Benfica vs CAB Madeira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 16:00

Projected 96-77

Projected total 173.0

Final 69-62

11-18 29-13 12-14 17-17

Position#1

Record5-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game91.5

Allowed / game75.5

Benfica 🏆

94%

■ BEN 94%■ CAB 6%

Pythia win probability

CAB Madeira

Position#10

Record1-5

FormLWLLL

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game89.3

LPBRound 7· Pavilhão Fidelidade

Other2026-27

Meetings · Benfica v CAB Madeira

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Benfica host CAB Madeira in the LPB on 14 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Benfica the clear favourite, rating them 94% to win, a reflection of their 5-1 record, 91.5 points per game and 75.5 allowed per game, and a perfect 3-0 home record with 96.0 points scored and 72.0 allowed; the team has won four of its last five games, including a 94-79 home win over Bakken Bears, a 112-78 victory over Esgueira, and a 97-76 win over Absheron Lions. CAB Madeira, in contrast, sits 10th with a 1-5 record, 86.2 points per game and 89.3 allowed per game, and has gone 0-3 on the road, scoring 79.0 points and conceding 85.3, with only one win in its last five games and recent losses to CA Queluz, Oliveirense and FC Porto. In their ten previous meetings, Benfica has won all ten, most recently defeating CAB Madeira 107-78 on 28 December 2022. Pythia projects a 96-77 score, 173 total points, a 43% chance of Benfica covering the -20.5 line and a 54% probability of the over on the 171.5 total, with a 1% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Benfica's dominant home performance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon

94.3%fair 1.06

Best odds1.06

Implied89.2%

Edge+5.2pp

CAB Madeira winLost

5.7%fair 17.68

Best odds12.00

Implied10.8%

Edge-5.2pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBenfica

Date

Competition

FC Porto

86-93

-7

72avg 88

A11/10

LPB

Denizli Basket

#31

96-91

87avg 88

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

92-67

+25

90avg 88

H17/10

LPB

BC Prievidza

#23

98-83

+15

93avg 88

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CA Queluz

89-72

+17

87avg 88

A24/10

LPB

Geneva Lions

#17

90-93

-3

80avg 88

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Portimonense

#11

86-72

+14

83avg 88

A31/10

LPB

Absheron Lions

#45

97-76

+21

no box

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

#12

112-78

112

+34

no box

H07/11

LPB

Bakken Bears

#22

94-79

+15

no box

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

26-16

19-24

27-32

14-21

28-23

22-22

27-17

19-29

21-13

24-19

26-18

21-17

28-20

19-26

22-14

29-23

22-20

22-29

18-10

27-13

33-28

22-22

14-19

21-24

16-19

27-19

14-16

29-18

25-18

30-21

24-17

18-20

23-20

25-14

27-28

37-16

26-20

24-22

24-24

20-13

174.4Avg total

94.0Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	91.5	75.5	167.0	+16.0	83%
Season at home (3)	96.0	72.0	168.0	+24.0	100%
Season away (3)	87.0	79.0	166.0	+8.0	67%
Last 10 (10)	94.0	80.4	174.4	+13.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	95.8	79.6	175.4	+16.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	93.0	90.5	183.5	+2.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	92.0	77.6	169.7	+14.4	78%

This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CAB Madeira Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadeira

