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Beijing vs Guangzhou Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 105-90
29-26 22-32 29-12 25-20
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game91.0
Beijing 🏆
China
vs
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game114.5
ChinaCBARound 4· Cadillac Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Beijing v Guangzhou
05 Jan 2027
BEIJ v GUAN
upcoming
25 Oct 2026
BEIJ117
GUAN73
03 Apr 2026
BEIJ97
GUAN89
20 Oct 2024
BEIJ105
GUAN90
19 Dec 2023
BEIJ95
GUAN91
22 Oct 2022
BEIJ66
GUAN71
10 Mar 2022
BEIJ84
GUAN56
29 Dec 2020
BEIJ102
GUAN100
01 Jul 2020
BEIJ96
GUAN72
10 Dec 2019
BEIJ112
GUAN104
07 Dec 2018
BEIJ112
GUAN98
10 Dec 2017
BEIJ122
GUAN116
30 Nov 2016
BEIJ102
GUAN101
13 Dec 2015
BEIJ117
GUAN106
07 Jan 2015
BEIJ109
GUAN94
03 Dec 2013
BEIJ119
GUAN114
30 Dec 2012
BEIJ108
GUAN92
10 Feb 2012
BEIJ110
GUAN102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beijing winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeijingChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeijing
Date
Competition
Jilin
#16
W
113-104
113
104
+9
118avg 93
H29/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
105-96
105
96
+9
106avg 93
H31/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
94-102
94
102
-8
90avg 93
A02/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
107-102
107
102
+5
109avg 93
A06/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
96-110
96
110
-14
86avg 93
A11/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
116-99
116
99
+17
120avg 93
H14/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
98-118
98
118
-20
69avg 93
A16/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
no box
H13/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
96-75
96
75
+21
88avg 93
A15/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
102-91
102
91
+11
108avg 93
H17/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
29-25
25-23
31-33
30-34
25-18
25-21
25-23
21-27
28-20
28-29
17-26
23-23
37-28
19-28
28-23
18-29
21-33
33-23
24-25
35-31
31-22
26-23
24-23
26-24
13-36
26-28
33-30
26-29
25-30
26-25
24-17
29-23
26-22
21-14
20-16
36-25
22-33
22-17
22-16
204.1Avg total
103.7Scored
100.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.791.0193.7+11.7100%
Season at home (2)106.099.0205.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)96.075.0171.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)103.7100.4204.1+3.370%
Last 5 (5)104.498.0202.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.8104.8194.7-15.00%
vs Similar (15)102.199.5201.7+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)103.789.3193.0+14.389%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
W
103-88
103
88
+15
102avg 93
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
109-87
109
87
+22
106avg 93
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
101-96
101
96
+5
92avg 93
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
92-78
92
78
+14
79avg 93
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
91-108
91
108
-17
73avg 93
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
86-113
86
113
-27
67avg 93
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
105-83
105
83
+22
93avg 93
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
71-93
71
93
-22
54avg 93
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
80-109
80
109
-29
59avg 93
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
88-120
88
120
-32
75avg 93
H18/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
27-32
37-10
17-19
29-23
27-20
33-22
20-22
25-26
20-22
25-24
31-24
18-17
25-28
30-19
19-14
25-23
23-30
23-23
20-32
21-26
22-31
24-34
19-22
25-20
33-20
27-26
20-17
18-18
22-23
15-31
16-21
16-26
23-26
15-33
26-24
21-26
29-27
23-30
15-37
190.1Avg total
92.6Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)84.0114.5198.5-30.50%
Season at home (1)88.0120.0208.0-32.00%
Season away (1)80.0109.0189.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)92.697.5190.1-4.950%
Last 5 (5)86.0103.6189.6-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)95.0104.9199.9-9.933%
vs Similar (12)102.3101.3203.7+1.058%
vs Weaker (9)106.393.8200.1+12.678%
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
BeijingGuangzhou
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeijingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jilin
#16
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H29/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H31/03
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A02/04
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A06/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A11/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H14/04
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A16/04
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
51-59
51
59
-8
H13/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A15/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
D
58-58
58
58
+0
H17/10
CBA
106.4Avg total
