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Belmont vs Illinois (Chi.) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 92-87
46-43 46-44
Position#79
Record9-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.7
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#154
Record10-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois (Chi.)
01 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
BELM87
ILLI84
04 Jan 2025
BELM92
ILLI87
27 Jan 2024
BELM74
ILLI65
11 Feb 2023
BELM98
ILLI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois (Chi.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#343
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H27/11
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
89-66
89
66
+23
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
99-97 OT
99
97
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
59-35
25-36
38-41
45-35
44-31
37-44
46-30
54-45
34-43
38-30
44-49
40-34
53-52
39-25
45-67
21-39
25-26
34-39
36-37
159.1Avg total
79.9Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.477.7158.1+2.664%
Season at home (9)84.179.0163.1+5.167%
Season away (5)73.675.4149.0-1.860%
Last 10 (10)79.979.2159.1+0.760%
Last 5 (5)75.079.6154.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.081.3152.3-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.373.7151.0+3.760%
vs Weaker (7)87.173.7160.9+13.4100%
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
81-99
81
99
-18
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-83
56
83
-27
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
W
69-68 OT
69
68
+1
H08/12
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
77-69 OT
77
69
+8
A15/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A20/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-45
40-54
48-39
48-44
27-30
28-42
43-38
48-38
32-46
24-37
36-39
30-27
30-32
34-32
34-32
45-36
33-35
40-32
32-33
42-37
150.6Avg total
75.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.372.8153.1+7.571%
Season at home (8)83.872.1155.9+11.675%
Season away (6)75.773.7149.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)75.175.5150.6-0.470%
Last 5 (5)74.468.4142.8+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.983.1161.0-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.973.6141.4-5.744%
vs Weaker (3)88.070.0158.0+18.067%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: +0.0+0.0
BelmontIllinois (Chi.)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#343
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#183
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H27/11
NCAA
Tulane
#139
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#316
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/12
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A29/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A02/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
36.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.573.0+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.435.173.5+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)36.336.172.4+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.273.6-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.467.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.637.972.4-3.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.235.172.3+2.167%-
vs Weaker (7)40.732.973.6+7.971%-
This opponent (Illinois (Chi.)) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois (Chi.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/11
NCAA
La Salle
#272
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Aurora
#389
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H05/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H08/12
NCAA
UALR
#145
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Seattle
#252
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/12
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H01/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
35.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.970.4+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.775.7+2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)32.133.065.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.972.5-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.034.267.2-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.135.970.0-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.535.067.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (3)46.031.777.7+14.3100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
0
Illinois (Chi.) wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/25ANorthern Iowa70-76
29/12/24ADrake46-65
20/12/24HUC Irvine84-92
14/12/24ARichmond Spiders93-86
07/12/24HMiddle Tenn. St.82-79
05/12/24HIllinois State99-97 OT
29/11/24HGardner Webb83-74
27/11/24HTulane89-66
27/11/24HLoyola Marymount63-77
20/11/24HOral Roberts90-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HDrake74-70
29/12/24AIllinois State73-67
20/12/24ASeattle79-68
15/12/24AUALR77-69 OT
08/12/24HDartmouth69-68 OT
05/12/24HNorthern Iowa56-83
30/11/24HAurora91-76
23/11/24AEast Carolina55-72
22/11/24ALa Salle96-83
21/11/24HJames Madison81-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game80.484.173.6
Allowed / game77.779.075.4
Point differential+2.6+5.1-1.8
Avg total158.1163.1149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%11%0%
Illinois (Chi.)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game80.383.875.7
Allowed / game72.872.173.7
Point differential+7.5+11.6+2.0
Avg total153.1155.9149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %14%12%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake1312192%73.557.6+15.8
2 Bradley1412286%82.569.0+13.5
3 Illinois (Chi.)1410471%80.372.8+7.5
4 Illinois State149564%78.772.0+6.7
5 Belmont149564%80.477.7+2.6
6 Northern Iowa159660%77.567.5+10.0
7 Valparaiso159660%79.572.4+7.1
8 Indiana State159660%83.476.7+6.7
9 Murray State147750%76.169.4+6.7
10 Southern Illinois145936%72.374.6-2.4
11 Evansville1551033%64.970.1-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont464692
Illinois (Chi.)434487
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