Melbourne Tigers vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 73-91

18-34 27-14 11-24 17-19

Position#13

Record7-10

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game81.7

Melbourne Tigers

Bendigo Braves 🏆

Position#15

Record6-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game87.7

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo Braves

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo Braves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

71-85

-14

A04/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

63-81

-18

A10/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

84-74

+10

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

80-78

H18/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

84-78

A25/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

69-82

-13

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

84-79

H06/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

66-72

-6

A15/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

77-86

-9

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

44-77

-33

A22/06

NBL1 South

22-20

19-15

15-25

15-17

18-20

22-25

8-19

28-19

21-17

16-10

19-28

14-24

22-20

20-23

24-11

14-20

25-18

26-15

19-25

24-15

12-22

14-25

19-20

21-28

20-16

19-22

24-13

20-19

21-18

19-18

6-17

17-31

22-20

23-20

15-15

11-14

11-23

10-21

12-19

151.4Avg total

72.2Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.2	81.7	156.9	-6.5	41%
Season at home (9)	76.0	83.3	159.3	-7.3	33%
Season away (8)	74.4	79.9	154.2	-5.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	79.2	151.4	-7.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.0	79.2	147.2	-11.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	76.9	86.4	163.3	-9.4	38%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.8	81.7	160.5	-2.9	36%
vs Weaker (3)	85.7	80.0	165.7	+5.7	100%

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo Braves Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#12

75-110

110

-35

A04/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

75-90

-15

H05/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

90-79

+11

H11/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

81-64

+17

H18/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

72-79

-7

A19/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

98-85

+13

H25/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

65-89

-24

A26/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

75-76

-1

H01/06

NBL1 South

Knox

72-97

-25

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

85-111

111

-26

H22/06

NBL1 South

25-22

25-27

15-25

10-36

19-23

15-18

17-23

24-26

21-11

23-18

25-28

21-22

29-20

17-22

13-13

22-9

14-22

23-19

12-20

23-18

18-25

25-19

41-19

14-22

12-33

14-20

25-19

14-17

16-20

23-22

22-15

14-19

21-30

17-23

20-20

14-24

23-21

17-36

26-28

19-26

166.8Avg total

78.8Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.4	87.7	167.1	-8.4	35%
Season at home (10)	81.0	85.9	166.9	-4.9	40%
Season away (7)	77.0	90.3	167.3	-13.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	88.0	166.8	-9.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	91.6	170.6	-12.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	81.9	91.7	173.6	-9.8	35%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	84.1	83.0	167.1	+1.1	71%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne TigersBendigo Braves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	22.6	42.5	-2.8	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.8	42.4	-1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.7	39.3	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.3	23.3	42.6	-4.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.1	42.2	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+1.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	25.2	43.8	-6.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	22.7	42.5	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.8	43.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.4	19.1	39.6	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.3	39.7	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.9	20.5	41.5	+0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	13.7	31.3	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	21.6	43.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.7	21.7	42.4	-1.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	71%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sandringham Sabres

41-35

A04/05

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

33-37

-4

A10/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

49-36

+13

A11/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

36-44

-8

H18/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

39-38

A25/05

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

36-37

-1

H01/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

41-44

-3

H06/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

41-37

A15/06

NBL1 South

Frankston

39-51

-12

H16/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

22-37

-15

A22/06

NBL1 South

77.3Avg total

37.7Scored

39.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.6	82.2	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	43.9	83.7	-4.1	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.3	40.8	80.2	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	39.6	77.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	38.1	44.6	82.8	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.1	40.8	82.9	+1.3	55%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	38.0	76.3	+0.3	33%	-