52.9Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.948.2100.1+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.749.5104.3+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)49.146.895.9+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)52.953.5106.4-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)53.855.0108.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.251.3100.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (15)51.049.1100.1+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)55.244.699.8+10.778%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#17
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H02/04
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H06/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A11/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A19/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A21/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
58-40
58
40
+18
H24/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A14/10
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H18/10
CBA
96.2Avg total
47.1Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.951.5102.4-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.250.2103.4+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)48.752.8101.5-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)47.149.196.2-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)46.048.694.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)51.151.2102.3-0.144%-
vs Similar (12)49.253.2102.4-4.117%-
vs Weaker (9)53.149.4102.6+3.767%-
This opponent (Beijing) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beijingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beijing: 102.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.227.0
56.0%
52.6%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.8
31.6%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.519.5
79.6%
76.3%19.5
They take 79.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.925.0
51.1%
52.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.17.9
29.2%
35.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
76.3%15.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beijing
WWWLWLWLWW
Guangzhou
LLLWLLWWWW
#3
League position
#16
+9.6
Net rating
-8.3
113.9
Offensive rating
98.6
104.3
Defensive rating
107.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
29.2%
70.4%
Assist %
49.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.9 · 98.6Defence104.3 · 107.0Shooting52.7% · 48.5%3-point %31.6% · 29.2%Ball care15.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds34.5% · 26.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Beijing   ■ Guangzhou
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Beijing wins
1
Guangzhou wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Guangzhou v Beijing98-99 OT
19/12/23Beijing v Guangzhou95-91
01/04/23Guangzhou v Beijing87-101
22/10/22Beijing v Guangzhou66-71 OT
10/03/22Beijing v Guangzhou84-56
03/03/22Guangzhou v Beijing74-108
28/01/21Guangzhou v Beijing102-114
29/12/20Beijing v Guangzhou102-100
18/07/20Guangzhou v Beijing81-105
01/07/20Beijing v Guangzhou96-72
Beijinglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/24HSichuan102-91
15/10/24ANingbo Rockets96-75
13/10/24HShanghai110-107 OT
16/04/24AShanghai98-118
14/04/24HShanghai116-99
11/04/24AShanghai96-110
06/04/24AShenzhen107-102
02/04/24AShanxi Zhongyu94-102
31/03/24HNingbo Rockets105-96
29/03/24HJilin113-104
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HLiaoning88-120
14/10/24AQingdao80-109
26/04/24HXinjiang71-93
24/04/24HXinjiang105-83
21/04/24AXinjiang86-113
19/04/24AXinjiang91-108
14/04/24HQingdao92-78
11/04/24AQingdao101-96
06/04/24HNanjing Tongxi109-87
02/04/24HFujian103-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beijing
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game102.7106.096.0
Allowed / game91.099.075.0
Point differential+11.7+7.0+21.0
Avg total193.7205.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game84.088.080.0
Allowed / game114.5120.0109.0
Point differential-30.5-32.0-29.0
Avg total198.5208.0189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning330100%119.792.0+27.7
2 Shanxi Zhongyu330100%110.097.3+12.7
3 Zhejiang Guangsha440100%109.897.8+12.0
4 Beijing330100%102.791.0+11.7
5 Xinjiang330100%118.7108.7+10.0
6 Tianjin220100%113.5107.0+6.5
7 Beijing Royal Fighters43175%107.899.0+8.8
8 Qingdao32167%107.798.3+9.3
9 Shandong42250%105.2101.0+4.2
10 Nanjing Tongxi42250%105.8107.2-1.5
11 Jilin31233%112.0110.0+2.0
12 Shenzhen31233%109.7111.3-1.7
13 Zhejiang Chouzhou31233%111.7116.0-4.3
14 Guangdong31233%107.3112.7-5.3
15 Ningbo Rockets41325%99.8111.0-11.2
16 Shanghai3030%104.7107.7-3.0
17 Sichuan4040%98.8111.8-13.0
18 Jiangsu Dragons3030%94.0114.0-20.0
19 Fujian3030%96.3118.3-22.0
20 Guangzhou2020%84.0114.5-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beijing29222925105
Guangzhou2632122090
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