Date

Competition

Illiabum

76-60

+16

77avg 77

H16/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

90-72

+18

81avg 77

H24/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

61-78

-17

52avg 77

A30/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

72-90

-18

66avg 77

A31/05

Proliga

Vitoria

78-83

-5

72avg 77

H03/10

LPB

CD Povoa

69-73

-4

54avg 77

A10/10

LPB

Sporting CP

93-84

90avg 77

H17/10

LPB

FC Porto

82-93

-11

76avg 77

A25/10

LPB

Oliveirense

109-113 OT

109

113

-4

102avg 77

H31/10

LPB

CA Queluz

86-90

-4

no box

A07/11

LPB

13-15

21-8

13-17

29-20

21-15

28-20

18-19

23-18

26-26

11-22

17-17

7-13

13-30

18-18

27-21

14-21

18-14

24-17

21-25

15-27

20-21

12-18

20-19

17-15

23-22

26-20

25-20

19-22

15-26

20-22

21-18

26-27

20-21

25-24

20-21

18-20

18-23

30-20

20-27

165.2Avg total

81.6Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	86.2	89.3	175.5	-3.2	17%
Season at home (3)	93.3	93.3	186.7	+0.0	33%
Season away (3)	79.0	85.3	164.3	-6.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	83.6	165.2	-2.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	90.6	178.4	-2.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	82.1	85.1	167.2	-3.0	38%
vs Similar (12)	78.8	76.2	155.0	+2.5	58%
vs Weaker (10)	85.0	76.1	161.1	+8.9	80%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 166.5Actual: Under 166.5

Over 166.5

65.5%

@ 1.40-0.1pp

Under 166.5

34.5%

@ 2.67+0.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.40

Under

Betano

2.67

Over/Under 171.5 · main lineActual: Under 171.5

Over 171.5

53.5%

@ 1.85+3.5pp

Under 171.5

46.5%

@ 2.07-3.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

SBO

1.83

Betano

1.65

Under

Betano

2.07

Marathon Be

2.02

1xBet

1.96

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Over/Under 176.5Actual: Under 176.5

Over 176.5

41.3%

@ 2.05-3.6pp

Under 176.5

58.7%

@ 1.67+3.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

Marathon Be

2.02

1xBet

1.96

Under

Betano

1.67

Marathon Be

1.65

1xBet

1.58

📊 3. Team Totals

Benfica total 90.5Actual: Benfica under 90.5

Over 90.5

70.4%

@ 1.28+1.2pp

Under 90.5

29.6%

@ 2.87-1.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.28

Under

1xBet

2.87

Benfica total 94.5 · main lineActual: Benfica under 94.5

Over 94.5

55.2%

@ 1.75-3.4pp

Under 94.5

44.8%

@ 2.22+3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.75

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.47

Under

Betano

2.22

1xBet

2.12

BetVictor

1.75

Benfica total 98.5Actual: Benfica under 98.5

Over 98.5

39.1%

@ 2.05-6.2pp

Under 98.5

60.9%

@ 1.67+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

1xBet

1.89

Under

Betano

1.67

1xBet

1.59

CAB Madeira total 72.5Actual: CAB Madeira under 72.5

Over 72.5

68.0%

@ 1.52+5.8pp

Under 72.5

32.0%

@ 2.43-5.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.43

Betano

2.32

CAB Madeira total 76.5 · main lineActual: CAB Madeira under 76.5

Over 76.5

52.6%

@ 1.81+2.2pp

Under 76.5

47.4%

@ 1.93-2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.81

Betano

1.75

BetVictor

1.75

1xBet

1.71

Under

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.85

BetVictor

1.75

1xBet

1.73

CAB Madeira total 80.5Actual: CAB Madeira under 80.5

Over 80.5

36.9%

@ 2.42-0.4pp

Under 80.5

63.1%

@ 1.47+0.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.38

Under

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Benfica -22.5Actual: CAB Madeira +22.5

