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Guangzhou vs Shenzhen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 108-115
29-18 25-28 31-29 23-40
Position#9
Record7-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game95.5
Guangzhou
China
vs
Shenzhen 🏆
China
Position#8
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game100.9
Allowed / game98.4
ChinaCBARound 12· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shenzhen
10 Mar 2027
GUAN v SHEN
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
GUAN86
SHEN99
08 Mar 2025
GUAN86
SHEN104
05 Feb 2024
GUAN109
SHEN96
03 Dec 2023
GUAN108
SHEN115
01 Jan 2023
GUAN109
SHEN105
21 Mar 2022
GUAN104
SHEN119
20 Dec 2020
GUAN96
SHEN98
21 Jan 2020
GUAN97
SHEN120
20 Nov 2019
GUAN116
SHEN88
25 Dec 2018
GUAN113
SHEN121
14 Dec 2018
GUAN98
SHEN104
06 Mar 2018
GUAN112
SHEN116
22 Dec 2017
GUAN117
SHEN128
23 Dec 2016
GUAN105
SHEN103
20 Dec 2015
GUAN118
SHEN126
11 Nov 2014
GUAN94
SHEN113
30 Dec 2013
GUAN93
SHEN108
12 Dec 2012
GUAN86
SHEN97
15 Jan 2012
GUAN109
SHEN111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shenzhen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
96avg 96
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
109-103
109
103
+6
109avg 96
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
75avg 96
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
104-117
104
117
-13
93avg 96
H01/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
108-105
108
105
+3
108avg 96
A04/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
91avg 96
A08/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
104-77
104
77
+27
95avg 96
H11/11
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
82avg 96
H13/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-97
99
97
+2
94avg 96
A16/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 96
A01/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
32-23
15-21
27-17
27-23
24-30
21-28
37-22
17-25
27-22
22-29
18-21
34-34
23-27
24-34
23-22
40-22
22-28
14-29
32-26
22-27
20-25
31-22
27-31
29-21
22-24
21-8
32-24
26-20
29-32
16-26
25-23
23-28
18-32
29-15
29-22
21-29
24-21
33-19
18-14
196.8Avg total
99.9Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)101.295.5196.6+5.764%
Season at home (6)104.393.8198.2+10.567%
Season away (5)97.497.4194.8+0.060%
Last 10 (10)99.996.9196.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)99.092.6191.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.695.4184.0-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (8)96.995.8192.6+1.150%
vs Weaker (14)104.889.6194.4+15.2100%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
115-104
115
104
+11
108avg 95
H26/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
103-96
103
96
+7
102avg 95
H28/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
89-80
89
80
+9
80avg 95
A30/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
98-100 OT
98
100
-2
no box
A01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
105-108
105
108
-3
94avg 95
H04/11
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-104
91
104
-13
86avg 95
H07/11
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-108
98
108
-10
87avg 95
A10/11
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
103-102
103
102
+1
101avg 95
A12/11
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
87avg 95
A15/11
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
129-112
129
112
+17
133avg 95
H01/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
29-23
22-30
37-26
31-29
21-21
26-23
25-23
18-23
25-21
19-19
27-17
20-29
20-18
19-16
30-26
22-40
28-22
29-14
26-32
30-29
19-25
25-28
17-22
19-36
31-24
23-20
25-28
25-29
21-35
28-21
29-17
28-27
25-26
18-21
20-25
39-31
35-27
32-24
23-30
203.5Avg total
102.2Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)100.998.4199.3+2.555%
Season at home (5)108.6104.8213.4+3.860%
Season away (6)94.593.0187.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)102.2101.3203.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)102.4105.0207.4-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)94.296.0190.2-1.830%
vs Similar ◀ (8)99.296.5195.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (12)109.096.6205.6+12.492%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
GuangzhouShenzhen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H01/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A08/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/11
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H13/11
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/11
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/12
CBA
102.1Avg total
50.5Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.146.897.9+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.345.898.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)49.947.897.7+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)50.551.6102.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.851.898.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.247.493.6-1.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)52.847.6100.4+5.162%-
vs Weaker (14)52.946.098.9+6.971%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H26/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H28/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A30/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H04/11
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H07/11
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A10/11
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
46-64
46
64
-18
A12/11
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A15/11
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H01/12
CBA
105.3Avg total
51.3Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.149.398.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.449.1102.4+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)45.449.594.9-4.119%-
Last 10 (10)51.354.0105.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)54.457.8112.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.950.596.4-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.950.997.8-4.025%-
vs Weaker (12)53.347.2100.6+6.175%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.625.5
50.4%
52.7%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.2
39.7%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.417.3
77.2%
76.0%17.3
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 100.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.525.6
53.9%
52.7%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.1
35.6%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.518.7
76.3%
76.0%18.7
They take 75.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLWLWLLWW
Shenzhen
WLWLLLLWWW
#9
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
+4.2
111.0
Offensive rating
111.2
108.3
Defensive rating
107.0
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.7%
3-point %
35.6%
57.7%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 111.2Defence108.3 · 107.0Shooting53.5% · 53.7%3-point %39.7% · 35.6%Ball care17.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shenzhen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Guangzhou wins
5
Shenzhen wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou105-108
17/01/23Shenzhen v Guangzhou89-114
01/01/23Guangzhou v Shenzhen109-105
21/03/22Guangzhou v Shenzhen104-119
17/03/22Shenzhen v Guangzhou114-120
07/01/21Shenzhen v Guangzhou112-103
20/12/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen96-98
21/01/20Guangzhou v Shenzhen97-120
05/01/20Shenzhen v Guangzhou96-90
20/11/19Guangzhou v Shenzhen116-88
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AJiangsu Dragons96-83
16/11/23ANingbo Rockets99-97
13/11/23HQingdao96-101
11/11/23HJiangsu Dragons104-77
08/11/23AZhejiang Chouzhou100-105
04/11/23AShenzhen108-105
01/11/23HBeijing Royal Fighters104-117
29/10/23AZhejiang Guangsha84-97
27/10/23HFujian109-103
25/10/23HXinjiang99-84
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23HFujian129-112
15/11/23AXinjiang91-99
12/11/23AShandong103-102
10/11/23ABeijing98-108
07/11/23HXinjiang91-104
04/11/23HGuangzhou105-108
01/11/23AZhejiang Guangsha98-100 OT
30/10/23ANanjing Tongxi89-80
28/10/23HNingbo Rockets103-96
26/10/23HBeijing Royal Fighters115-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game101.2104.397.4
Allowed / game95.593.897.4
Point differential+5.7+10.5+0.0
Avg total196.6198.2194.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shenzhen
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game100.9108.694.5
Allowed / game98.4104.893.0
Point differential+2.5+3.8+1.5
Avg total199.3213.4187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning10100100%108.890.7+18.1
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou118373%111.899.2+12.6
3 Zhejiang Guangsha118373%99.994.9+5.0
4 Guangdong118373%106.6101.8+4.8
5 Xinjiang118373%99.796.6+3.1
6 Guangzhou117464%101.295.5+5.7
7 Shanxi Zhongyu117464%113.3109.2+4.1
8 Beijing117464%102.899.7+3.1
9 Qingdao117464%103.5101.5+2.0
10 Shenzhen116555%100.998.4+2.5
11 Beijing Royal Fighters116555%107.5105.8+1.7
12 Fujian115645%109.3110.9-1.6
13 Shanghai114736%99.1101.1-2.0
14 Shandong114736%97.1100.8-3.7
15 Tianjin114736%99.7107.3-7.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi113827%95.2101.3-6.1
17 Jiangsu Dragons102820%91.8103.1-11.3
18 Jilin112918%94.1100.9-6.8
19 Ningbo Rockets112918%94.5105.0-10.5
20 Sichuan111109%101.0113.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou29253123108
Shenzhen18282940115
← all games of the day
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