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Belmont vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-65
22-25 52-40
Position#128
Record11-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game78.8
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#303
Record8-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois (Chi.)
01 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
BELM87
ILLI84
04 Jan 2025
BELM92
ILLI87
27 Jan 2024
BELM74
ILLI65
11 Feb 2023
BELM98
ILLI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
93-99
93
99
-6
A16/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
37-35
36-44
57-55
38-43
36-27
31-34
32-39
42-29
45-36
34-34
33-26
32-48
32-46
40-39
32-44
34-44
38-51
30-41
37-36
151.5Avg total
73.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.378.8156.1-1.555%
Season at home (9)78.970.2149.1+8.789%
Season away (11)76.085.8161.8-9.827%
Last 10 (10)73.478.1151.5-4.740%
Last 5 (5)68.481.8150.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.787.1162.8-11.422%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.876.9151.7-2.250%
vs Weaker (8)84.971.1156.0+13.888%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-33
42-35
32-36
34-31
30-32
20-30
43-43
30-42
42-36
28-28
32-35
27-32
26-39
33-38
31-33
27-40
39-34
38-50
39-41
44-48
142.0Avg total
68.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)70.167.8137.9+2.340%
Season at home (11)73.866.9140.7+6.945%
Season away (9)65.668.9134.4-3.333%
Last 10 (10)68.473.6142.0-5.220%
Last 5 (5)67.278.0145.2-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.472.3137.6-6.921%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.669.2139.8+1.440%
vs Weaker (5)73.070.4143.4+2.660%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -5.1-5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -5.1-5.1
BelmontIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A10/12
NCAA
Samford
#12
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A16/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A13/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A24/01
NCAA
74.1Avg total
35.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.977.0-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.878.7+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)34.340.975.3-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.674.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.275.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.345.079.3-10.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.637.774.2-1.142%-
vs Weaker (8)42.634.477.0+8.288%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H16/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A11/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.133.767.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.832.967.7+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.768.0-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.272.3-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.469.8-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.534.965.4-4.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.933.270.1+3.760%-
vs Weaker (5)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belmont wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Belmont v Illinois (Chi.)98-71
05/01/23Illinois (Chi.) v Belmont71-77
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AIllinois State67-77
20/01/24ABradley72-95
18/01/24HNorthern Iowa72-83
13/01/24AIndiana State64-94
11/01/24HIllinois State67-60
07/01/24HDrake87-65
03/01/24ASouthern Illinois63-73
21/12/23HArkansas State74-70
16/12/23ASamford93-99
10/12/23AMiddle Tenn. St.75-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HIndiana State83-89
20/01/24AValparaiso77-84
18/01/24HMurray State58-73
13/01/24HBradley59-77
11/01/24ANorthern Iowa59-67
07/01/24HValparaiso70-64
03/01/24AMurray State73-85
31/12/23ASouthern Illinois50-62
21/12/23HIncarnate Word66-67
16/12/23HWestern Michigan89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %55%89%27%
Points / game77.378.976.0
Allowed / game78.870.285.8
Point differential-1.5+8.7-9.8
Avg total156.1149.1161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL40%
HomeLWLLL45%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%45%33%
Points / game70.173.865.6
Allowed / game67.866.968.9
Point differential+2.3+6.9-3.3
Avg total137.9140.7134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2017385%85.972.0+13.8
2 Drake2016480%79.867.5+12.2
3 Bradley2015575%75.266.3+8.9
4 Southern Illinois2114767%72.464.5+8.0
5 Northern Iowa2012860%74.670.5+4.2
6 Evansville2112957%73.473.6-0.2
7 Belmont2011955%77.378.8-1.5
8 Illinois State21101148%66.368.0-1.7
9 Illinois (Chi.)2081240%70.167.8+2.3
10 Murray State2181338%71.069.3+1.7
11 Valparaiso2161529%68.072.3-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont225274
Illinois (Chi.)254065
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