Benfica vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 74-81

12-18 20-23 22-17 20-23

Position#1

Record13-4

FormWLLLW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game69.6

Benfica

Oliveirense 🏆

Position#3

Record13-4

FormLWWWW

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game64.2

LPBRound 18

Other2016-17

Meetings · Benfica v Oliveirense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Oliveirense winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

#10

82-94

-12

H21/12

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

69-56

+13

H30/12

LPB

Enisey

69-99

-30

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

83-74

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

67-76

-9

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

89-66

+23

H14/01

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

78-81 OT

-3

A17/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

71-85

-14

A22/01

LPB

Enisey

58-89

-31

H25/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

104-66

104

+38

H28/01

LPB

16-22

22-24

13-26

31-22

16-12

22-15

16-16

15-13

13-21

22-29

18-27

16-22

29-19

15-19

23-22

16-14

22-23

12-15

18-22

15-16

27-13

11-14

28-12

23-27

13-18

18-18

16-19

22-14

20-24

20-23

23-22

8-16

18-25

10-21

15-21

15-22

20-19

27-20

30-12

27-15

155.6Avg total

77.0Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	82.1	69.6	151.8	+12.5	76%
Season at home (7)	89.4	65.7	155.1	+23.7	100%
Season away (10)	77.0	72.4	149.4	+4.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	77.0	78.6	155.6	-1.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.0	77.4	157.4	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	73.3	80.7	154.0	-7.4	36%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	82.7	70.2	152.9	+12.4	75%

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Oliveirense Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

78-68

+10

A26/11

LPB

FC Porto

66-68

-2

A04/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

81-70

+11

A08/12

LPB

Ovarense

72-54

+18

H11/12

LPB

Maia

#12

76-70

A17/12

LPB

Illiabum

83-86 OT

-3

A07/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-70

H08/01

LPB

Galitos

74-62

+12

H14/01

LPB

Electrico FC

77-56

+21

A21/01

LPB

Vitoria

67-64

H28/01

LPB

18-17

23-16

22-20

15-15

15-21

16-17

23-11

12-19

24-17

24-22

18-16

15-15

11-16

13-9

23-13

25-16

21-14

23-14

15-26

17-16

23-26

17-20

19-15

16-14

16-15

24-15

19-20

17-20

20-17

26-25

11-8

17-12

25-19

21-17

14-7

17-13

21-16

17-12

14-18

15-18

141.8Avg total

75.0Scored

66.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	71.8	64.2	135.9	+7.6	76%
Season at home (8)	75.0	66.0	141.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (9)	68.9	62.6	131.4	+6.3	56%
Last 10 (10)	75.0	66.8	141.8	+8.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	67.6	143.0	+7.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	72.2	79.4	151.6	-7.1	50%
vs Similar (11)	68.8	65.7	134.5	+3.1	64%
vs Weaker (11)	77.4	68.0	145.4	+9.4	82%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BenficaOliveirense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	19.3	39.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.3	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	19.1	36.8	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	16.8	36.3	+2.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.2	37.2	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.2	36.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	29%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	18.5	16.9	35.4	+1.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	16.6	35.1	+2.0	72%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	16.9	34.9	+1.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.7	37.1	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	16.8	35.2	+1.8	62%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.7	15.4	32.1	+1.3	80%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.2	17.5	37.6	+2.7	73%	-

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

#10

38-46

-8

H21/12

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

38-27

+11

H30/12

LPB

Enisey

35-50

-15

A04/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Ovarense

44-38

A08/01

LPB

Academic

#14

34-38

-4

H11/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Maia

#12

38-27

+11

H14/01

LPB

Donar Groningen

#10

31-36

-5

A17/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

40-47

-7

A22/01

LPB

Enisey

28-46

-18

H25/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Electrico FC

47-39

H28/01

LPB

76.7Avg total

37.3Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	36.7	76.0	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	34.3	75.1	+6.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	38.5	76.6	-0.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.4	76.7	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.0	75.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.1	39.3	76.4	-2.2	29%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.2	34.4	75.6	+6.9	69%	-