BEN -22.5

36.0%

@ 2.15-6.8pp

CAB +22.5

64.0%

@ 1.60+6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BEN

Betano

2.15

1xBet

2.06

CAB

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.60

1xBet

1.55

Spread Benfica -19.5 · main lineActual: CAB Madeira +19.5

BEN -19.5

46.3%

@ 1.83-4.7pp

CAB +19.5

53.7%

@ 1.93+4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

BEN

Betfair

1.83

SBO

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.71

CAB

Marathon Be

1.93

1xBet

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Betfair

1.83

Spread Benfica -16.5Actual: CAB Madeira +16.5

BEN -16.5

57.0%

@ 1.55-2.4pp

CAB +16.5

43.0%

@ 2.46+2.4pp

Best 5 market prices

BEN

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.51

1xBet

1.39

CAB

1xBet

2.46

Betano

2.27

Marathon Be

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaCAB Madeira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.8	42.7	+3.1	67%	37%
Last 30 at home (18)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.3	72%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	58%	25%
Last 10 (10)	24.8	19.7	44.5	+5.1	90%	40%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.5	24.0	48.5	+0.5	50%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	67%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.9	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.4	71%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	22.3	43.3	-1.3	44%	44%
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	30%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.8	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	50%	38%
vs Similar (12)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	42%	25%
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	20.2	42.8	+2.4	80%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	24.1	19.4	43.5	+4.7	63%	53%
Last 30 at home (18)	25.2	18.3	43.4	+6.9	78%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	42%	58%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	50%	90%
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.6	45.2	+6.0	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	24.5	23.5	48.0	+1.0	50%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	24.2	19.1	43.3	+5.1	67%	52%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.1	37.7	+1.5	57%	23%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.7	37.9	+2.4	64%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.6	50%	25%
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	50%	50%
vs Similar (12)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	50%	17%
vs Weaker (10)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	70%	10%

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

45-40

A11/10

LPB

Denizli Basket

#31

50-45

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Oliveirense

45-32

+13

H17/10

LPB

BC Prievidza

#23

47-46

H21/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CA Queluz

44-49

-5

A24/10

LPB

Geneva Lions

#17

55-50

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Portimonense

#11

43-38

A31/10

LPB

Absheron Lions

#45

55-39

+16

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Esgueira

#12

48-34

+14

H07/11

LPB

Bakken Bears

#22

50-42

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

89.7Avg total

48.2Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	47.0	39.2	86.2	+7.8	80%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	49.1	37.9	86.9	+11.2	89%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	43.9	41.2	85.2	+2.7	67%	33%
Last 10 (10)	48.2	41.5	89.7	+6.7	90%	60%
Last 5 (5)	50.2	40.6	90.8	+9.6	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	49.0	47.5	96.5	+1.5	100%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	46.9	38.7	85.6	+8.3	78%	37%

This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illiabum

34-23

+11

H16/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

49-35

+14

H24/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

37-48

-11

A30/05

Proliga

CD Povoa

31-48

-17

A31/05

Proliga

Vitoria

42-31

+11

H03/10

LPB

CD Povoa

32-39

-7

A10/10

LPB

Sporting CP

49-42

H17/10

LPB

FC Porto

35-48

-13

A25/10

LPB

Oliveirense

45-45

H31/10

LPB

CA Queluz

36-43

-7

A07/11

LPB

79.2Avg total

39.0Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	53%	30%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	36.1	77.9	+5.8	71%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	40.8	80.8	-0.7	38%	31%
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	43.4	82.8	-4.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	42.1	42.4	84.5	-0.2	38%	38%
vs Similar (12)	37.7	36.8	74.5	+0.8	42%	17%
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	37.6	81.4	+6.2	80%	40%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Benfica win

BEN win

no forecast

@ 1.11

CAB win

no forecast

@ 6.50

1st half Spread Benfica -12 · main lineActual: CAB Madeira +12

BEN -12

no forecast

@ 1.91

CAB +12

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Under 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.98

Benfica 1st half total 49.5 · main lineActual: Benfica under 49.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

CAB Madeira 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: CAB Madeira under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Over/Under 86.25Actual: Under 86.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.75

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Spread Benfica -11Actual: CAB Madeira +11

BEN -11

no forecast

@ 1.76

CAB +11

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.05

Under

no forecast

@ 1.72

1st half Spread Benfica -13.5Actual: CAB Madeira +13.5

BEN -13.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

CAB +13.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.62

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Benfica -10Actual: CAB Madeira +10

BEN -10

no forecast

@ 1.76

CAB +10

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half Spread Benfica -14.5Actual: CAB Madeira +14.5

