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Beijing vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 95-91
27-22 24-29 24-13 20-27
Position#11
Record10-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game102.8
Allowed / game100.8
Beijing 🏆
China
vs
Guangzhou
China
Position#9
Record10-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game97.9
ChinaCBARound 19· Cadillac Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beijing v Guangzhou
05 Jan 2027
BEIJ v GUAN
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
BEIJ117
GUAN73
03 Apr 2026
BEIJ97
GUAN89
20 Oct 2024
BEIJ105
GUAN90
19 Dec 2023
BEIJ95
GUAN91
22 Oct 2022
BEIJ66
GUAN71
10 Mar 2022
BEIJ84
GUAN56
29 Dec 2020
BEIJ102
GUAN100
01 Jul 2020
BEIJ96
GUAN72
10 Dec 2019
BEIJ112
GUAN104
07 Dec 2018
BEIJ112
GUAN98
10 Dec 2017
BEIJ122
GUAN116
30 Nov 2016
BEIJ102
GUAN101
13 Dec 2015
BEIJ117
GUAN106
07 Jan 2015
BEIJ109
GUAN94
03 Dec 2013
BEIJ119
GUAN114
30 Dec 2012
BEIJ108
GUAN92
10 Feb 2012
BEIJ110
GUAN102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beijing winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
91-109
91
109
-18
76avg 95
A12/11
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
103-109
103
109
-6
92avg 95
H15/11
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 95
A02/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
no box
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
117-97
117
97
+20
112avg 95
H07/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
99avg 95
H09/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
107-92
107
92
+15
115avg 95
H11/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
75avg 95
A13/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
93-100
93
100
-7
93avg 95
A15/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
88-103
88
103
-15
77avg 95
H17/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
24-26
24-35
24-24
23-26
28-22
26-21
26-40
20-30
16-27
25-21
27-17
17-19
22-28
33-23
24-26
23-32
38-28
27-20
29-17
35-30
28-31
16-28
31-25
19-24
30-27
27-16
31-25
25-22
21-32
24-20
25-32
13-20
33-31
26-22
21-27
23-24
26-27
11-25
28-27
203.2Avg total
100.1Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)102.8100.8203.6+1.956%
Season at home (9)105.9101.9207.8+4.067%
Season away (9)99.799.8199.4-0.144%
Last 10 (10)100.1103.1203.2-3.030%
Last 5 (5)98.6103.0201.6-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)92.3105.7198.0-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (13)101.198.1199.2+3.062%
vs Weaker (11)110.494.3204.6+16.191%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
82avg 96
H13/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-97
99
97
+2
94avg 96
A16/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 96
A01/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
103avg 96
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-80
99
80
+19
107avg 96
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
87avg 96
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 96
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 96
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 96
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 96
A17/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
29-32
16-26
25-23
23-28
18-32
29-15
29-22
21-29
24-21
33-19
18-14
29-18
25-28
31-29
23-40
32-13
20-21
26-20
21-26
32-31
20-25
24-22
22-22
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
200.2Avg total
100.8Scored
99.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)101.797.9199.6+3.756%
Season at home (10)102.496.4198.8+6.050%
Season away (8)100.899.9200.6+0.962%
Last 10 (10)100.899.4200.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)102.0103.6205.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)92.797.7190.3-5.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)97.499.3196.6-1.936%
vs Weaker (13)104.991.9196.8+13.092%
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
BeijingGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liaoning
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/11
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H15/11
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A02/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H09/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H11/12
CBA
Guangdong
#4
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A13/12
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A15/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H17/12
CBA
101.3Avg total
48.3Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.551.1102.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.752.6107.2+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)47.849.497.2-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)48.353.0101.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)50.653.6104.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.854.8103.7-6.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.851.199.8-2.354%-
vs Weaker (11)56.149.1105.2+7.055%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
101.3Avg total
49.9Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.347.899.1+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.946.698.6+5.356%-
Last 30 away (14)50.649.299.8+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)49.951.4101.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.454.4104.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)47.848.296.0-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.549.3101.8+3.355%-
vs Weaker (13)51.846.598.3+5.462%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.223.3
51.5%
52.7%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.812.7
36.5%
34.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws17.514.0
80.0%
76.0%14.0
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.5
52.5%
52.7%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.5
37.5%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
76.0%17.0
They take 75.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beijing
LLLWLWWLLL
Guangzhou
WLLWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#9
-2.8
Net rating
+0.7
112.3
Offensive rating
111.1
115.1
Defensive rating
110.4
52.9%
Effective FG%
53.8%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
12.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.5%
3-point %
37.5%
59.4%
Assist %
49.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 111.1Defence115.1 · 110.4Shooting52.9% · 53.8%3-point %36.5% · 37.5%Ball care12.7% · 15.9%Off. rebounds25.5% · 33.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Beijing   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Beijing wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Guangzhou v Beijing87-101
22/10/22Beijing v Guangzhou66-71 OT
10/03/22Beijing v Guangzhou84-56
03/03/22Guangzhou v Beijing74-108
28/01/21Guangzhou v Beijing102-114
29/12/20Beijing v Guangzhou102-100
18/07/20Guangzhou v Beijing81-105
01/07/20Beijing v Guangzhou96-72
10/12/19Beijing v Guangzhou112-104
03/12/19Guangzhou v Beijing86-109
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HXinjiang88-103
15/12/23AFujian93-100
13/12/23AGuangdong95-106
11/12/23HJiangsu Dragons107-92
09/12/23HGuangdong110-114
07/12/23HShanxi Zhongyu117-97
04/12/23ABeijing Royal Fighters109-106 OT
02/12/23ATianjin88-95
15/11/23HBeijing Royal Fighters103-109
12/11/23ALiaoning91-109
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
08/12/23HShanghai98-100
06/12/23HNingbo Rockets99-80
03/12/23HShenzhen108-115
01/12/23AJiangsu Dragons96-83
16/11/23ANingbo Rockets99-97
13/11/23HQingdao96-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beijing
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL56%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game102.8105.999.7
Allowed / game100.8101.999.8
Point differential+1.9+4.0-0.1
Avg total203.6207.8199.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game101.7102.4100.8
Allowed / game97.996.499.9
Point differential+3.7+6.0+0.9
Avg total199.6198.8200.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning1715288%103.292.0+11.2
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou1815383%108.396.2+12.1
3 Xinjiang1815383%103.894.8+8.9
4 Guangdong1814478%107.8103.9+3.9
5 Zhejiang Guangsha1813572%102.194.2+7.9
6 Shenzhen1811761%104.099.2+4.8
7 Guangzhou1810856%101.797.9+3.7
8 Beijing1810856%102.8100.8+1.9
9 Qingdao1810856%101.4102.1-0.7
10 Shanxi Zhongyu179853%110.6110.6+0.0
11 Beijing Royal Fighters189950%106.5103.7+2.8
12 Shanghai189950%102.4102.8-0.4
13 Shandong1871139%101.7102.9-1.2
14 Fujian1871139%107.1110.6-3.4
15 Tianjin1871139%101.4106.6-5.2
16 Nanjing Tongxi1861233%99.1103.1-4.1
17 Jilin1851328%100.1105.1-5.0
18 Ningbo Rockets1831517%92.3103.0-10.7
19 Jiangsu Dragons1621412%91.6103.6-12.0
20 Sichuan181176%99.6114.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beijing2724242095
Guangzhou2229132791
← all games of the day
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