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Keilor Thunder vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 64-80
18-27 18-21 18-19 10-13
Position#10
Record9-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game93.1
vs
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game82.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Mt Gambier
30 Mar 2025
KEIL76
MT G100
07 Jun 2024
KEIL64
MT G80
15 May 2022
KEIL88
MT G96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
105-96
105
96
+9
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
107-101
107
101
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
83-113
83
113
-30
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A19/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A01/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-24
15-27
16-19
32-30
24-22
28-23
21-21
27-24
26-26
25-10
18-23
35-23
19-25
32-32
21-21
21-33
15-22
20-28
27-30
22-23
21-28
26-18
32-28
15-21
19-19
25-18
18-11
18-23
18-27
26-29
15-19
12-23
19-22
25-7
20-13
15-24
22-12
25-14
20-19
175.1Avg total
87.3Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.493.1183.5-2.864%
Season at home (7)88.689.7178.3-1.171%
Season away (7)92.196.6188.7-4.457%
Last 10 (10)87.387.8175.1-0.570%
Last 5 (5)82.679.6162.2+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)91.899.8191.6-8.035%
vs Similar (9)85.786.0171.7-0.367%
vs Weaker (4)84.091.5175.5-7.550%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
L
94-105
94
105
-11
H14/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H26/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H31/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
26-23
20-26
20-26
19-28
26-16
27-25
19-15
24-27
26-26
10-25
23-18
18-10
19-28
36-23
20-20
23-19
18-15
23-17
26-24
20-21
25-24
24-18
27-15
32-13
19-17
22-31
25-16
26-14
23-16
13-26
20-14
26-27
21-21
22-21
20-22
19-20
25-19
12-20
21-25
173.4Avg total
89.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.582.3170.8+6.269%
Season at home (7)89.089.3178.3-0.343%
Season away (6)87.874.2162.0+13.7100%
Last 10 (10)89.384.1173.4+5.260%
Last 5 (5)88.480.0168.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.072.5135.5-9.50%
vs Similar (8)93.288.8182.0+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)87.982.5170.4+5.570%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Keilor ThunderMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H20/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H21/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H04/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A11/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H25/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/06
NBL1 South
88.6Avg total
41.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.848.593.3-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.546.189.5-2.633%-
Last 30 away (15)46.250.997.1-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)41.846.888.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.480.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)46.851.298.1-4.435%-
vs Similar (9)42.744.787.3-2.044%-
vs Weaker (4)41.245.286.5-4.025%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#5
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H14/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H31/05
NBL1 South
87.7Avg total
46.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.742.888.5+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.843.289.1+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)45.642.387.9+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.487.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.485.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)48.247.095.2+1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.141.988.0+4.265%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Keilor Thunder wins
2
Mt Gambier wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/24AMelbourne Tigers82-69
25/05/24HKilsyth76-65
19/05/24ANunawading77-98
18/05/24HHobart Chargers77-69
11/05/24ADandenong101-97
04/05/24HBallarat83-113
28/04/24HWaverley107-101
26/04/24AMt Gambier96-83
21/04/24HNW Tasmania105-96
20/04/24HCasey Cavaliers69-87
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/05/24HGeelong77-84
24/05/24HEltham89-91
19/05/24ACasey Cavaliers82-70
18/05/24AKnox98-77
10/05/24HNunawading96-78
05/05/24ABendigo Braves90-75
04/05/24AGeelong93-81
26/04/24HKeilor Thunder83-96
19/04/24HNW Tasmania91-84
14/04/24HBallarat94-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game90.488.692.1
Allowed / game93.189.796.6
Point differential-2.8-1.1-4.4
Avg total183.5178.3188.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%43%100%
Points / game88.589.087.8
Allowed / game82.389.374.2
Point differential+6.2-0.3+13.7
Avg total170.8178.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%14%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ballarat1310377%92.883.8+9.0
2 Sandringham Sabres139469%93.080.9+12.1
3 Waverley139469%93.984.7+9.2
4 Mt Gambier139469%88.582.3+6.2
5 Dandenong149564%86.382.1+4.2
6 Hobart Chargers149564%82.480.0+2.4
7 Keilor Thunder149564%90.493.1-2.8
8 Frankston127558%91.884.0+7.8
9 Knox137654%93.585.5+8.0
10 Eltham147750%88.483.1+5.3
11 Melbourne Tigers147750%78.082.4-4.4
12 Nunawading136746%85.885.2+0.6
13 NW Tasmania146843%82.390.4-8.1
14 Bendigo Braves156940%79.585.5-6.1
15 Ringwood1661038%85.689.6-3.9
16 Geelong145936%79.586.6-7.1
17 Diamond Valley123925%84.995.8-10.8
18 Kilsyth1431121%78.689.3-10.6
19 Casey Cavaliers1321115%79.587.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder1818181064
Mt Gambier2721191380
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