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Belgium W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 81-70
19-15 22-20 25-14 15-21
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game47.5
Belgium W 🏆
vs
Lithuania W
Position#17
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game67.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Antwerps Sportpaleis
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 84
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 84
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 84
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 84
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 84
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 84
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
85-58
85
58
+27
90avg 84
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
86avg 84
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
80avg 84
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 84
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
19-7
20-16
22-16
24-19
26-26
22-11
19-12
12-17
17-14
19-17
15-17
15-18
19-20
17-17
25-23
20-25
154.9Avg total
85.3Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.047.5146.5+51.550%
Season at home (1)62.067.0129.0-5.00%
Season away (1)136.028.0164.0+108.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.369.6154.9+15.750%
Last 5 (5)78.875.4154.2+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.383.9155.1-12.60%
vs Similar (2)73.564.0137.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.357.2143.5+29.190%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#24
L
55-67
55
67
-12
no box
H04/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
no box
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
69-59
69
59
+10
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
99avg 80
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
71avg 80
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
20-14
7-21
19-13
18-26
15-34
11-22
17-14
20-17
15-7
19-15
15-20
17-22
11-20
15-24
13-17
23-17
14-25
29-10
15-10
20-9
14-12
14-18
17-17
17-20
23-20
11-22
24-21
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
141.3Avg total
70.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.067.5154.5+19.5100%
Season at home (1)99.062.0161.0+37.0100%
Season away (1)75.073.0148.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.171.2141.3-1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.869.0144.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)67.683.4151.0-15.820%
vs Similar (4)63.068.5131.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (4)85.255.0140.2+30.2100%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Belgium WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
73.6Avg total
41.0Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.031.872.7+9.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.533.375.7+9.267%-
Last 30 away (15)39.530.369.7+9.267%-
Last 10 (10)41.032.673.6+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.874.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.340.675.9-5.329%-
vs Similar (2)38.532.070.5+6.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.128.871.9+14.381%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey W
#24
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H04/02
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H11/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
73.7Avg total
35.6Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)35.336.772.0-1.438%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.033.470.4+3.643%-
Last 30 away (6)33.340.573.8-7.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.638.173.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.836.074.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.044.676.6-12.60%-
vs Similar (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (4)40.025.265.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.825.4
58.0%
45.4%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.0
32.8%
30.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws12.49.5
76.6%
72.4%9.5
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.525.0
50.5%
45.4%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.55.5
25.6%
30.0%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
72.4%19.5
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Belgium W
LLWWLLWWLW
Lithuania W
WWLLWWLWLL
#1
League position
#17
+19.9
Net rating
+22.8
108.1
Offensive rating
100.6
88.2
Defensive rating
77.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
46.8%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
39.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
25.6%
81.4%
Assist %
77.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 100.6Defence88.2 · 77.8Shooting54.8% · 46.8%3-point %32.8% · 25.6%Ball care19.0% · 21.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 37.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Belgium W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belgium W wins
0
Lithuania W wins
No previous meetings.
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/08/24HAustralia W81-85
09/08/24AFrance W75-81 OT
07/08/24ASpain W79-66
04/08/24AJapan W85-58
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71
09/02/23HFrance W75-83
27/11/22AFinland W65-56
24/11/22HUkraine W81-62
14/11/21AFrance W56-83
11/11/21HFinland W69-59
06/02/21ASerbia W61-96
04/02/21HTurkey W55-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belgium W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game99.062.0136.0
Allowed / game47.567.028.0
Point differential+51.5-5.0+108.0
Avg total146.5129.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.099.075.0
Allowed / game67.562.073.0
Point differential+19.5+37.0+2.0
Avg total154.5161.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W330100%85.345.7+39.7
2 France W220100%85.548.5+37.0
3 Turkey W330100%82.753.0+29.7
4 Spain W220100%72.549.5+23.0
5 Lithuania W220100%87.067.5+19.5
6 Italy W330100%71.355.7+15.7
7 Luxembourg W330100%68.053.7+14.3
8 Sweden W330100%74.061.0+13.0
9 Poland W32167%81.762.7+19.0
10 Great Britain W32167%73.357.0+16.3
11 Croatia W32167%79.069.0+10.0
12 Germany W32167%72.362.3+10.0
13 Montenegro W32167%75.067.3+7.7
14 Slovenia W32167%71.065.0+6.0
15 Hungary W32167%68.363.3+5.0
16 Latvia W32167%73.369.0+4.3
17 Portugal W32167%60.062.0-2.0
18 Slovakia W32167%70.374.0-3.7
19 Belgium W21150%99.047.5+51.5
20 Israel W21150%85.071.5+13.5
21 Netherlands W21150%60.563.0-2.5
22 Denmark W31233%70.768.0+2.7
23 Greece W31233%72.773.7-1.0
24 Ukraine W31233%67.069.7-2.7
25 Bulgaria W31233%70.373.7-3.3
26 Switzerland W31233%63.367.7-4.3
27 Finland W31233%64.372.0-7.7
28 Romania W31233%71.088.0-17.0
29 Iceland W3030%68.377.3-9.0
30 Bosnia & Herzegovina W3030%65.383.0-17.7
31 Austria W3030%53.076.7-23.7
32 Czech Republic W3030%51.376.0-24.7
33 Estonia W3030%50.082.0-32.0
34 North Macedonia W3030%53.788.7-35.0
35 Ireland W3030%52.790.7-38.0
36 Azerbaijan W3030%47.0113.3-66.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Belgium W1922251581
Lithuania W1520142170
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