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France vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-61
15-14 20-16 22-14 16-17
Position#3
Record-
FormLLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
France 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record9-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game66.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Brest Arena
Other2023
Meetings · France v Croatia
23 Feb 2024
FRAN73
CROA61
06 Sep 2014
FRAN69
CROA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFrance
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
A18/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#9
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
92-56
92
56
+36
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
72-59
72
59
+13
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
65-95
65
95
-30
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
85-79
85
79
+6
no box
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
82-55
82
55
+27
no box
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
A02/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
23-24
20-19
19-22
22-14
21-19
27-14
20-18
17-13
23-14
19-17
33-12
11-27
16-9
22-11
23-12
11-14
24-13
18-16
17-20
18-14
22-29
8-25
17-27
33-26
20-23
21-13
12-26
19-20
19-17
20-22
27-20
9-12
26-15
19-9
28-19
25-21
15-20
22-20
25-16
153.0Avg total
80.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.572.5153.0+8.070%
Last 5 (5)81.078.8159.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.090.7167.7-13.733%
vs Similar (7)81.380.6161.9+0.757%
vs Weaker (20)83.064.8147.8+18.290%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
77avg 92
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
89-49
89
49
+40
97avg 92
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
98-62
98
62
+36
105avg 92
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
95-61
95
61
+34
95avg 92
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
91-79
91
79
+12
88avg 92
A02/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
24-5
32-12
14-16
19-16
31-14
26-20
23-12
18-16
20-12
22-22
21-8
32-19
25-12
25-25
24-18
17-24
159.8Avg total
87.6Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.666.5152.1+19.190%
Season at home (5)86.865.0151.8+21.880%
Season away (5)84.468.0152.4+16.4100%
Last 10 (10)87.672.2159.8+15.480%
Last 5 (5)91.465.0156.4+26.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.684.9160.5-9.212%
vs Similar (6)82.382.5164.8-0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.466.6148.1+14.888%
This opponent (France) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.0+2.0
FranceCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A23/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H26/02
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/08
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/08
World Cup
Iran
#51
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A02/09
World Cup
75.5Avg total
38.8Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.875.4+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.135.774.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (17)40.135.875.9+4.359%-
Last 10 (10)38.836.775.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.744.784.3-5.00%-
vs Similar (7)41.338.980.1+2.457%-
vs Weaker (20)39.133.472.5+5.870%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
56-17
56
17
+39
H19/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H22/07
EuroBasket
Ireland
#29
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/07
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#38
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A02/08
EuroBasket
82.0Avg total
46.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.376.1+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.033.075.0+9.071%-
Last 30 away (16)37.939.177.1-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)46.036.082.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)51.031.682.6+19.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.242.077.2-6.812%-
vs Similar (6)39.540.279.7-0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.231.974.2+10.388%-
This opponent (France) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Francetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.3
56.0%
50.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.717.9
75.5%
71.4%17.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
France wins
0
Croatia wins
DateGameScore
06/09/14France v Croatia69-64
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/09/23AIvory Coast87-77
31/08/23HIran82-55
29/08/23ALebanon85-79
27/08/23HLatvia86-88
25/08/23ACanada65-95
26/02/23HLithuania70-63
23/02/23ACzech Republic72-59
14/11/22HBosnia & Herzegovina92-56
11/11/22ALithuania90-65
18/09/22ASpain76-88
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/23ALuxembourg91-79
29/07/23AIreland95-61
22/07/23HLuxembourg98-62
19/07/23HIreland89-49
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %90%80%100%
Points / game85.686.884.4
Allowed / game66.565.068.0
Point differential+19.1+21.8+16.4
Avg total152.1151.8152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Germany110100%85.061.0+24.0
3 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
4 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
5 Belgium110100%75.060.0+15.0
6 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
7 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
8 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
9 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
10 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
11 Iceland110100%70.065.0+5.0
12 Latvia110100%79.075.0+4.0
13 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
14 Croatia109190%85.666.5+19.1
15 Bulgaria118373%80.573.2+7.4
16 Slovakia118373%75.169.2+5.9
17 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
18 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
19 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
20 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
21 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
22 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
23 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
24 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
25 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
26 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
27 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
28 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
29 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
30 Spain1010%75.079.0-4.0
31 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
32 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
33 Turkey1010%80.087.0-7.0
34 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
35 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
36 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
37 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 37 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France1520221673
Croatia1416141761
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