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Adelaide Lightning W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 74-82
19-25 17-20 15-22 23-15
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.8
Adelaide Lightning W
Australia
vs
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game70.8
AustraliaNBL WRound 5· Adelaide Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W
18 Nov 2025
ADEL74
BEND82
27 Dec 2024
ADEL67
BEND95
02 Dec 2023
ADEL65
BEND70
14 Jan 2023
ADEL68
BEND86
28 Dec 2022
ADEL66
BEND78
05 Feb 2022
ADEL62
BEND74
09 Dec 2020
ADEL69
BEND59
15 Dec 2019
ADEL91
BEND75
09 Nov 2019
ADEL105
BEND77
28 Oct 2018
ADEL91
BEND63
29 Dec 2017
ADEL87
BEND74
21 Oct 2017
ADEL79
BEND75
19 Nov 2016
ADEL51
BEND74
29 Nov 2015
ADEL73
BEND89
01 Nov 2015
ADEL76
BEND68
09 Nov 2014
ADEL33
BEND76
22 Nov 2013
ADEL76
BEND84
03 Feb 2013
ADEL86
BEND66
05 Oct 2012
ADEL71
BEND73
20 Jan 2012
ADEL70
BEND54
12 Dec 2010
ADEL69
BEND76
07 Nov 2010
ADEL79
BEND91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 67
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
87-69
87
69
+18
82avg 67
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
63-90
63
90
-27
52avg 67
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
71avg 67
A09/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
87-70
87
70
+17
90avg 67
H16/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
72-75
72
75
-3
61avg 67
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
76-110
76
110
-34
66avg 67
A25/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-65
73
65
+8
68avg 67
H01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 67
H09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-103
69
103
-34
52avg 67
A15/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-20
20-14
17-18
11-13
28-15
18-24
16-19
25-11
13-29
18-20
13-14
19-27
18-22
27-27
18-21
15-14
27-27
15-19
27-14
18-10
9-26
24-18
18-13
21-18
25-16
13-32
22-32
16-30
22-21
19-19
17-10
15-15
24-14
22-19
28-10
14-28
22-26
21-21
15-31
11-25
155.4Avg total
75.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.684.8160.4-9.240%
Season at home (3)77.770.3148.0+7.367%
Season away (2)72.5106.5179.0-34.00%
Last 10 (10)75.280.2155.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)75.684.8160.4-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.777.5148.2-6.829%
vs Similar (12)78.277.5155.8+0.858%
vs Weaker (4)74.069.5143.5+4.550%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 74
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 74
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
91-74
91
74
+17
91avg 74
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
61avg 74
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
58avg 74
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 74
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
58avg 74
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
89avg 74
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
61avg 74
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
54avg 74
A16/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-22
21-21
15-23
27-15
24-13
16-21
9-18
23-31
30-13
20-23
18-7
16-23
12-10
13-8
29-19
20-21
13-13
13-7
17-14
19-23
15-21
19-10
13-20
18-18
22-12
9-12
13-13
23-18
17-18
30-21
18-18
28-18
16-19
11-21
18-13
19-21
16-17
15-28
14-13
142.0Avg total
72.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.670.8141.4-0.260%
Season at home (4)72.268.8141.0+3.575%
Season away (1)64.079.0143.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)72.769.3142.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)70.670.8141.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.076.5141.5-11.50%
vs Similar (5)75.867.2143.0+8.6100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)84.071.7155.7+12.387%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Adelaide Lightning WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H05/02
NBL W
Southside W
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A09/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A25/10
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A15/11
NBL W
82.5Avg total
39.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.978.3-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.440.681.0-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.539.175.7-2.627%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.982.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.340.979.2-2.629%-
vs Similar (12)39.739.379.0+0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)35.537.873.2-2.225%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A16/11
NBL W
75.9Avg total
39.6Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.481.2+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.236.479.6+6.876%-
Last 30 away (13)44.738.683.3+6.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.636.375.9+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.075.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.837.683.4+8.383%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Adelaide Lightning Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide Lightning W: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.721.4
50.1%
47.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.0
31.0%
32.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.410.6
68.8%
73.3%10.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.1
44.9%
47.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
32.8%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.912.5
78.6%
73.3%12.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Adelaide Lightning W
LWWLLWLLWL
Bendigo W
LWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#3
-5.8
Net rating
+5.4
94.6
Offensive rating
96.8
100.5
Defensive rating
91.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.8%
22.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.0%
3-point %
32.6%
63.0%
Assist %
62.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 96.8Defence100.5 · 91.4Shooting48.9% · 46.5%3-point %31.0% · 32.6%Ball care22.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Adelaide Lightning W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Adelaide Lightning W wins
9
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
24/01/25Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W65-59
27/12/24Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W67-95
02/11/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-70
10/01/24Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W96-68
15/12/23Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W81-77
02/12/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W65-70 OT
14/01/23Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W68-86
28/12/22Adelaide Lightning W v Bendigo W66-78
10/12/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W84-75
24/02/22Bendigo W v Adelaide Lightning W77-84
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ATownsville W69-103
09/11/25HSydney W88-71
01/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-65
25/10/25AGeelong Venom W76-110
19/10/25HPerth Lynx W72-75
16/02/25HGeelong United W87-70
09/02/25ASouthside W78-84
05/02/25HTownsville W63-90
01/02/25HPerth Lynx W87-69
24/01/25ABendigo W59-65
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25APerth Lynx W64-79
08/11/25HCanberra Capitals W73-71
02/11/25HSydney W88-75
28/10/25HGeelong Venom W62-55
19/10/25HTownsville W66-74
09/03/25ATownsville W63-55
05/03/25HTownsville W70-60
27/02/25ASydney W91-74
23/02/25HSydney W76-67
15/02/25ACanberra Capitals W74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game75.677.772.5
Allowed / game84.870.3106.5
Point differential-9.2+7.3-34.0
Avg total160.4148.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %60%75%0%
Points / game70.672.264.0
Allowed / game70.868.879.0
Point differential-0.2+3.5-15.0
Avg total141.4141.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W65183%88.370.8+17.5
2 Perth Lynx W75271%74.674.6+0.0
3 Bendigo W53260%70.670.8-0.2
4 Geelong Venom W73443%76.172.7+3.4
5 Southside W52340%74.276.8-2.6
6 Adelaide Lightning W52340%75.684.8-9.2
7 Canberra Capitals W62433%74.375.2-0.8
8 Sydney W72529%71.981.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Adelaide Lightning W1917152374
Bendigo W2520221582
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