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Venezia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jun 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 109-97
25-26 25-24 36-19 23-28
Position#5
Record25-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.0
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Olimpia Milano
Italy
Position#2
Record28-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.6
ItalyLega ALega A - Final· Palasport Giuseppe Taliercio
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Venezia v Olimpia Milano
20 Dec 2026
VEN v MIL
upcoming
18 Jun 2026
VEN72
MIL86
16 Jun 2026
VEN109
MIL97
26 Apr 2026
VEN85
MIL90
19 Jan 2025
VEN85
MIL72
17 Mar 2024
VEN78
MIL72
23 Oct 2022
VEN77
MIL69
08 May 2022
VEN69
MIL74
02 Jun 2021
VEN83
MIL93
28 Mar 2021
VEN69
MIL63
15 Dec 2019
VEN70
MIL71
18 Nov 2018
VEN81
MIL84
09 May 2018
VEN89
MIL86
11 Dec 2016
VEN88
MIL84
29 May 2016
VEN60
MIL68
25 May 2016
VEN80
MIL88
23 May 2016
VEN73
MIL62
13 Mar 2016
VEN81
MIL85
09 Feb 2015
VEN74
MIL84
18 Nov 2013
VEN88
MIL82
10 Mar 2013
VEN88
MIL97
22 May 2012
VEN80
MIL82
11 Dec 2011
VEN66
MIL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
79avg 81
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-82
71
82
-11
59avg 81
A22/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-89
71
89
-18
60avg 81
A24/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
82avg 81
H26/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
91avg 81
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
66avg 81
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
89-85
89
85
+4
78avg 81
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
90-83
90
83
+7
80avg 81
H06/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
80-100
80
100
-20
71avg 81
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
72avg 81
A13/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-20
26-11
23-23
15-20
16-23
23-15
17-24
17-23
16-15
15-25
23-26
23-23
25-17
20-26
21-17
18-23
27-23
19-19
27-18
16-29
26-33
12-20
25-16
16-28
24-17
19-14
30-26
24-23
13-19
20-27
33-14
15-24
22-30
25-25
18-21
22-31
17-31
25-18
15-12
169.6Avg total
82.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)88.586.0174.5+2.462%
Season at home (19)88.182.9171.0+5.168%
Season away (21)88.988.9177.7+0.057%
Last 10 (10)82.687.0169.6-4.450%
Last 5 (5)83.491.6175.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.887.7172.5-2.960%
vs Similar (11)82.184.9167.0-2.836%
vs Weaker (9)93.784.8178.4+8.989%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
67avg 82
A10/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
96-84
96
84
+12
96avg 82
H16/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 82
H18/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 82
A21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
88-72
88
72
+16
83avg 82
A29/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
65avg 82
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
85avg 82
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
89avg 82
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 82
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
95avg 82
H13/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
26-19
16-25
19-18
31-16
26-24
18-24
21-20
20-14
20-15
13-20
24-16
17-12
19-30
24-11
24-19
16-24
26-15
23-13
23-20
15-23
21-19
24-18
19-25
19-18
25-25
23-10
26-15
23-15
23-23
22-19
23-29
24-15
30-22
25-25
21-18
31-22
31-17
18-25
12-15
164.9Avg total
87.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)87.279.6166.8+7.674%
Season at home (21)88.880.1168.9+8.781%
Season away (17)85.278.9164.2+6.365%
Last 10 (10)87.477.5164.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)91.079.6170.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.093.5179.5-7.50%
vs Similar (10)88.191.6179.7-3.530%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.579.8169.3+9.783%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.1-6.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
VeneziaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A22/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/05
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A01/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A13/06
Lega A
86.3Avg total
39.0Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.045.588.5-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.744.285.9-2.529%-
Last 30 away (16)44.246.690.8-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.047.386.3-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.048.688.6-8.610%-
vs Similar (11)41.243.484.5-2.227%-
vs Weaker (9)48.744.793.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A10/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H16/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H18/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A29/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A31/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/06
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H05/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H11/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H13/06
Lega A
84.6Avg total
45.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.842.088.8+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.640.890.4+8.888%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.486.9+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.639.084.6+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.439.888.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.549.098.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (10)45.446.992.3-1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.338.585.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.6
51.9%
54.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.7
35.5%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.415.3
78.9%
76.1%15.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.6
59.7%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
76.1%14.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jun 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LLWWLWWLLW
Olimpia Milano
WWWWLWWWWL
#5
League position
#2
-5.3
Net rating
+13.1
98.6
Offensive rating
106.8
103.9
Defensive rating
93.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.2%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.5%
3-point %
35.3%
57.0%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 106.8Defence103.9 · 93.7Shooting52.4% · 57.2%3-point %35.5% · 35.3%Ball care12.3% · 12.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Venezia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Venezia wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
DateGameScore
13/06/26Olimpia Milano v Venezia92-79
11/06/26Olimpia Milano v Venezia100-80
26/04/26Venezia v Olimpia Milano85-90
26/10/25Olimpia Milano v Venezia101-88
19/01/25Venezia v Olimpia Milano85-72
10/11/24Olimpia Milano v Venezia79-78
21/09/24Olimpia Milano v Venezia73-62
17/03/24Venezia v Olimpia Milano78-72
17/02/24Olimpia Milano v Venezia100-77
19/11/23Olimpia Milano v Venezia95-72
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/26AOlimpia Milano79-92
11/06/26AOlimpia Milano80-100
06/06/26HVirtus Bologna90-83
04/06/26HVirtus Bologna89-85
01/06/26AVirtus Bologna79-98
30/05/26AVirtus Bologna91-83
26/05/26HTortona89-83
24/05/26ATortona71-89
22/05/26ATortona71-82
19/05/26HTortona87-75
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/26HVenezia92-79
11/06/26HVenezia100-80
05/06/26HBrescia91-86
03/06/26HBrescia93-68
31/05/26ABrescia79-85
29/05/26ABrescia88-72
21/05/26AReggiana84-72
18/05/26HReggiana77-65
16/05/26HReggiana96-84
10/05/26ATrento74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW68%
AwayLWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %62%68%57%
Points / game88.588.188.9
Allowed / game86.082.988.9
Point differential+2.4+5.1+0.0
Avg total174.5171.0177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%32%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWLWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382117
Win %74%81%65%
Points / game87.288.885.2
Allowed / game79.680.178.9
Point differential+7.6+8.7+6.3
Avg total166.8168.9164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%52%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)83% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano38281074%87.279.6+7.6
2 Virtus Bologna38281074%85.778.9+6.8
3 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
4 Brescia38251366%87.184.0+3.1
5 Venezia40251562%88.586.0+2.4
6 Tortona34201459%86.484.8+1.6
7 Reggiana32151747%82.680.9+1.7
8 Varese29131645%84.587.9-3.4
9 Trento34151944%83.583.8-0.3
10 Trieste34151944%83.887.2-3.4
11 Basket Napoli29111838%84.786.9-2.2
12 Cremona29111838%82.786.1-3.5
13 Udine29101934%81.183.8-2.7
14 Treviso29101934%83.689.1-5.5
15 Cantu2992031%83.988.5-4.7
16 Sassari2982128%85.389.6-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia25253623109
Olimpia Milano2624192897
← all games of the day
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