-25
25-12
19-13
17-7
15-23
20-20
22-25
16-17
16-17
31-13
24-6
27-9
19-14
16-14
27-22
21-15
25-16
15-12
24-16
22-14
13-16
23-14
12-14
15-12
21-9
141.8Avg total
81.8Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.360.2137.6+17.190%
Season at home (10)77.758.1135.8+19.6100%
Season away (10)77.062.4139.4+14.680%
Last 10 (10)81.860.0141.8+21.890%
Last 5 (5)81.859.0140.8+22.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)62.476.6139.0-14.220%
vs Similar (3)77.085.3162.3-8.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)77.360.1137.5+17.291%
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
55-64
55
64
-9
43avg 46
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
W
83-72
83
72
+11
78avg 46
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
71-73
71
73
-2
72avg 46
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 46
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
57-70
57
70
-13
52avg 46
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
64-62
64
62
+2
53avg 46
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
47-63
47
63
-16
28avg 46
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
54-69
54
69
-15
45avg 46
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
16avg 46
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
35avg 46
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
16-10
12-13
12-17
18-27
25-19
21-16
19-10
9-24
25-15
24-10
13-24
20-17
17-15
16-10
10-11
12-13
15-27
17-10
13-20
19-17
19-20
16-10
10-15
6-20
14-11
16-15
11-17
12-21
17-20
14-17
11-11
7-18
11-2
11-9
4-13
12-14
9-6
7-12
17-6
117.8Avg total
57.2Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)56.562.5119.0-6.140%
Season at home (10)52.762.6115.3-9.930%
Season away (10)60.262.5122.7-2.350%
Last 10 (10)57.260.6117.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)48.654.8103.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)53.864.2118.0-10.538%
vs Similar (9)54.660.9115.4-6.322%
vs Weaker (3)69.363.0132.3+6.3100%
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.4-2.4
BC Nokia WLePy W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Nokia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Korihait W
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Tapiolan Honka II W
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
HBA W
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
55-19
55
19
+36
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A03/03
I Divisioona Women
74.3Avg total
43.1Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.971.6+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.832.371.1+6.562%-
Last 30 away (14)36.335.872.1+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)43.131.274.3+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)42.831.274.0+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.639.471.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (3)36.347.083.3-10.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.230.970.1+8.373%-
This opponent (LePy W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LePy WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turun NMKY W
#4
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H17/12
I Divisioona Women
Korihait W
#15
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
I Divisioona Women
Pantterit W
#14
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/01
I Divisioona Women
Espoo Team II W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/01
I Divisioona Women
Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H28/01
I Divisioona Women
Kataja W
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/02
I Divisioona Women
Jyvaskyla BA W
#10
L
20-31
20
31
-11
H11/02
I Divisioona Women
Pyrinto II W
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A18/02
I Divisioona Women
Lappeenranta W
#6
L
18-20
18
20
-2
H25/02
I Divisioona Women
Lahti Basketball W
#7
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H03/03
I Divisioona Women
63.8Avg total
29.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)29.434.563.9-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (10)27.133.260.3-6.130%-
Last 30 away (10)31.735.967.6-4.230%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.063.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)25.229.855.0-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)27.936.864.6-8.925%-
vs Similar (9)27.931.759.6-3.822%-
vs Weaker (3)38.037.375.3+0.767%-
This opponent (BC Nokia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Nokia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Nokia W: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.020.9
47.5%
40.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.99.5
30.7%
24.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.710.5
59.3%
63.2%10.5
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LePy Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LePy W: 58.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.114.6
38.3%
40.2%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.85.8
23.4%
24.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws17.811.6
65.2%
63.2%11.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Nokia W
WWWWLWWWWW
LePy W
WLLLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#11
+25.4
Net rating
-2.1
97.0
Offensive rating
75.0
71.5
Defensive rating
77.1
46.9%
Effective FG%
37.0%
36.1%
Opp. effective FG%
39.7%
25.3%
Turnover %
29.8%
43.5%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.7%
3-point %
23.4%
61.2%
Assist %
71.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 75.0Defence71.5 · 77.1Shooting46.9% · 37.0%3-point %30.7% · 23.4%Ball care25.3% · 29.8%Off. rebounds43.5% · 36.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ BC Nokia W   ■ LePy W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Nokia W wins
1
LePy W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23LePy W v BC Nokia W66-65
BC Nokia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24ALappeenranta W71-49
25/02/24HPyrinto II W74-58
18/02/24AJyvaskyla BA W89-67
11/02/24HKataja W101-42
04/02/24AHBA W74-79
28/01/24HTapiolan Honka II W76-55
21/01/24ATorpan Pojat Helsinki II W87-66
14/01/24HEspoo Team II W75-67
07/01/24APantterit W87-65
17/12/23HKorihait W84-52
LePy Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HLahti Basketball W45-38
25/02/24HLappeenranta W33-42
18/02/24APyrinto II W54-69
11/02/24HJyvaskyla BA W47-63
04/02/24AKataja W64-62
28/01/24HTorpan Pojat Helsinki II W57-70
21/01/24AEspoo Team II W63-53
14/01/24HPantterit W71-73
07/01/24AKorihait W83-72
17/12/23HTurun NMKY W55-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Nokia W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game77.377.777.0
Allowed / game60.258.162.4
Point differential+17.1+19.6+14.6
Avg total137.6135.8139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LePy W
I Divisioona Women 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLLLW30%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%30%50%
Points / game56.552.760.2
Allowed / game62.562.662.5
Point differential-6.1-9.9-2.3
Avg total119.0115.3122.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Nokia W2018290%77.360.2+17.1
2 Torpan Pojat Helsinki II W2115671%72.763.8+9.0
3 Lappeenranta W2013765%58.755.0+3.8
4 Lahti Basketball W2012860%64.058.2+5.7
5 Pyrinto II W2012860%67.063.0+4.0
6 Puhuttaret W2012860%71.067.5+3.5
7 Turun NMKY W2012860%62.063.1-1.1
8 Tapiolan Honka II W21111052%72.165.8+6.4
9 HBA W20101050%70.868.4+2.4
10 Jyvaskyla BA W20101050%64.866.2-1.4
11 HyPo W2081240%62.866.5-3.6
12 LePy W2081240%56.562.5-6.1
13 Espoo Team II W2071335%64.368.4-4.0
14 Pantterit W2061430%63.469.5-6.2
15 Korihait W2061430%63.573.9-10.3
16 Kataja W201195%49.969.7-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Nokia W2320152785
LePy W2013181162
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