This opponent (Oliveirense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

41-33

A26/11

LPB

FC Porto

31-38

-7

A04/12

LPB

Sampaense

#11

48-39

A08/12

LPB

Ovarense

24-25

-1

H11/12

LPB

Maia

#12

44-28

+16

A17/12

LPB

Illiabum

40-46

-6

A07/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-30

+10

H08/01

LPB

Galitos

46-42

H14/01

LPB

Electrico FC

46-36

+10

A21/01

LPB

Vitoria

38-28

+10

H28/01

LPB

74.3Avg total

39.8Scored

34.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.4	35.2	72.6	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	33.8	71.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	36.7	73.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	34.5	74.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	36.4	78.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.1	35.9	72.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.3	34.0	69.3	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.3	35.8	76.1	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.7	22.5	39.2	-5.8	7%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.4	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	16.9	34.2	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	15.4	33.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	13.6	29.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.6	20.2	37.9	-2.6	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.3	17.6	34.9	-0.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.1	14.7	32.8	+3.4	82%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.2	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.5	17.7	37.2	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.2	17.6	35.9	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	18.2	38.4	+1.9	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	18.3	36.4	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.5	18.1	33.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	15.8	32.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.4	31.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.2	20.5	36.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.3	16.5	34.7	+1.8	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.9	76.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.2	37.7	77.9	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.0	38.0	75.0	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.0	77.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	34.9	40.1	75.1	-5.2	21%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.4	35.9	77.3	+5.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	35.6	71.3	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	35.4	73.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	35.8	69.4	-2.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	31.2	65.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	29.0	60.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.9	40.8	74.6	-6.9	38%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.5	36.3	72.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	36.4	31.2	67.5	+5.2	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Benfica wins

Oliveirense wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/16	Oliveirense v Benfica	78-75
18/05/16	Benfica v Oliveirense	86-82 OT
15/05/16	Oliveirense v Benfica	76-74
14/05/16	Oliveirense v Benfica	59-89
08/05/16	Benfica v Oliveirense	69-71
07/05/16	Benfica v Oliveirense	97-62
17/04/16	Oliveirense v Benfica	84-77
25/03/16	Benfica v Oliveirense	95-70
13/01/16	Oliveirense v Benfica	61-77
24/10/15	Benfica v Oliveirense	64-58

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	H	Electrico FC	104-66
25/01/17	H	Enisey	58-89
22/01/17	A	Illiabum	71-85
17/01/17	A	Donar Groningen	78-81 OT
14/01/17	H	Maia	89-66
11/01/17	H	Academic	67-76
08/01/17	A	Ovarense	83-74
04/01/17	A	Enisey	69-99
30/12/16	H	FC Porto	69-56
21/12/16	H	Donar Groningen	82-94

Oliveirenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/17	H	Vitoria	67-64
21/01/17	A	Electrico FC	77-56
14/01/17	H	Galitos	74-62
08/01/17	H	CAB Madeira	76-70
07/01/17	A	Illiabum	83-86 OT
17/12/16	A	Maia	76-70
11/12/16	H	Ovarense	72-54
08/12/16	A	Sampaense	81-70
04/12/16	A	FC Porto	66-68
26/11/16	A	Lusitania	78-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	76%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWLWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	76%	100%	60%
Points / game	82.1	89.4	77.0
Allowed / game	69.6	65.7	72.4
Point differential	+12.5	+23.7	+4.6
Avg total	151.8	155.1	149.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	100%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Oliveirense

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWLW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	76%	100%	56%
Points / game	71.8	75.0	68.9
Allowed / game	64.2	66.0	62.6
Point differential	+7.6	+9.0	+6.3
Avg total	135.9	141.0	131.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	38%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	100% (2)	0% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	18	15	3	83%	85.6	68.4	+17.2
2	Benfica	17	13	4	76%	82.1	69.6	+12.5
3	Oliveirense	17	13	4	76%	71.8	64.2	+7.6
4	Illiabum	18	12	6	67%	78.8	73.3	+5.5
5	Vitoria	18	12	6	67%	78.6	76.4	+2.2
6	Galitos	18	11	7	61%	74.9	72.6	+2.3
7	Ovarense	18	9	9	50%	76.2	78.7	-2.5
8	CAB Madeira	17	7	10	41%	77.7	76.0	+1.7
9	Lusitania	17	4	13	24%	74.6	81.4	-6.8
10	Electrico FC	17	4	13	24%	72.1	85.6	-13.5
11	Maia	17	3	14	18%	75.4	83.2	-7.8
12	Sampaense	18	2	16	11%	70.2	88.8	-18.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Benfica	12	20	22	20	74
Oliveirense	18	23	17	23	81

← all games of the day

Benfica vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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