BEN -14.5

no forecast

@ 2.13

CAB +14.5

no forecast

@ 1.51

1st half Spread Benfica -15.5Actual: CAB Madeira +15.5

BEN -15.5

no forecast

@ 2.33

CAB +15.5

no forecast

@ 1.43

1st half Spread Benfica -8.5Actual: Benfica -8.5

BEN -8.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

CAB +8.5

no forecast

@ 2.34

1st half Spread Benfica -16.5Actual: CAB Madeira +16.5

BEN -16.5

no forecast

@ 2.57

CAB +16.5

no forecast

@ 1.36

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Benfica (regulation)

BEN

no forecast

@ 1.13

Draw

no forecast

@ 25.00

CAB

no forecast

@ 10.75

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	70%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	23.6	18.8	42.3	+4.8	78%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	22.2	18.2	40.3	+4.0	58%	25%
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.8	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.3	18.7	42.0	+4.6	70%	44%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.7	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	20.9	40.1	-1.6	29%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	17.9	40.2	+4.5	75%	31%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.2	44.4	+4.0	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	20.6	19.9	40.5	+0.8	50%	38%
vs Similar (12)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.8	50%	33%
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	18.5	40.5	+3.5	60%	30%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.3	57%	47%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.4	20.1	42.6	+2.3	67%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	42%	42%
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.4	42.9	+4.1	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	25.0	18.2	43.2	+6.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	22.0	26.5	48.5	-4.5	50%	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.7	19.9	41.6	+1.7	56%	41%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.5
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.3	47%	17%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	57%	14%
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	17.9	34.8	-0.9	38%	19%
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	25%	12%
vs Similar (12)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	67%	17%
vs Weaker (10)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	40%	20%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.25
Last 30 (30)	44.8	39.0	83.8	+5.8	67%	40%
Last 30 at home (18)	46.0	38.9	84.9	+7.1	72%	39%
Last 30 away (12)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	58%	42%
Last 10 (10)	45.8	38.9	84.7	+6.9	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	45.6	39.0	84.6	+6.6	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	45.0	38.7	83.6	+6.3	67%	41%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86.25
Last 30 (30)	39.5	38.1	77.6	+1.3	60%	27%
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	40.9	80.5	-1.2	50%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	35.8	75.1	+3.6	69%	25%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	41.1	81.8	-0.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.6	42.6	87.2	+2.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	39.9	77.5	-2.2	38%	25%
vs Similar (12)	39.2	36.7	75.9	+2.6	75%	25%
vs Weaker (10)	41.2	38.5	79.7	+2.7	60%	30%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BEN win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

CAB win + total 171.5

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BEN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CAB leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Benfica (regulation)	93.4%	1.03	Betano 1.05	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
CAB Madeira +24.5	70.4%	1.42	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
CAB Madeira over 71.5	71.5%	1.38	Betano 1.44	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
CAB Madeira over 70.5	74.8%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Lost
Benfica win	94.3%	1.03	WilliamHill 1.06	Betfair 1.04	BetVictor 1.03	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	+5.2pp	Won
Under 181.5	70.2%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Benfica -11.5	73.3%	1.31	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Benfica over 90.5	70.4%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Lost
CAB Madeira under 82.5	70.3%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Benfica -12.5	70.3%	1.32	Betano 1.32	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Lost

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 90.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀23%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 23% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.0	25.4	52.9%	51.1%	50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.1	7.0	31.7%	31.9%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	18.2	74.9%	71.1%	18.2

They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀42%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.6	16.8	51.5%	51.1%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.4	36.1%	31.9%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	17.4	12.8	73.6%	71.1%	12.8

They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	21.3	47.8%	51.1%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.1	29.5%	31.9%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	22.7	18.0	79.3%	71.1%	18.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	21.0	51.1%	51.1%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.1	30.2%	31.9%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	24.0	16.9	70.4%	71.1%	16.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.2	57.3%	51.1%	46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.2%	31.9%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	24.7	18.3	74.2%	71.1%	18.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	18.5	52.4%	51.1%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.1	33.5%	31.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.5	73.3%	71.1%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.9	47.4%	51.1%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.2	30.4%	31.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	22.6	16.4	72.7%	71.1%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	19.8	47.5%	51.1%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.8	6.9	30.4%	31.9%	20.8
🏀 Free throws	24.0	16.7	69.8%	71.1%	16.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Benfica

