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Belgium vs France Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 64-92
10-18 17-25 22-27 15-22
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
France 🏆
Position#5
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Spodek
Other2025
Meetings · Belgium v France
03 Jul 2026
BELG72
FRAN80
28 Aug 2025
BELG64
FRAN92
24 Nov 2017
BELG59
FRAN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBelgium
Date
Competition
Turkey
#50
L
52-86
52
86
-34
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
54-82
54
82
-28
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 68
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
79avg 68
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
93-63
93
63
+30
98avg 68
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
52-59
52
59
-7
35avg 68
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
14-20
13-17
12-26
19-19
15-12
21-27
15-14
19-16
23-10
20-13
26-20
14-22
17-23
14-19
9-18
25-13
15-23
24-18
11-6
11-14
8-12
21-13
18-14
25-17
19-25
13-17
15-16
20-16
21-20
25-22
17-27
21-24
25-13
23-10
24-16
11-11
14-11
15-20
12-17
139.1Avg total
69.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.769.4139.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)71.667.0138.6+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.869.0137.8-0.250%
vs Similar (12)73.977.7151.6-3.833%
vs Weaker (14)78.666.4145.0+12.171%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-59
75
59
+16
70avg 74
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 74
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
78avg 74
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 74
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
20-23
21-13
12-26
19-20
19-17
20-22
27-20
9-12
26-15
19-9
28-19
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
15-14
20-16
22-14
16-17
16-15
18-17
23-16
17-16
20-15
17-16
14-19
24-9
28-14
19-20
21-24
17-12
20-17
17-18
22-16
24-29
18-21
16-11
17-25
25-17
151.3Avg total
80.6Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.670.7151.3+9.990%
Last 5 (5)78.669.4148.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.850%
vs Similar (9)79.978.0157.9+1.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.964.1146.9+18.888%
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
BelgiumFrance
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BelgiumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#50
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A11/11
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A24/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#23
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/02
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/11
EuroBasket
Latvia
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
69.3Avg total
34.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.373.1+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.935.070.9+0.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.637.475.0+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.469.3+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.667.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.240.271.5-9.00%-
vs Similar (12)37.838.876.7-1.050%-
vs Weaker (14)37.532.970.4+4.671%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A26/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/11
EuroBasket
Croatia
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A21/02
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H24/02
EuroBasket
73.8Avg total
39.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.973.2+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.934.173.0+4.779%-
Last 30 away (16)37.835.673.4+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.034.873.8+4.290%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.870.6+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.876.0-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)37.832.770.5+5.171%-
This opponent (Belgium) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgiumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.2
48.4%
52.4%30.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.5
31.3%
33.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.7
71.7%
73.1%12.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.7
52.9%
52.4%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.3
28.8%
33.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.515.3
71.3%
73.1%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 28 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium
LWLLWWLWLL
France
WWWWWWWWWL
#16
League position
#5
+9.6
Net rating
+13.0
102.8
Offensive rating
106.5
93.2
Defensive rating
93.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.3%
3-point %
28.8%
66.9%
Assist %
69.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 106.5Defence93.2 · 93.6Shooting47.7% · 48.9%3-point %31.3% · 28.8%Ball care18.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 37.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Belgium   ■ France
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium wins
2
France wins
DateGameScore
25/02/18France v Belgium64-49
24/11/17Belgium v France59-70
Belgiumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASpain52-59
20/02/25HSlovakia93-63
25/11/24HLatvia83-85
22/11/24ALatvia72-75
25/02/24HSpain58-53
22/02/24ASlovakia75-60
27/02/23HTurkey54-82
24/02/23AGreat Britain88-59
14/11/22HGreece70-72
11/11/22ATurkey52-86
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HBosnia & Herzegovina76-74
21/02/25ACroatia83-80
24/11/24HCyprus85-70
21/11/24ACyprus75-59
26/02/24ABosnia & Herzegovina74-64
23/02/24HCroatia73-61
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
31/08/23HIran82-55
29/08/23ALebanon85-79
27/08/23HLatvia86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
France
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia110100%98.064.0+34.0
2 Germany110100%106.076.0+30.0
3 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
4 Turkey110100%93.073.0+20.0
5 Georgia110100%83.069.0+14.0
6 Israel110100%83.071.0+12.0
7 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
8 Finland110100%93.090.0+3.0
9 Sweden1010%90.093.0-3.0
10 Czech Republic1010%50.062.0-12.0
11 Iceland1010%71.083.0-12.0
12 Spain1010%69.083.0-14.0
13 Latvia1010%73.093.0-20.0
14 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
15 Montenegro1010%76.0106.0-30.0
16 Estonia1010%64.098.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium1017221564
France1825272292
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