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Spain W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 66-79
26-26 11-22 12-19 17-12
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game71.0
Spain W
vs
Belgium W 🏆
Position#7
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeOlympic Games WomenOlympic Games Women - Quarter-finals· Accor Arena
Women2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Spain W v Belgium W
29 Jun 2025
SPAI65
BELG67
07 Aug 2024
SPAI66
BELG79
25 Jun 2023
SPAI58
BELG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spain W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 69
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 69
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 69
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 69
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 69
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 69
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 69
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 69
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
135.2Avg total
70.3Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.871.0142.8+0.883%
Season at home (3)79.382.3161.7-3.067%
Season away (3)64.359.7124.0+4.7100%
Last 10 (10)70.364.9135.2+5.480%
Last 5 (5)71.268.0139.2+3.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.271.4140.6-2.240%
vs Similar (5)66.864.0130.8+2.860%
vs Weaker (20)78.757.0135.7+21.890%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#5
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
W
64-58
64
58
+6
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
62-67
62
67
-5
54avg 83
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
136-28
136
28
+108
145avg 83
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 83
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 83
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 83
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 83
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 83
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
85-58
85
58
+27
90avg 83
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
26-22
10-16
13-17
13-17
12-15
18-16
21-10
14-18
10-18
20-13
18-18
25-6
38-4
39-6
34-12
19-15
24-19
23-23
13-24
23-15
19-18
31-11
24-22
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
19-7
20-16
22-16
24-19
146.3Avg total
81.1Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.372.7153.0+7.750%
Season at home (3)83.071.3154.3+11.767%
Season away (3)77.774.0151.7+3.733%
Last 10 (10)81.165.2146.3+15.960%
Last 5 (5)80.671.0151.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.784.3155.0-13.70%
vs Similar (1)66.043.0109.0+23.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.259.3145.5+27.083%
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +7.6+7.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
Spain WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
66.4Avg total
35.3Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.128.665.7+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.029.468.4+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)34.227.461.7+6.875%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.166.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.266.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.228.060.2+4.280%-
vs Similar (5)31.233.064.2-1.860%-
vs Weaker (20)39.827.667.4+12.175%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H24/06
European Championship Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A25/06
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H08/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
63-10
63
10
+53
A12/11
European Championship Women
USA W
#1
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Senegal W
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
70.2Avg total
38.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.732.473.1+8.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.232.975.1+9.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.331.971.1+7.460%-
Last 10 (10)38.331.970.2+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.242.277.3-7.017%-
vs Similar (1)41.027.068.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.230.172.3+12.174%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.821.9
47.8%
45.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.6
24.5%
30.1%13.9
🏀 Free throws17.113.4
78.1%
74.5%13.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.4 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.626.6
59.7%
45.1%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.27.9
30.0%
30.1%23.6
🏀 Free throws10.27.4
72.0%
74.5%7.4
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 07 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spain W
WWWWWLWWLW
Belgium W
WLLWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#7
+7.5
Net rating
+24.0
95.0
Offensive rating
108.5
87.5
Defensive rating
84.5
44.6%
Effective FG%
54.2%
45.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.14
24.5%
3-point %
30.0%
79.2%
Assist %
80.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 108.5Defence87.5 · 84.5Shooting44.6% · 54.2%3-point %24.5% · 30.0%Ball care18.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.14Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Spain W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Spain W wins
1
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
25/06/23Spain W v Belgium W58-64
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/08/24AJapan W85-58
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61
09/02/24HSenegal W97-66
08/02/24AUSA W79-81
12/11/23AAzerbaijan W136-28
08/11/23HPoland W62-67
25/06/23ASpain W64-58
24/06/23HFrance W67-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spain W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game71.879.364.3
Allowed / game71.082.359.7
Point differential+0.8-3.0+4.7
Avg total142.8161.7124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Belgium W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.383.077.7
Allowed / game72.771.374.0
Point differential+7.7+11.7+3.7
Avg total153.0154.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 USA W660100%93.063.7+29.3
2 Australia W76186%73.765.6+8.1
3 France W65183%81.052.7+28.3
4 Spain W65183%71.871.0+0.8
5 Germany W64267%70.773.7-3.0
6 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
7 Belgium W63350%80.372.7+7.7
8 Nigeria W63350%64.575.0-10.5
9 Canada W94544%69.065.0+4.0
10 Serbia W73443%68.468.9-0.4
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spain W2611121766
Belgium W2622191279
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