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Benfica vs Denizli Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-91
28-23 22-22 27-17 19-29
Position#6
Record1-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game81.0
Benfica 🏆
vs
Denizli Basket
Position#31
Record1-0
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Pavilhão Fidelidade
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denizli Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
76avg 87
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
89-73
89
73
+16
91avg 87
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
63-87
63
87
-24
44avg 87
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 87
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 87
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
L
88-98
88
98
-10
78avg 87
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
W
84-71
84
71
+13
74avg 87
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
91-81
91
81
+10
76avg 87
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
72avg 87
A11/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
23-23
25-16
23-16
23-12
23-15
28-19
15-27
24-31
31-24
22-19
17-20
13-27
22-20
14-17
14-23
17-18
18-19
22-18
14-20
25-17
20-21
17-17
25-23
21-28
30-21
22-19
15-30
19-19
19-22
19-13
27-17
19-16
19-20
27-14
26-31
26-16
19-24
27-32
14-21
167.9Avg total
84.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.383.6167.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)87.284.2171.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)88.098.0186.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)93.078.2171.2+14.878%
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Tofas
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
65-58
65
58
+7
no box
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
57-69
57
69
-12
no box
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
98-101
98
101
-3
92avg 82
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 82
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
101-87
101
87
+14
98avg 82
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 82
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 82
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
17-21
16-23
13-10
7-21
22-13
16-23
14-30
26-15
19-12
2-18
18-13
20-21
16-28
20-18
22-21
16-24
16-14
14-13
11-18
20-24
17-19
28-34
33-24
24-25
21-22
21-23
15-15
30-22
20-14
25-25
26-26
30-21
19-20
16-16
18-12
16-26
18-24
27-22
15-13
157.0Avg total
75.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season at home (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.881.2157.0-5.430%
Last 5 (5)87.885.4173.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.083.5161.5-5.517%
vs Similar (8)72.473.5145.9-1.162%
vs Weaker (15)76.270.4146.6+5.873%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
BenficaDenizli Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H09/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/06
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A14/06
LPB
Geneva Lions
#44
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/09
Champions League
Vechta
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H17/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/10
LPB
Bakken Bears
#22
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A11/10
LPB
84.2Avg total
42.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.139.186.2+8.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.838.887.6+10.182%-
Last 30 away (13)44.839.584.3+5.462%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.684.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)51.049.0100.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.138.985.9+8.270%-
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H07/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H12/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H14/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/05
TBL
Best Balikesir
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/05
TBL
Vechta
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A15/09
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
BC Prievidza
#23
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.3Avg total
38.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.076.0-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.934.972.8+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.041.179.1-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.580.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.486.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)41.247.288.3-6.017%-
vs Similar (8)35.435.070.4+0.438%-
vs Weaker (15)38.135.673.7+2.553%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.8
52.8%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.3
31.9%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.717.4
73.4%
72.8%17.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denizli Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denizli Basket: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.2
53.5%
53.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.69.2
39.0%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
72.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWWLWLLLWW
Denizli Basket
LWWLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#31
+3.9
Net rating
+5.8
92.2
Offensive rating
101.2
88.3
Defensive rating
95.4
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
39.0%
53.3%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.2 · 101.2Defence88.3 · 95.4Shooting51.0% · 55.2%3-point %31.9% · 39.0%Ball care15.9% · 13.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Benfica   ■ Denizli Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Benfica wins
0
Denizli Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AFC Porto86-93
07/10/26ABakken Bears91-81
03/10/26HSporting CP84-71
17/09/26HVechta88-98
15/09/26HGeneva Lions87-78
14/06/26AFC Porto71-75
12/06/26AFC Porto63-87
09/06/26HFC Porto98-102 OT
07/06/26HFC Porto89-73
28/05/26AOliveirense86-78
Denizli Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AAnadolu Efes76-85
06/10/26HBC Prievidza83-69
03/10/26HTofas101-87
26/09/26APetkim Spor81-85
15/09/26AVechta98-101
19/05/16ABest Balikesir57-69
17/05/16ABest Balikesir78-88
14/05/16HBest Balikesir65-58
12/05/16HBest Balikesir59-87
07/05/16HTofas60-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game81.0-81.0
Point differential+10.0-+10.0
Avg total172.0-172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Denizli Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.083.0-
Allowed / game69.069.0-
Point differential+14.0+14.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor220100%93.062.5+30.5
2 Dziki Warszawa220100%98.578.0+20.5
3 VEF Riga220100%108.088.5+19.5
4 Trier220100%89.571.0+18.5
5 Mykonos220100%79.061.5+17.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes220100%78.563.5+15.0
7 Denizli Basket110100%83.069.0+14.0
8 Keravnos220100%88.074.0+14.0
9 Basquet Girona220100%89.075.5+13.5
10 Nancy220100%75.063.0+12.0
11 Sporting CP220100%88.076.0+12.0
12 Iraklis220100%77.066.0+11.0
13 Benfica110100%91.081.0+10.0
14 Bashkimi110100%79.077.0+2.0
15 Dinamo Bucharest43175%92.276.0+16.2
16 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
17 Opava21150%85.068.0+17.0
18 Geneva Lions21150%89.080.5+8.5
19 CSM Oradea21150%81.073.0+8.0
20 Promitheas21150%87.082.0+5.0
21 Zielona Gora21150%80.577.0+3.5
22 Valmiera Glass Via21150%79.576.5+3.0
23 Szczecin21150%90.588.5+2.0
24 Korfez Basket21150%76.074.5+1.5
25 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%79.080.0-1.0
27 Chalon/Saone21150%72.073.0-1.0
28 Split21150%71.573.0-1.5
29 Levice21150%71.573.5-2.0
30 Bakken Bears21150%79.582.0-2.5
31 Trepca21150%77.580.0-2.5
32 AEK Larnaca21150%76.579.5-3.0
33 Oostende21150%76.080.0-4.0
34 Lok. Plovdiv21150%81.087.5-6.5
35 Tartu Ulikool21150%85.597.5-12.0
36 Neftchi IK41325%73.282.0-8.8
37 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
38 MZT Skopje2020%75.579.5-4.0
39 Manchester Basketball1010%72.079.0-7.0
40 Nitra Blue Wings2020%79.588.0-8.5
41 Wurzburg2020%69.081.5-12.5
42 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
43 SCM Craiova2020%71.087.0-16.0
44 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
45 Fribourg Olympic2020%66.086.5-20.5
46 Absheron Lions2020%83.5106.5-23.0
47 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi2020%60.597.0-36.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2822271996
Denizli Basket2322172991
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