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Bendigo Braves vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 75-76
16-20 23-22 22-15 14-19
Position#15
Record6-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game84.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Bendigo Braves v Ballarat
31 May 2025
BEND109
BALL112
01 Jun 2024
BEND75
BALL76
15 Jul 2023
BEND99
BALL93
07 May 2022
BEND82
BALL91
01 Aug 2021
BEND84
BALL71
22 Jun 2019
BEND84
BALL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
L
78-81 OT
78
81
-3
H21/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
61-111
61
111
-50
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H28/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
L
75-110
75
110
-35
A04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
H05/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H18/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H25/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A26/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-21
18-13
17-23
14-24
14-27
14-38
19-22
20-14
24-19
10-33
23-23
25-22
25-27
15-25
10-36
19-23
15-18
17-23
24-26
21-11
23-18
25-28
21-22
29-20
17-22
13-13
22-9
14-22
23-19
12-20
23-18
18-25
25-19
41-19
14-22
12-33
14-20
25-19
14-17
164.9Avg total
77.2Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.886.2166.0-6.443%
Season at home (8)81.284.0165.2-2.850%
Season away (6)77.889.2167.0-11.333%
Last 10 (10)77.287.7164.9-10.530%
Last 5 (5)81.279.2160.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.092.8175.8-9.739%
vs Similar (7)84.779.3164.0+5.486%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
W
105-94
105
94
+11
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
112-81
112
81
+31
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
99-96
99
96
+3
H26/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
23-26
26-20
26-20
32-14
28-23
24-31
28-13
26-29
27-31
23-17
19-21
19-14
21-23
23-25
25-17
33-21
22-15
28-20
30-27
20-24
32-19
17-23
26-16
22-16
20-19
17-19
21-14
24-14
20-22
23-20
11-24
13-20
16-17
27-21
20-18
24-24
19-25
21-25
35-22
180.1Avg total
95.4Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)94.284.5178.7+9.775%
Season at home (6)95.285.3180.5+9.883%
Season away (6)93.283.7176.8+9.567%
Last 10 (10)95.484.7180.1+10.780%
Last 5 (5)88.282.4170.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.292.4182.6-2.150%
vs Similar (9)95.495.9191.3-0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.885.8180.7+9.069%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
Bendigo BravesBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H28/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H05/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H18/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A19/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H25/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A26/05
NBL1 South
81.0Avg total
39.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.943.785.6-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.041.784.7+1.365%-
Last 30 away (13)40.546.386.8-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.081.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)41.445.386.7-3.943%-
vs Similar (7)43.638.682.1+5.071%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A14/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
60-37
60
37
+23
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A04/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H11/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A12/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H25/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H26/05
NBL1 South
89.5Avg total
47.1Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.045.192.1+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.092.9+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)46.045.291.2+0.847%-
Last 10 (10)47.142.489.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.546.193.6+1.438%-
vs Similar (9)47.045.692.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.644.290.8+2.554%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bendigo Braves wins
6
Ballarat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24ASandringham Sabres65-89
25/05/24HDiamond Valley98-85
19/05/24ADandenong72-79
18/05/24HCasey Cavaliers81-64
11/05/24HFrankston90-79
05/05/24HMt Gambier75-90
04/05/24AWaverley75-110
28/04/24HRingwood77-89
27/04/24HSandringham Sabres61-111
21/04/24HNunawading78-81 OT
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24HDiamond Valley99-96
25/05/24HKnox89-86 OT
18/05/24AMelbourne Tigers78-80
12/05/24AKilsyth80-68
11/05/24HEltham95-82
04/05/24AKeilor Thunder113-83
27/04/24AHobart Chargers88-79
26/04/24ANW Tasmania95-98
20/04/24HRingwood112-81
14/04/24AMt Gambier105-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game79.881.277.8
Allowed / game86.284.089.2
Point differential-6.4-2.8-11.3
Avg total166.0165.2167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game94.295.293.2
Allowed / game84.585.383.7
Point differential+9.7+9.8+9.5
Avg total178.7180.5176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat129375%94.284.5+9.7
2 Mt Gambier139469%88.582.3+6.2
3 Sandringham Sabres128467%92.280.5+11.7
4 Waverley128467%93.184.2+8.9
5 Dandenong149564%86.382.1+4.2
6 Hobart Chargers149564%82.480.0+2.4
7 Keilor Thunder138562%91.095.0-4.0
8 Frankston116555%92.185.3+6.8
9 Knox126650%93.185.7+7.4
10 Eltham126650%88.883.8+4.9
11 Nunawading126650%85.383.6+1.8
12 Melbourne Tigers126650%78.282.8-4.5
13 Ringwood146843%86.788.7-2.0
14 Bendigo Braves146843%79.886.2-6.4
15 NW Tasmania146843%82.390.4-8.1
16 Geelong135838%80.286.2-6.0
17 Kilsyth1331023%78.288.5-10.3
18 Diamond Valley112918%84.797.2-12.5
19 Casey Cavaliers1221017%79.687.2-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo Braves1623221475
Ballarat2022151976
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