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#12

50-49

A04/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

34-41

-7

H05/05

NBL1 South

Frankston

44-29

+15

H11/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

46-42

H18/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

37-41

-4

A19/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

43-44

-1

H25/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

26-53

-27

A26/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

39-42

-3

H01/06

NBL1 South

Knox

38-53

-15

A15/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

40-57

-17

H22/06

NBL1 South

84.8Avg total

39.7Scored

45.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.1	43.8	84.9	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	41.1	83.0	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	46.8	87.1	-6.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	45.1	84.8	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	49.8	87.0	-12.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	40.7	44.8	85.4	-4.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	21.4	40.8	-2.0	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	20.5	38.8	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.3	22.0	42.3	-1.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.6	19.5	37.2	-1.9	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	21.3	37.3	-5.3	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	22.9	43.6	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	22.9	44.1	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	22.9	43.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	20.2	47.0	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.3	22.6	42.9	-2.3	14%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	19.5	41.4	+2.4	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.6	20.7	36.3	-5.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	19.2	35.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.8	32.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	17.6	19.6	37.1	-2.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.1	21.4	40.5	-2.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	17.7	45.7	+10.3	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	22.1	41.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-0.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	24.1	43.9	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.6	36.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.1	22.7	41.9	-3.6	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	41.1	79.1	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.3	40.9	82.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.8	41.2	75.1	-7.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	39.6	74.1	-5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	38.0	70.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	37.9	41.6	79.4	-3.7	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.7	40.9	77.6	-4.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	45.0	85.3	-4.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	43.3	83.9	-2.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	46.9	86.9	-6.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.9	82.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	40.0	45.7	85.7	-5.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.4	42.6	84.0	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne Tigers wins

Bendigo Braves wins

Date	Game	Score
23/06/23	Bendigo Braves v Melbourne Tigers	82-83 OT
06/08/22	Bendigo Braves v Melbourne Tigers	70-60
08/05/21	Bendigo Braves v Melbourne Tigers	100-62
28/07/19	Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo Braves	76-86
31/03/19	Melbourne Tigers v Bendigo Braves	69-73

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	A	Kilsyth	44-77
16/06/24	H	Frankston	77-86
15/06/24	A	Geelong	66-72
06/06/24	H	Casey Cavaliers	84-79
01/06/24	H	Keilor Thunder	69-82
25/05/24	A	Nunawading	84-78
18/05/24	H	Ballarat	80-78
11/05/24	A	NW Tasmania	84-74
10/05/24	A	Hobart Chargers	63-81
04/05/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	71-85

Bendigo Braveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	H	Keilor Thunder	85-111
15/06/24	A	Knox	72-97
01/06/24	H	Ballarat	75-76
26/05/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	65-89
25/05/24	H	Diamond Valley	98-85
19/05/24	A	Dandenong	72-79
18/05/24	H	Casey Cavaliers	81-64
11/05/24	H	Frankston	90-79
05/05/24	H	Mt Gambier	75-90
04/05/24	A	Waverley	75-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne Tigers

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	41%
Home	WWLWL	33%
Away	LWWLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	33%	50%
Points / game	75.2	76.0	74.4
Allowed / game	81.7	83.3	79.9
Point differential	-6.5	-7.3	-5.5
Avg total	156.9	159.3	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bendigo Braves

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	35%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	35%	40%	29%
Points / game	79.4	81.0	77.0
Allowed / game	87.7	85.9	90.3
Point differential	-8.4	-4.9	-13.3
Avg total	167.1	166.9	167.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	17	13	4	76%	88.9	80.4	+8.6
2	Sandringham Sabres	18	13	5	72%	94.1	80.5	+13.6
3	Ballarat	17	12	5	71%	92.6	85.8	+6.8
4	Dandenong	17	11	6	65%	86.5	84.2	+2.4
5	Keilor Thunder	17	11	6	65%	89.2	90.5	-1.3
6	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	93.2	88.3	+4.9
7	Frankston	16	9	7	56%	91.8	85.8	+6.1
8	Knox	18	10	8	56%	94.2	84.2	+10.0
9	Hobart Chargers	18	10	8	56%	80.9	80.8	+0.2
10	Eltham	17	9	8	53%	89.4	83.2	+6.2
11	Nunawading	17	9	8	53%	86.9	84.2	+2.7
12	Geelong	18	9	9	50%	79.7	84.2	-4.4
13	NW Tasmania	18	8	10	44%	82.8	90.3	-7.5
14	Melbourne Tigers	17	7	10	41%	75.2	81.7	-6.5
15	Bendigo Braves	17	6	11	35%	79.4	87.7	-8.4
16	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	84.9	89.5	-4.6
17	Diamond Valley	17	5	12	29%	85.3	94.3	-9.0
18	Kilsyth	17	4	13	24%	77.9	86.5	-8.6
19	Casey Cavaliers	18	3	15	17%	79.0	89.3	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne Tigers	18	27	11	17	73
Bendigo Braves	34	14	24	19	91

← all games of the day

Melbourne Tigers vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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