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Bendigo Braves vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 87-71
29-22 19-12 17-15 22-22
Position#16
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Keilor Thunder
05 Apr 2025
BEND87
KEIL71
22 Jun 2024
BEND85
KEIL111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A26/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H01/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
85-111
85
111
-26
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
91-73
91
73
+18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-109
75
109
-34
A29/03
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-33
14-20
25-19
14-17
16-20
23-22
22-15
14-19
21-30
17-23
20-20
14-24
23-21
17-36
26-28
19-26
34-18
14-27
24-11
19-17
25-11
16-19
24-27
15-26
21-33
24-23
18-18
25-25
24-25
22-25
16-19
23-27
21-22
21-22
20-19
10-23
24-38
19-18
16-19
16-34
170.7Avg total
78.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.0109.0184.0-34.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.0109.0184.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)78.891.9170.7-13.110%
Last 5 (5)80.094.6174.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.491.5170.0-13.124%
vs Similar (9)84.385.7170.0-1.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
111-85
111
85
+26
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
112-93
112
93
+19
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
68-104
68
104
-36
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
18-21
18-19
10-13
17-19
23-22
19-13
18-16
21-23
36-17
28-26
26-19
26-12
14-27
8-23
24-13
29-19
31-11
27-28
25-35
18-20
12-17
17-24
25-22
12-27
15-24
20-25
20-22
23-23
16-25
12-28
17-28
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
168.6Avg total
81.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.591.0177.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)76.0100.0176.0-24.00%
Season away (1)97.082.0179.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.687.0168.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)76.093.4169.4-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.497.6181.1-14.221%
vs Similar (10)87.584.8172.3+2.770%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.890.2181.0+0.767%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -6.9-6.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
Bendigo BravesKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A26/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A15/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H22/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H29/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A05/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A06/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A29/03
NBL1 South
89.4Avg total
40.8Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.585.3-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.940.281.2+0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)40.747.788.4-7.024%-
Last 10 (10)40.848.689.4-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.290.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)39.544.984.4-5.433%-
vs Similar (9)43.843.487.2+0.344%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H07/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H29/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H05/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H11/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
83.1Avg total
41.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.689.9-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.445.987.3-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)44.947.292.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.183.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.680.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)42.150.492.6-8.329%-
vs Similar (10)43.544.788.2-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.341.086.3+4.350%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bendigo Braves wins
2
Keilor Thunder wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25ABallarat75-109
13/07/24AKilsyth72-86
06/07/24ANW Tasmania85-96
05/07/24AHobart Chargers88-99
29/06/24HEltham80-83
28/06/24AMelbourne Tigers91-73
22/06/24HKeilor Thunder85-111
15/06/24AKnox72-97
01/06/24HBallarat75-76
26/05/24ASandringham Sabres65-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
13/07/24AKnox68-104
11/07/24HEltham67-98
07/07/24ASandringham Sabres72-83
05/07/24HDiamond Valley112-93
29/06/24HDandenong72-75
22/06/24ABendigo Braves111-85
15/06/24ARingwood77-70
07/06/24HMt Gambier64-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game109.0-109.0
Point differential-34.0--34.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game86.576.097.0
Allowed / game91.0100.082.0
Point differential-4.5-24.0+15.0
Avg total177.5176.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston110100%103.080.0+23.0
2 Waverley110100%98.083.0+15.0
3 Ringwood110100%82.072.0+10.0
4 Casey Cavaliers220100%84.080.0+4.0
5 Hobart Chargers110100%80.076.0+4.0
6 Knox110100%88.084.0+4.0
7 Mt Gambier32167%96.071.7+24.3
8 Melbourne Tigers21150%88.577.0+11.5
9 Ballarat21150%90.586.5+4.0
10 Kilsyth21150%84.582.5+2.0
11 Keilor Thunder21150%86.591.0-4.5
12 Diamond Valley21150%93.598.5-5.0
13 Geelong21150%78.090.0-12.0
14 Dandenong2020%90.096.0-6.0
15 Eltham1010%72.082.0-10.0
16 Nunawading1010%83.098.0-15.0
17 Sandringham Sabres3030%75.094.3-19.3
18 Bendigo Braves1010%75.0109.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves2919172287
Keilor Thunder2212152271
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