PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Steaua Bucuresti vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-69
13-19 22-16 17-18 14-16
Position#12
Record13-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Valcea 🏆
Romania
Position#6
Record14-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game86.7
RomaniaDivizia ARound 29· Mihai Viteazul Bucuresti
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Steaua Bucuresti v Valcea
09 Jan 2027
SBU v VALC
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
SBU66
VALC69
18 Apr 2025
SBU86
VALC83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Steaua Bucuresti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Steaua BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A28/01
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H01/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
112-83
112
83
+29
A06/02
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
A15/02
Romanian Cup
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H07/03
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H16/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A20/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H25/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
76-63
76
63
+13
A29/03
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A07/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-16
23-24
22-28
13-17
27-27
16-20
22-20
34-24
26-14
32-20
20-25
16-28
18-28
24-22
19-22
15-28
21-20
15-14
24-18
20-13
20-20
27-17
22-19
22-11
19-22
27-27
12-21
22-20
18-10
23-20
17-21
10-20
21-13
14-9
31-21
21-18
20-28
28-21
28-15
164.1Avg total
84.4Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.780.3164.0+3.450%
Season at home (13)82.579.1161.5+3.469%
Season away (13)84.981.5166.4+3.531%
Last 10 (10)84.479.7164.1+4.750%
Last 5 (5)84.473.2157.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.585.4166.9-3.938%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.482.0164.4+0.438%
vs Weaker (6)89.374.8164.2+14.583%
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
W
97-95
97
95
+2
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H07/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
25-19
19-23
17-32
21-24
19-23
11-17
27-20
26-30
19-22
23-15
26-18
26-22
19-24
31-17
21-32
30-25
16-23
16-16
23-18
23-20
20-27
25-23
16-17
14-24
22-28
26-24
21-21
17-24
27-22
21-10
23-29
19-20
25-29
21-33
19-20
16-21
26-34
22-15
22-28
177.3Avg total
85.8Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.186.7175.8+2.554%
Season at home (13)90.488.1178.5+2.362%
Season away (13)87.885.2173.1+2.646%
Last 10 (10)85.891.5177.3-5.740%
Last 5 (5)85.093.8178.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.999.3172.1-26.414%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.992.2179.1-5.238%
vs Weaker (6)93.775.0168.7+18.7100%
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.0-2.0
BC Steaua BucurestiValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Steaua BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A28/01
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H01/02
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A06/02
Divizia A
Cluj-Napoca
#1
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A15/02
Romanian Cup
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/03
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H16/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A20/03
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A29/03
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/04
Divizia A
79.1Avg total
39.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.579.8-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.639.076.6-1.429%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.882.7-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.379.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.944.081.9-6.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.238.977.1-0.844%-
vs Weaker (6)44.340.084.3+4.350%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Voluntari
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/02
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A15/02
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H11/03
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H07/04
Divizia A
91.5Avg total
42.8Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.446.989.2-4.517%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.746.387.0-5.513%-
Last 30 away (15)44.047.591.5-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.848.791.5-5.90%-
Last 5 (5)41.849.891.6-8.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.150.789.9-11.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.847.689.4-5.86%-
vs Weaker (6)48.040.588.5+7.567%-
This opponent (BC Steaua Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Steaua Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Steaua Bucuresti: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.6
56.5%
55.9%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.1
35.7%
33.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.814.7
70.7%
73.0%14.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.0
55.1%
55.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
33.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.617.2
72.9%
73.0%17.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Steaua Bucuresti
WWWLWLLWLL
Valcea
LLWLLWWWLL
#12
League position
#6
+5.6
Net rating
-6.3
102.7
Offensive rating
99.5
97.1
Defensive rating
105.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
12.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.7%
3-point %
33.3%
56.0%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 99.5Defence97.1 · 105.8Shooting55.4% · 53.2%3-point %35.7% · 33.3%Ball care12.5% · 13.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ BC Steaua Bucuresti   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
BC Steaua Bucuresti wins
2
Valcea wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26ACSM Oradea97-82
29/03/26ACSM Targu Jiu76-63
25/03/26HMunicipal Galati80-71
20/03/26ADinamo Bucharest80-81
16/03/26HPetrolul Ploiesti89-69
07/03/26HCSU Sibiu75-80
15/02/26ACluj-Napoca77-100
06/02/26ACSM Targu Mures112-83
01/02/26HSCM Timisoara78-84
28/01/26ASCM Craiova80-84
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26HCSU Sibiu86-98
02/04/26ACSM Targu Mures84-102
29/03/26HSCM Timisoara88-85
25/03/26ASCM Craiova83-97
21/03/26HRapid Bucuresti84-87
14/03/26AArges Pitesti85-82
11/03/26HSCM Craiova97-95
07/03/26HCorona Brasov94-85
15/02/26ADinamo Bucharest78-84
07/02/26AVoluntari79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Steaua Bucuresti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeWLLWW69%
AwayLWLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game83.782.584.9
Allowed / game80.379.181.5
Point differential+3.4+3.4+3.5
Avg total164.0161.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)75% (4)0% (7)
Overtime %12%15%8%
Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeWWLWL62%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %54%62%46%
Points / game89.190.487.8
Allowed / game86.788.185.2
Point differential+2.5+2.3+2.6
Avg total175.8178.5173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%23%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea2823582%88.677.0+11.6
2 Dinamo Bucharest2719870%87.081.9+5.1
3 Voluntari2618869%87.581.0+6.5
4 SCM Craiova27161159%90.085.4+4.6
5 Arges Pitesti27161159%82.078.4+3.7
6 Rapid Bucuresti27161159%85.782.9+2.8
7 SCM Timisoara27151256%88.685.6+3.0
8 CSU Sibiu27151256%85.784.4+1.3
9 Valcea26141254%89.186.7+2.5
10 BC Steaua Bucuresti26131350%83.780.3+3.4
11 CSM Targu Mures26131350%94.995.5-0.6
12 Corona Brasov27121544%87.388.5-1.2
13 Petrolul Ploiesti2781930%84.891.4-6.6
14 CSM Targu Jiu2842414%76.389.5-13.2
15 Municipal Galati280280%74.195.7-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Steaua Bucuresti1322171466
Valcea1916181669
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.