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BC Steaua Bucuresti vs Valcea Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game91.0
BC Steaua Bucuresti
Romania
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Valcea
Romania
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game78.2
RomaniaDivizia ARound 14· Mihai Viteazul Bucuresti
Other2026-27
Meetings · BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea
09 Jan 2027
SBU v VALC
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SBU66
VALC69
18 Apr 2025
SBU86
VALC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Steaua Bucuresti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Steaua BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucuresti
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 76
A11/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
48-90
48
90
-42
34avg 76
H15/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
83-100
83
100
-17
69avg 76
H20/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
71-103
71
103
-32
66avg 76
A22/05
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
84avg 76
A06/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 76
H12/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 76
H17/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 76
A22/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
94-89
94
89
+5
86avg 76
H31/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
L
93-104 OT
93
104
-11
no box
A06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
19-21
25-20
18-24
17-20
10-28
7-20
14-22
16-28
26-24
19-25
22-23
18-24
17-25
16-26
20-28
28-22
13-24
24-19
21-21
23-14
20-26
23-18
32-30
24-27
10-21
19-13
15-15
29-21
23-25
19-30
18-16
29-29
17-17
24-17
24-26
22-18
21-17
16-19
18-23
173.0Avg total
80.6Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)88.791.0179.7-2.333%
Season at home (3)86.784.3171.0+2.367%
Season away (3)90.797.7188.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)80.692.4173.0-11.820%
Last 5 (5)88.489.8178.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.089.7167.7-11.710%
vs Similar (13)87.281.0168.2+6.262%
vs Weaker (7)80.083.7163.7-3.743%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValcea
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
104-95
104
95
+9
106avg 83
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
71avg 83
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
81avg 83
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 83
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
87avg 83
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
95avg 83
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
68avg 83
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
66avg 83
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
101avg 83
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
H06/11
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
25-29
22-22
26-27
21-22
32-20
9-23
22-25
22-26
26-19
20-17
24-23
32-24
20-27
18-21
24-18
22-28
24-13
19-24
21-21
13-21
27-20
28-8
25-18
22-14
15-23
17-20
29-34
20-23
22-26
27-12
12-19
20-14
25-8
22-24
30-21
22-14
16-21
14-21
23-18
172.9Avg total
90.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.778.2165.8+9.583%
Season at home (4)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
Season away (2)87.073.5160.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.082.9172.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
vs Similar (14)84.989.7174.6-4.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)91.177.4168.4+13.7100%
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.2-5.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
BC Steaua BucurestiValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Steaua BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A11/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H15/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H20/05
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/05
Divizia A
Valcea
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/10
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H17/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A22/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H31/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/11
Divizia A
84.3Avg total
39.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.280.2-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.241.079.2-2.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.841.581.3-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.245.184.3-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.086.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.344.581.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (13)40.939.480.3+1.546%-
vs Weaker (7)37.940.077.9-2.143%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A13/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A20/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/05
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A27/05
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/10
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/10
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#11
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A22/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#14
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H31/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/11
Divizia A
86.6Avg total
45.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.588.5+1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.743.087.7+1.738%-
Last 30 away (14)45.544.089.5+1.543%-
Last 10 (10)45.740.986.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.436.877.2+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (14)44.146.490.6-2.321%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.640.086.6+6.664%-
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Steaua Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Steaua Bucuresti: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.225.0
55.3%
56.7%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.7
32.2%
32.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.210.3
63.6%
75.1%10.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.2 points a game
55%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.826.7
59.6%
56.7%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
75.1%15.1
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Steaua Bucuresti
LWLLWLLLLL
Valcea
WWWLWWWWLW
#9
League position
#3
-10.4
Net rating
+10.6
93.1
Offensive rating
106.4
103.5
Defensive rating
95.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
33.3%
50.5%
Assist %
52.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.1 · 106.4Defence103.5 · 95.8Shooting53.1% · 56.3%3-point %32.2% · 33.3%Ball care15.1% · 11.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ BC Steaua Bucuresti   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Steaua Bucuresti wins
4
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
06/10/26Valcea v BC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
15/04/26BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea66-69
29/12/25Valcea v BC Steaua Bucuresti83-76
18/04/25BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea86-83
21/12/24Valcea v BC Steaua Bucuresti104-89
BC Steaua Bucurestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AMunicipal Galati93-104 OT
31/10/26HCorona Brasov94-89
22/10/26ACSM Targu Mures89-92
17/10/26HPetrolul Ploiesti68-76
12/10/26HRapid Bucuresti98-88
06/10/26AValcea90-97 OT
22/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti71-103
20/05/26HPetrolul Ploiesti83-100
15/05/26HSCM Timisoara48-90
11/05/26ASCM Timisoara72-85
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HArges Pitesti75-74
31/10/26HMunicipal Galati97-67
22/10/26ACorona Brasov81-80
17/10/26HCSM Targu Mures83-91
10/10/26APetrolul Ploiesti93-67
06/10/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti97-90 OT
27/05/26ASCM Timisoara94-90
23/05/26HSCM Timisoara92-85
20/05/26ASCM Timisoara84-90
13/05/26APetrolul Ploiesti104-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Steaua Bucuresti
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game88.786.790.7
Allowed / game91.084.397.7
Point differential-2.3+2.3-7.0
Avg total179.7171.0188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%67%
Valcea
Divizia A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game87.788.087.0
Allowed / game78.280.573.5
Point differential+9.5+7.5+13.5
Avg total165.8168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Targu Mures76186%94.083.7+10.3
2 Voluntari76186%88.982.7+6.1
3 Valcea65183%87.778.2+9.5
4 Dinamo Bucharest54180%87.277.6+9.6
5 SCM Craiova43175%103.099.2+3.8
6 CSM Oradea64267%88.082.0+6.0
7 CSU Sibiu73443%94.693.6+1.0
8 Arges Pitesti62433%85.386.7-1.3
9 BC Steaua Bucuresti62433%88.791.0-2.3
10 Rapid Bucuresti62433%89.594.7-5.2
11 Corona Brasov72529%87.689.1-1.6
12 SCM Timisoara72529%80.087.1-7.1
13 Petrolul Ploiesti72529%78.091.4-13.4
14 Municipal Galati71614%88.798.7-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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