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CSM Targu Jiu vs Valcea Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-73
12-21 19-21 21-14 15-17
Position#15
Record4-26
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Valcea 🏆
Romania
Position#6
Record17-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game85.8
RomaniaDivizia ADivizia A - Quarter-finals· Sala Sporturilor Targu Jiu
Other2025-26
Meetings · CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea
30 Apr 2026
CSM 67
VALC73
04 Oct 2025
CSM 74
VALC95
10 Feb 2024
CSM 95
VALC91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Jiu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valcea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu JiuRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#7
L
65-101
65
101
-36
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H21/03
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A25/03
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H29/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A02/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
96-63
96
63
+33
H07/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H14/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A24/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A26/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
13-27
21-24
6-34
19-26
17-24
17-19
34-19
16-20
25-17
24-28
17-13
15-29
23-12
25-16
24-27
20-10
13-21
9-14
21-31
23-14
16-31
15-33
17-21
24-19
28-14
23-17
21-13
19-21
17-18
18-19
14-25
20-31
20-18
26-18
14-29
21-19
27-23
23-29
16-18
164.3Avg total
78.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.889.7166.5-12.913%
Season at home (14)74.588.7163.2-14.214%
Season away (16)78.890.6169.3-11.812%
Last 10 (10)78.685.7164.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)80.486.0166.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.090.5165.5-15.67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)102.078.0180.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
H07/04
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A15/04
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H18/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H24/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H26/04
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
16-23
16-16
23-18
23-20
20-27
25-23
16-17
14-24
22-28
26-24
21-21
17-24
27-22
21-10
23-29
19-20
25-29
21-33
19-20
16-21
26-34
22-15
22-28
19-13
16-22
18-17
16-14
21-27
29-25
15-15
16-21
31-20
18-20
18-26
29-14
19-21
23-27
29-23
18-16
171.7Avg total
84.5Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.485.8174.2+2.657%
Season at home (16)90.187.5177.6+2.662%
Season away (14)86.583.9170.4+2.650%
Last 10 (10)84.587.2171.7-2.750%
Last 5 (5)84.283.8168.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.0102.0175.0-29.020%
vs Similar (17)85.689.8175.4-4.141%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)93.076.1169.1+16.9100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
CSM Targu JiuValcea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu JiuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A14/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H21/03
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A25/03
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/03
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/04
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H07/04
Divizia A
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A24/04
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/04
Divizia A
81.1Avg total
40.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.244.083.2-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.942.980.7-5.036%-
Last 30 away (16)40.445.085.4-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.081.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.444.482.8-6.025%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)50.538.589.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Valcea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValceaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A14/03
Divizia A
Rapid Bucuresti
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/03
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A25/03
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/03
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A02/04
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H07/04
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A15/04
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H18/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H24/04
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/04
Divizia A
90.3Avg total
43.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.746.789.4-4.017%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.246.788.9-4.513%-
Last 30 away (15)43.246.789.9-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)43.147.290.3-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)43.646.089.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.452.290.6-13.80%-
vs Similar (17)41.846.588.4-4.76%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.343.191.4+5.157%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Jiutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Jiu: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.1
54.3%
55.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.47.5
27.4%
33.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.315.9
74.6%
73.0%15.9
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valceatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valcea: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.1
55.4%
55.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
33.8%23.1
🏀 Free throws26.419.2
72.7%
73.0%19.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Jiu
LLLWLLWWLL
Valcea
WWLWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#6
-8.4
Net rating
-3.4
92.6
Offensive rating
98.1
101.0
Defensive rating
101.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.42
27.4%
3-point %
31.7%
47.1%
Assist %
68.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 98.1Defence101.0 · 101.5Shooting48.7% · 52.3%3-point %27.4% · 31.7%Ball care13.6% · 13.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ CSM Targu Jiu   ■ Valcea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSM Targu Jiu wins
4
Valcea wins
DateGameScore
26/04/26Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu89-87
24/04/26Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu96-80
16/01/26Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu89-78
04/10/25CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea74-95
23/03/24Valcea v CSM Targu Jiu96-100
10/02/24CSM Targu Jiu v Valcea95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AValcea87-89
24/04/26AValcea80-96
14/04/26HPetrolul Ploiesti68-83
07/04/26HMunicipal Galati96-63
02/04/26ADinamo Bucharest71-99
29/03/26HBC Steaua Bucuresti63-76
25/03/26ACSU Sibiu87-84
21/03/26HCSM Targu Mures82-78
14/03/26ASCM Timisoara87-88
07/03/26HSCM Craiova65-101
Valcealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26HCSM Targu Jiu89-87
24/04/26HCSM Targu Jiu96-80
18/04/26HDinamo Bucharest81-88
15/04/26ABC Steaua Bucuresti69-66
07/04/26HCSU Sibiu86-98
02/04/26ACSM Targu Mures84-102
29/03/26HSCM Timisoara88-85
25/03/26ASCM Craiova83-97
21/03/26HRapid Bucuresti84-87
14/03/26AArges Pitesti85-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Jiu
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL13%
HomeLWLWL14%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %13%14%12%
Points / game76.874.578.8
Allowed / game89.788.790.6
Point differential-12.9-14.2-11.8
Avg total166.5163.2169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valcea
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %57%62%50%
Points / game88.490.186.5
Allowed / game85.887.583.9
Point differential+2.6+2.6+2.6
Avg total174.2177.6170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cluj-Napoca330100%91.781.0+10.7
2 CSM Oradea3025583%88.577.1+11.4
3 Voluntari3021970%87.281.4+5.9
4 Dinamo Bucharest3021970%87.182.1+5.0
5 SCM Craiova30181260%90.185.1+5.0
6 Rapid Bucuresti30181260%85.983.4+2.4
7 Valcea30171357%88.485.8+2.6
8 SCM Timisoara31171455%87.784.8+2.9
9 Arges Pitesti30161453%82.279.6+2.6
10 CSU Sibiu31161552%85.384.9+0.4
11 BC Steaua Bucuresti31151648%83.080.3+2.7
12 CSM Targu Mures30141647%93.995.1-1.2
13 Corona Brasov31131842%86.488.2-1.8
14 Petrolul Ploiesti30102033%85.391.2-5.8
15 CSM Targu Jiu3042613%76.889.7-12.9
16 Municipal Galati311303%74.294.1-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Targu Jiu1219211567
Valcea2121141773
← all games of the day
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