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Belmont vs Drake Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#119
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game62.2
vs
Position#38
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Belmont v Drake
27 Jan 2027
BELM v DRAK
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BELM79
DRAK100
03 Feb 2026
BELM103
DRAK90
07 Jan 2024
BELM87
DRAK65
29 Jan 2023
BELM61
DRAK79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Drake win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
98-64
98
64
+34
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
75-45
75
45
+30
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#81
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-41
24-39
63-31
39-25
48-45
44-29
54-35
40-38
34-43
41-48
38-52
27-14
45-40
33-26
42-19
32-40
43-48
30-33
42-29
153.0Avg total
81.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.562.2135.8+11.275%
Season at home (3)73.053.7126.7+19.3100%
Season away (1)75.088.0163.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.072.0153.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)74.669.8144.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)72.062.0134.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)79.269.9149.1+9.488%
vs Weaker (20)84.277.7161.9+6.570%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
53-75
53
75
-22
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
100-79
100
79
+21
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
101-48
101
48
+53
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
33-48
36-31
25-35
37-36
34-38
24-39
29-36
27-31
40-32
48-41
52-38
27-34
24-38
50-22
51-26
33-27
42-41
30-29
51-43
142.5Avg total
72.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season at home (3)85.762.7148.3+23.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.270.3142.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)81.667.8149.4+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.081.6153.6-9.68%
vs Similar (12)74.876.3151.1-1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.468.0150.4+14.4100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
BelmontDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H13/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/03
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#297
W
27-14
27
14
+13
H03/11
NCAA
Centre College
#415
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Furman
#81
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H15/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.634.572.1+3.173%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.935.073.9+3.969%-
Last 30 away (14)36.134.070.1+2.179%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.264.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (20)38.435.473.7+3.075%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#88
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A15/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H19/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A05/03
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/03
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Central College
#494
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H05/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H08/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#333
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H14/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.770.0-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.934.771.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.336.968.1-5.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.866.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.668.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.939.072.9-5.117%-
vs Similar (12)33.036.269.2-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.229.464.6+5.880%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
6
Drake wins
DateGameScore
06/03/26Belmont v Drake79-100
04/02/26Belmont v Drake103-90
10/01/26Drake v Belmont76-78
08/03/25Drake v Belmont57-50
29/12/24Drake v Belmont65-46
22/02/24Drake v Belmont84-69
07/01/24Belmont v Drake87-65
19/02/23Drake v Belmont70-56
29/01/23Belmont v Drake61-79
26/11/21Drake v Belmont69-74
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HFurman72-62
11/11/26ALipscomb75-88
06/11/26HCentre College75-45
03/11/26HSouthern Indiana72-54
06/03/26HDrake79-100
01/03/26AIllinois State74-81
26/02/26HEvansville98-64
22/02/26HIndiana State87-70
15/02/26AMurray State87-70
13/02/26HNorthern Iowa91-86
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes81-72
08/11/26HSouthern Univ.75-68
05/11/26HCentral College101-48
07/03/26AIllinois (Chi.)51-72
06/03/26ABelmont100-79
05/03/26ASouthern Illinois67-63
01/03/26HNorthern Iowa53-75
26/02/26AValparaiso71-74
19/02/26HSouthern Illinois61-66
15/02/26ANorthern Iowa62-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game73.573.075.0
Allowed / game62.253.788.0
Point differential+11.2+19.3-13.0
Avg total135.8126.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Drake
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.785.7-
Allowed / game62.762.7-
Point differential+23.0+23.0-
Avg total148.3148.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State440100%95.067.5+27.5
2 Drake330100%85.762.7+23.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)43175%79.564.8+14.8
4 Belmont43175%73.562.2+11.2
5 Southern Illinois32167%85.070.0+15.0
6 Valparaiso32167%77.373.0+4.3
7 Indiana State42250%80.265.8+14.5
8 Evansville42250%76.076.2-0.2
9 Bradley52340%59.856.4+3.4
10 Northern Iowa52340%85.286.0-0.8
11 Illinois State41325%81.275.8+5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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