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BC Steaua Bucuresti vs Valcea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.0
RomaniaDivizia ARound 14· Mihai Viteazul Bucuresti
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea
09 Jan 2027
SBU v VALC
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SBU66
VALC69
18 Apr 2025
SBU86
VALC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Steaua Bucuresti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Steaua BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#13
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
A30/04
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A02/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A11/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
48-90
48
90
-42
H15/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H20/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A22/05
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
A06/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#12
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H12/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H17/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A22/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
11-18
15-21
24-13
19-23
33-21
29-13
16-20
10-20
19-21
25-20
18-24
17-20
10-28
7-20
14-22
16-28
26-24
19-25
22-23
18-24
17-25
16-26
20-28
28-22
13-24
24-19
21-21
23-14
20-26
23-18
32-30
24-27
10-21
19-13
15-15
29-21
23-25
19-30
18-16
169.7Avg total
80.1Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.288.2174.5-2.025%
Season at home (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
Season away (2)89.594.5184.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)80.189.6169.7-9.520%
Last 5 (5)83.291.2174.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.089.7167.7-11.710%
vs Similar (14)83.979.5163.4+4.450%
vs Weaker (6)77.880.3158.2-2.550%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A22/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
21-19
14-21
17-15
29-20
27-10
20-24
21-21
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
172.8Avg total
89.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.582.0170.5+6.575%
Season at home (2)90.090.5180.5-0.550%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.883.0172.8+6.880%
Last 5 (5)89.683.6173.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar (16)85.688.9174.6-3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)91.978.5170.4+13.4100%
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
BC Steaua BucurestiValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Steaua BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corona Brasov
#13
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/04
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A02/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A11/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/05
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#12
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H17/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A22/10
Divizia A
84.6Avg total
39.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.979.1-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.377.3-3.433%-
Last 30 away (15)39.541.480.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.584.6-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.045.886.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.344.581.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (14)39.438.377.7+1.150%-
vs Weaker (6)37.040.877.8-3.833%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A30/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H10/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#10
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
88.5Avg total
47.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.944.489.3+0.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.444.789.1-0.327%-
Last 30 away (15)45.444.289.6+1.240%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.388.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (16)43.546.089.5-2.519%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.441.989.3+5.558%-
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Steaua Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Steaua Bucuresti: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.6 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.5
54.8%
57.5%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.76.7
30.9%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.910.4
61.5%
73.3%10.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.6 points a game
55%
27%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.3
58.7%
57.5%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
33.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
73.3%14.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Steaua Bucuresti
LLWLLLLLWL
Valcea
WLWWWWLWWW
#10
League position
#3
-11.2
Net rating
+8.0
90.9
Offensive rating
105.0
102.1
Defensive rating
97.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.9%
3-point %
33.3%
51.0%
Assist %
50.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.9 · 105.0Defence102.1 · 97.1Shooting52.0% · 55.7%3-point %30.9% · 33.3%Ball care15.1% · 10.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ BC Steaua Bucuresti   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Steaua Bucuresti wins
4
Valcea wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26ACSM Targu Mures89-92
17/10/26HPetrolul Ploiesti68-76
12/10/26HRapid Bucuresti98-88
06/10/26AValcea90-97 OT
22/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti71-103
20/05/26HPetrolul Ploiesti83-100
15/05/26HSCM Timisoara48-90
11/05/26ASCM Timisoara72-85
02/05/26ACorona Brasov97-77
30/04/26ACorona Brasov85-88 OT
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95
10/05/26HPetrolul Ploiesti97-75
30/04/26ACSM Targu Jiu73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Steaua Bucuresti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game86.283.089.5
Allowed / game88.282.094.5
Point differential-2.0+1.0-5.0
Avg total174.5165.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game88.590.087.0
Allowed / game82.090.573.5
Point differential+6.5-0.5+13.5
Avg total170.5180.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Voluntari440100%94.585.2+9.2
2 CSM Oradea43175%91.081.5+9.5
3 Valcea43175%88.582.0+6.5
4 CSM Targu Mures43175%86.583.8+2.8
5 Dinamo Bucharest32167%88.778.3+10.3
6 SCM Craiova32167%101.797.3+4.3
7 Arges Pitesti42250%93.592.0+1.5
8 SCM Timisoara42250%88.289.5-1.2
9 CSU Sibiu42250%96.599.2-2.8
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti41325%86.288.2-2.0
11 Corona Brasov41325%84.288.2-4.0
12 Rapid Bucuresti41325%90.296.0-5.8
13 Petrolul Ploiesti41325%74.888.0-13.2
14 Municipal Galati4040%92.2103.8-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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