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Japan W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 58-85
7-19 16-20 16-22 19-24
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game83.0
Japan W
vs
Belgium W 🏆
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game75.6
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Japan W v Belgium W
04 Aug 2024
JAPA58
BELG85
04 Aug 2021
JAPA86
BELG85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 64
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 64
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 64
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
76-102
76
102
-26
50avg 64
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
64-75
64
75
-11
56avg 64
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
26-18
20-18
23-21
17-18
22-13
10-19
16-21
27-28
20-20
30-26
20-21
16-15
15-22
24-28
18-29
19-23
16-21
20-21
13-17
15-16
150.0Avg total
81.7Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.483.0160.4-5.640%
Season at home (2)69.578.0147.5-8.50%
Season away (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
Last 10 (10)81.768.3150.0+13.460%
Last 5 (5)77.483.0160.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.678.6153.2-4.042%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (16)88.656.7145.3+31.988%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
W
93-53
93
53
+40
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 82
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 82
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 82
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 82
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 82
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 82
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 82
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-8
21-23
22-14
22-8
18-8
26-22
10-16
13-17
13-17
12-15
18-16
21-10
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
146.6Avg total
81.9Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.475.6155.0+3.840%
Season at home (3)83.071.3154.3+11.767%
Season away (2)74.082.0156.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)81.964.7146.6+17.260%
Last 5 (5)79.475.6155.0+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.482.9152.3-13.40%
vs Similar (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)86.359.3145.6+27.082%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +7.8+7.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
Japan WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
78.7Avg total
42.9Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.134.475.5+6.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.533.174.6+8.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.735.776.4+4.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.935.878.7+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.840.977.7-4.225%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (16)45.729.775.4+16.094%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H22/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
72.0Avg total
39.3Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.732.973.6+7.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.232.975.1+9.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.132.972.0+6.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.772.0+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.675.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.441.677.0-6.114%-
vs Similar (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.330.472.7+11.973%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.3
51.2%
45.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.4
38.0%
30.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws11.89.8
83.1%
74.5%9.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.7 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.6 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.326.9
60.6%
45.1%53.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.7
29.0%
30.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws10.77.6
70.7%
74.5%7.6
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 04 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan W
LLWLWLWWWW
Belgium W
LLWWLWLWWW
#13
League position
#7
+14.1
Net rating
+22.6
111.6
Offensive rating
107.8
97.5
Defensive rating
85.2
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
17.7%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.15
38.0%
3-point %
29.0%
70.0%
Assist %
78.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 107.8Defence97.5 · 85.2Shooting54.1% · 54.2%3-point %38.0% · 29.0%Ball care14.6% · 17.7%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.15Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Japan W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Japan W wins
1
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
04/08/21Japan W v Belgium W86-85
08/02/20Belgium W v Japan W92-84
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24HGermany W64-75
29/07/24AUSA W76-102
11/02/24ACanada W86-82
09/02/24HHungary W75-81
08/02/24ASpain W86-75
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
25/06/23ASpain W64-58
24/06/23HFrance W67-63
22/06/23HSerbia W93-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game77.469.582.7
Allowed / game83.078.086.3
Point differential-5.6-8.5-3.7
Avg total160.4147.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game79.483.074.0
Allowed / game75.671.382.0
Point differential+3.8+11.7-8.0
Avg total155.0154.3156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%82.847.4+35.4
2 USA W550100%94.262.8+31.4
3 Spain W65183%71.871.0+0.8
4 Australia W54180%70.464.0+6.4
5 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
6 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
7 Canada W84450%68.963.2+5.6
8 Serbia W63350%68.766.2+2.5
9 Belgium W52340%79.475.6+3.8
10 Japan W52340%77.483.0-5.6
11 Nigeria W52340%61.676.0-14.4
12 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan W716161958
Belgium W1920222485
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