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Belmont vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 87-84
30-43 57-41
Position#25
Record9-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game69.6
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#155
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois (Chi.)
01 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
BELM87
ILLI84
04 Jan 2025
BELM92
ILLI87
27 Jan 2024
BELM74
ILLI65
11 Feb 2023
BELM98
ILLI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
51-99
51
99
-48
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
96-73
96
73
+23
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H04/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
83-62
83
62
+21
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-64
27-35
34-32
53-47
42-39
41-21
25-24
50-44
46-25
50-24
36-28
58-29
36-33
51-39
49-31
47-42
43-41
33-43
35-31
48-31
153.1Avg total
82.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.569.6152.1+12.882%
Season at home (7)84.967.4152.3+17.486%
Season away (4)78.273.5151.8+4.875%
Last 10 (10)82.870.3153.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)87.269.6156.8+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.074.3143.3-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.077.1158.1+3.973%
vs Weaker (16)81.471.0152.4+10.481%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H07/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#575
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H12/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A15/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H22/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-37
29-30
38-31
53-40
37-42
36-34
45-25
53-30
29-29
38-34
39-41
41-49
37-27
47-46
29-50
45-38
26-35
36-28
32-35
34-45
147.1Avg total
74.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.273.2150.4+4.044%
Season at home (4)83.865.5149.2+18.275%
Season away (5)72.079.4151.4-7.420%
Last 10 (10)74.572.6147.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)73.278.8152.0-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.774.2145.8-2.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.877.3151.1-3.642%
vs Weaker (11)75.670.8146.5+4.864%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +10.3+10.32nd half: +3.8+3.8
BelmontIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elon
#256
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A06/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H20/11
NCAA
Fisk
#594
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H22/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.0Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.572.8+3.980%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.688%-
Last 30 away (13)37.236.974.2+0.369%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.871.8+2.290%-
Last 5 (5)39.832.872.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.333.070.3+4.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.933.673.5+6.373%-
vs Weaker (16)37.435.372.8+2.188%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H07/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#575
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A15/11
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H22/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#74
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Yale
#22
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A07/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
33.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.035.971.0-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.934.670.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)34.237.171.3-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)33.335.268.5-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.670.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.736.373.0+0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.839.672.4-6.817%-
vs Weaker (11)35.632.768.4+2.955%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Belmont wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AMiddle Tenn. St.83-62
04/12/25HRichmond Spiders76-84
30/11/25ACharleston96-73
26/11/25HToledo87-72
24/11/25HSt. Francis (PA)94-57
22/11/25HFisk96-49
20/11/25HLipscomb75-68
16/11/25AOral Roberts83-60
09/11/25HTennessee State87-79
06/11/25AElon51-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AYale66-80
03/12/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff62-63
26/11/25ARobert Morris74-88
22/11/25HSouthern Indiana84-73
20/11/25AHigh Point80-90
15/11/25AChicago State67-63
12/11/25HSt. Francis (ILL)98-55
08/11/25AOregon State73-76
04/11/25HDetroit91-71
07/03/25HValparaiso50-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %82%86%75%
Points / game82.584.978.2
Allowed / game69.667.473.5
Point differential+12.8+17.4+4.8
Avg total152.1152.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%75%20%
Points / game77.283.872.0
Allowed / game73.265.579.4
Point differential+4.0+18.2-7.4
Avg total150.4149.2151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont119282%82.569.6+12.8
2 Illinois State108280%81.565.9+15.6
3 Northern Iowa97278%73.457.4+16.0
4 Murray State107370%88.076.4+11.6
5 Southern Illinois106460%80.371.5+8.8
6 Bradley106460%75.368.3+7.0
7 Indiana State106460%75.969.1+6.8
8 Valparaiso106460%73.168.3+4.8
9 Drake116555%80.968.5+12.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)94544%77.273.2+4.0
11 Evansville114736%69.072.5-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont305787
Illinois (Chi.)434184
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