WWWWLWWWWL

CAB Madeira

LLLWLLLLWW

League position

#10

+8.7

Net rating

+0.5

96.7

Offensive rating

92.5

88.0

Defensive rating

92.1

51.2%

Effective FG%

52.8%

46.5%

Opp. effective FG%

49.0%

13.4%

Turnover %

16.5%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.27

31.7%

3-point %

36.1%

54.0%

Assist %

64.9%

80%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Benfica ■ CAB Madeira

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

CAB Madeira wins

Date	Game	Score
28/12/22	CAB Madeira v Benfica	78-107
08/10/22	Benfica v CAB Madeira	83-71
08/01/22	Benfica v CAB Madeira	99-66
23/10/21	CAB Madeira v Benfica	66-84
15/01/21	Benfica v CAB Madeira	104-67
11/10/20	CAB Madeira v Benfica	66-92
12/02/20	Benfica v CAB Madeira	96-76
07/12/19	Benfica v CAB Madeira	114-60
17/05/19	CAB Madeira v Benfica	59-80
12/05/19	Benfica v CAB Madeira	101-59

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Bakken Bears	94-79
07/11/26	H	Esgueira	112-78
04/11/26	H	Absheron Lions	97-76
31/10/26	A	Portimonense	86-72
28/10/26	A	Geneva Lions	90-93
24/10/26	A	CA Queluz	89-72
21/10/26	H	BC Prievidza	98-83
17/10/26	H	Oliveirense	92-67
14/10/26	H	Denizli Basket	96-91
11/10/26	A	FC Porto	86-93

CAB Madeiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	CA Queluz	86-90
31/10/26	H	Oliveirense	109-113 OT
25/10/26	A	FC Porto	82-93
17/10/26	H	Sporting CP	93-84
10/10/26	A	CD Povoa	69-73
03/10/26	H	Vitoria	78-83
31/05/26	A	CD Povoa	72-90
30/05/26	A	CD Povoa	61-78
24/05/26	H	CD Povoa	90-72
16/05/26	H	Illiabum	76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	83%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	91.5	96.0	87.0
Allowed / game	75.5	72.0	79.0
Point differential	+16.0	+24.0	+8.0
Avg total	167.0	168.0	166.0
Over 171.5	33%	33%	33%
Win by 10+	83%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

CAB Madeira

LPB 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	17%
Home	LWL	33%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	86.2	93.3	79.0
Allowed / game	89.3	93.3	85.3
Point differential	-3.2	+0.0	-6.3
Avg total	175.5	186.7	164.3
Over 171.5	67%	67%	67%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	17%	33%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	7	6	1	86%	91.6	81.6	+10.0
2	Benfica	6	5	1	83%	91.5	75.5	+16.0
3	Ovarense	6	5	1	83%	83.7	76.2	+7.5
4	CD Povoa	6	4	2	67%	76.0	72.2	+3.8
5	Oliveirense	6	4	2	67%	92.2	90.0	+2.2
6	CA Queluz	5	3	2	60%	89.2	92.2	-3.0
7	Braga	7	4	3	57%	88.1	81.1	+7.0
8	Sporting CP	6	3	3	50%	81.8	75.5	+6.3
9	Vitoria	7	2	5	29%	68.7	83.9	-15.1
10	CAB Madeira	6	1	5	17%	86.2	89.3	-3.2
11	Portimonense	6	0	6	0%	75.7	87.8	-12.2
12	Esgueira	6	0	6	0%	77.7	97.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	11	29	12	17	69
CAB Madeira	18	13	14	17	62

← all games of the day

Benfica vs CAB Madeira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature