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Beijing vs Guangzhou Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game104.2
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
ChinaCBARound 23· Cadillac Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beijing v Guangzhou
05 Jan 2027
BEIJ v GUAN
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
BEIJ117
GUAN73
03 Apr 2026
BEIJ97
GUAN89
20 Oct 2024
BEIJ105
GUAN90
19 Dec 2023
BEIJ95
GUAN91
22 Oct 2022
BEIJ66
GUAN71
10 Mar 2022
BEIJ84
GUAN56
29 Dec 2020
BEIJ102
GUAN100
01 Jul 2020
BEIJ96
GUAN72
10 Dec 2019
BEIJ112
GUAN104
07 Dec 2018
BEIJ112
GUAN98
10 Dec 2017
BEIJ122
GUAN116
30 Nov 2016
BEIJ102
GUAN101
13 Dec 2015
BEIJ117
GUAN106
07 Jan 2015
BEIJ109
GUAN94
03 Dec 2013
BEIJ119
GUAN114
30 Dec 2012
BEIJ108
GUAN92
10 Feb 2012
BEIJ110
GUAN102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beijing win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A15/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A17/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
85-99
85
99
-14
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
120-62
120
62
+58
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#12
W
117-73
117
73
+44
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
105-86
105
86
+19
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
21-29
20-21
25-17
16-16
26-26
30-21
27-25
15-26
14-22
14-18
23-15
23-15
28-20
11-39
23-25
16-25
21-21
18-12
29-24
24-25
34-19
20-19
18-15
32-18
30-11
29-12
29-21
32-16
32-19
30-18
23-20
25-15
30-22
26-34
22-21
26-18
25-31
27-17
27-20
178.5Avg total
95.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.278.8183.0+25.3100%
Season at home (3)111.071.0182.0+40.0100%
Season away (3)97.386.7184.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)95.782.8178.5+12.970%
Last 5 (5)108.278.2186.4+30.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.088.6171.6-5.620%
vs Similar (8)90.184.8174.9+5.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)98.481.6180.0+16.888%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
114-81
114
81
+33
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar (10)93.889.0182.8+4.860%
vs Weaker (3)89.374.3163.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
BeijingGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A15/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H20/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H22/05
CBA
Jilin
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H20/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H22/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#12
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A27/10
CBA
Qingdao
#14
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A29/10
CBA
90.0Avg total
48.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.642.288.8+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.639.988.5+8.864%-
Last 30 away (16)44.844.289.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)48.641.490.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)58.038.896.8+19.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.045.284.2-6.220%-
vs Similar (8)44.544.188.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)49.840.490.2+9.465%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar (10)46.844.190.9+2.770%-
vs Weaker (3)40.736.777.3+4.0100%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 95.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.924.4
59.7%
53.6%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.3
38.9%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.5
74.5%
74.8%15.5
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beijing
WWWWWWLLWL
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#12
+16.9
Net rating
-11.7
107.5
Offensive rating
90.5
90.6
Defensive rating
102.2
59.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
38.9%
3-point %
33.2%
59.9%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 90.5Defence90.6 · 102.2Shooting59.1% · 47.4%3-point %38.9% · 33.2%Ball care13.1% · 14.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Beijing   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Beijing wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
25/10/26Beijing v Guangzhou117-73
08/04/26Guangzhou v Beijing94-103
03/04/26Beijing v Guangzhou97-89
14/03/26Guangzhou v Beijing85-98
02/12/24Guangzhou v Beijing82-101
20/10/24Beijing v Guangzhou105-90
27/01/24Guangzhou v Beijing98-99 OT
19/12/23Beijing v Guangzhou95-91
01/04/23Guangzhou v Beijing87-101
22/10/22Beijing v Guangzhou66-71 OT
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AQingdao105-86
27/10/26AShandong103-92
25/10/26HGuangzhou117-73
22/10/26HShenzhen120-62
20/10/26HGuangdong96-78
18/10/26AJilin84-82
22/05/26HShanghai85-99
20/05/26HShanghai66-81
17/05/26AShanghai99-88
15/05/26AShanghai82-87
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beijing
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.2111.097.3
Allowed / game78.871.086.7
Point differential+25.3+40.0+10.7
Avg total183.0182.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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