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Belmont vs Drake Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-90
51-43 52-47
Position#25
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#271
Record12-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Belmont v Drake
27 Jan 2027
BELM v DRAK
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
BELM79
DRAK100
03 Feb 2026
BELM103
DRAK90
07 Jan 2024
BELM87
DRAK65
29 Jan 2023
BELM61
DRAK79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Drake winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H02/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
103-86
103
86
+17
H01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
30-35
42-39
46-39
22-26
45-42
36-32
42-33
25-44
53-32
41-39
37-35
32-24
41-44
44-36
36-33
42-38
36-39
54-40
49-46
154.5Avg total
80.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.872.0153.8+9.883%
Season at home (13)84.471.6156.0+12.885%
Season away (11)78.872.5151.3+6.482%
Last 10 (10)80.374.2154.5+6.180%
Last 5 (5)82.474.8157.2+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%
vs Similar (9)79.370.6149.9+8.889%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.171.9153.0+9.280%
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-62
76
62
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-31
29-42
33-39
41-33
19-40
47-53
44-25
32-53
26-37
41-30
22-34
45-40
44-41
57-49
26-24
50-38
30-36
52-42
35-41
38-46
152.7Avg total
74.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.273.0150.2+4.252%
Season at home (15)79.873.0152.8+6.847%
Season away (8)72.273.0145.2-0.862%
Last 10 (10)74.778.0152.7-3.350%
Last 5 (5)79.878.2158.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.477.1148.6-5.70%
vs Similar (13)73.072.8145.8+0.262%
vs Weaker (9)75.860.7136.4+15.1100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.6+0.6
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -4.2-4.22nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: +0.6+0.6
BelmontDrake
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#311
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H24/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H01/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
37.9Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.133.370.4+3.883%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.932.370.2+5.682%-
Last 30 away (13)36.134.670.7+1.585%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.473.3+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.478.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.021.051.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (9)37.131.668.7+5.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)37.534.772.2+2.885%-
This opponent (Drake) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#96
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A08/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H31/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
30.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.865.7+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.233.368.5+1.842%-
Last 30 away (11)29.231.861.0-2.655%-
Last 10 (10)30.634.865.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.435.266.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Similar (13)30.734.565.2-3.846%-
vs Weaker (9)35.328.263.6+7.167%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Belmont wins
5
Drake wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Drake v Belmont76-78
08/03/25Drake v Belmont57-50
29/12/24Drake v Belmont65-46
22/02/24Drake v Belmont84-69
07/01/24Belmont v Drake87-65
19/02/23Drake v Belmont70-56
29/01/23Belmont v Drake61-79
26/11/21Drake v Belmont69-74
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HMurray State103-86
29/01/26AValparaiso78-77
24/01/26HIllinois State80-69
18/01/26ASouthern Illinois73-68
14/01/26HValparaiso78-74
10/01/26ADrake78-76
08/01/26ANorthern Iowa78-65
04/01/26HSouthern Illinois67-68
02/01/26HBradley88-78
30/12/25AIndiana State80-81 OT
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HBradley73-87
29/01/26HEvansville82-78
24/01/26AIndiana State76-62
22/01/26HMurray State101-90
17/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)67-74
15/01/26ASouthern Illinois76-73 OT
10/01/26HBelmont76-78
08/01/26ABradley66-93
04/01/26HIndiana State74-72
30/12/25HIllinois State56-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %83%85%82%
Points / game81.884.478.8
Allowed / game72.071.672.5
Point differential+9.8+12.8+6.4
Avg total153.8156.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Drake
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL52%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayWLWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %52%47%62%
Points / game77.279.872.2
Allowed / game73.073.073.0
Point differential+4.2+6.8-0.8
Avg total150.2152.8145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)29% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %9%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2420483%81.872.0+9.8
2 Murray State2417771%86.179.0+7.0
3 Bradley2416867%77.872.9+4.9
4 Illinois State2315865%76.366.4+9.9
5 Northern Iowa2314961%67.160.4+6.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)24131154%75.170.4+4.7
7 Drake23121152%77.273.0+4.2
8 Valparaiso23111248%71.170.3+0.8
9 Southern Illinois23101343%73.771.0+2.7
10 Indiana State24101442%75.774.7+1.0
11 Evansville2351822%67.074.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont5152103
Drake434790
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