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BC Roma vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 98-104
29-24 26-22 13-24 30-34
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record2-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game82.7
ItalyLega ARound 4· Palazzetto dello Sport
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
94-109
94
109
-15
87avg 86
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
69avg 86
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
108-70
108
70
+38
114avg 86
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 86
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
L
95-96
95
96
-1
86avg 86
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
W
77-72 OT
77
72
+5
69avg 86
H13/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
19-28
22-27
27-25
18-23
20-22
18-22
22-24
25-23
31-21
24-15
28-11
22-11
21-27
27-25
22-24
33-25
24-27
13-25
25-19
13-12
16-21
18-12
22-24
178.2Avg total
90.7Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)99.091.7190.7+7.333%
Season at home (1)108.070.0178.0+38.0100%
Season away (2)94.5102.5197.0-8.00%
Last 10 (6)90.787.5178.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)90.083.2173.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.089.0174.0-4.050%
vs Similar (2)94.5102.5197.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)92.571.0163.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 82
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
72avg 82
A13/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
109-97
109
97
+12
107avg 82
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 82
H18/06
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 82
H26/09
Lega A
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-72
104
72
+32
103avg 82
H29/09
Eurocup
Trieste
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 82
A04/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
L
92-98
92
98
-6
80avg 82
A07/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
76avg 82
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
W
75-65
75
65
+10
66avg 82
H14/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-30
25-25
18-21
22-31
17-31
25-18
15-12
25-26
25-24
36-19
23-28
20-19
20-26
16-23
16-18
21-17
22-14
24-21
18-21
28-17
20-17
31-26
25-12
21-15
18-27
20-20
28-20
27-21
23-19
19-29
23-29
29-20
22-25
21-24
14-24
20-16
19-13
18-22
18-14
172.7Avg total
86.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.082.7168.7+3.367%
Season at home (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
Season away (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.985.8172.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)88.882.0170.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)86.189.2175.3-3.250%
vs Similar (9)81.486.4167.9-5.033%
vs Weaker (9)93.481.9175.3+11.689%
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
BC RomaVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A26/09
Lega A
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A30/09
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H04/10
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#13
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H07/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#4
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Balkan
#32
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/10
Eurocup
89.5Avg total
44.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)44.744.889.5-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (3)42.738.381.0+4.367%-
Last 30 away (3)46.751.398.0-4.733%-
Last 10 (6)44.744.889.5-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.487.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.541.582.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (2)51.054.5105.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.538.581.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A13/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H16/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/06
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Frankfurt
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/09
Eurocup
Trieste
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/10
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#24
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A07/10
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/10
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#27
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H14/10
Eurocup
86.8Avg total
43.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.244.187.3-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.142.885.8+0.341%-
Last 30 away (13)43.445.989.3-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)43.643.286.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.438.083.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.448.990.3-7.58%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.683.2-1.933%-
vs Weaker (9)48.139.387.4+8.889%-
This opponent (BC Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Roma: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.322.0
60.6%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.5
32.6%
34.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.718.2
80.1%
74.4%18.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.5
50.7%
54.3%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.59.4
40.0%
34.7%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
74.4%15.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Roma
WLWWLL
Venezia
WLLWWWLWLL
#12
League position
#9
+3.5
Net rating
+1.0
100.9
Offensive rating
100.8
97.4
Defensive rating
99.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
15.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
40.0%
60.8%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 6/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.8Defence97.4 · 99.8Shooting55.3% · 54.0%3-point %32.6% · 40.0%Ball care15.3% · 12.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 6/10)50% · 50%
■ BC Roma   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Roma wins
0
Venezia wins
No previous meetings.
BC Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/26HBalkan77-72 OT
11/10/26AMaxima Roma95-96
07/10/26HLietkabelis92-87
04/10/26HTortona108-70
30/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.78-91
26/09/26ATreviso94-109
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HTurk Telekom75-65
11/10/26HVirtus Bologna86-93
07/10/26ACluj-Napoca92-98
04/10/26ATrieste87-82
29/09/26HFrankfurt104-72
26/09/26HCantu85-73
18/06/26HOlimpia Milano72-86
16/06/26HOlimpia Milano109-97
13/06/26AOlimpia Milano79-92
11/06/26AOlimpia Milano80-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Roma
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game99.0108.094.5
Allowed / game91.770.0102.5
Point differential+7.3+38.0-8.0
Avg total190.7178.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game86.085.587.0
Allowed / game82.783.082.0
Point differential+3.3+2.5+5.0
Avg total168.7168.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli330100%97.382.7+14.7
2 Virtus Bologna330100%93.781.3+12.3
3 Olimpia Milano32167%87.077.0+10.0
4 Udine32167%79.373.7+5.7
5 Trento32167%82.379.0+3.3
6 Venezia32167%86.082.7+3.3
7 Verona32167%85.785.0+0.7
8 Treviso32167%93.096.7-3.7
9 Varese32167%79.783.7-4.0
10 BC Roma31233%99.091.7+7.3
11 Reggiana31233%88.089.3-1.3
12 Maxima Roma31233%86.795.7-9.0
13 Tortona31233%85.798.0-12.3
14 Trieste3030%81.785.0-3.3
15 Cantu3030%79.089.7-10.7
16 Scafati3030%74.087.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Roma2926133098
Venezia24222434104
← all games of the day
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