PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Benfica vs Sporting CP Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Postponed
Position#4
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP
Portugal
Position#5
Record-
FormLWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025
Meetings · Benfica v Sporting CP
03 Oct 2026
BEN84
SCP71
31 Jan 2026
BEN78
SCP87
29 Dec 2024
BEN81
SCP64
30 Nov 2024
BEN v SCP
upcoming
06 Apr 2024
BEN94
SCP70
06 Jun 2023
BEN87
SCP93
04 Jun 2023
BEN85
SCP84
01 Apr 2023
BEN99
SCP86
14 Dec 2022
BEN90
SCP93
17 Sep 2022
BEN84
SCP89
16 Apr 2022
BEN79
SCP78
19 Jan 2022
BEN64
SCP72
05 Jan 2022
BEN63
SCP74
13 May 2021
BEN82
SCP95
19 Mar 2021
BEN75
SCP87
02 Nov 2019
BEN85
SCP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
no box
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 81
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
75-103
75
103
-28
56avg 81
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
96-61
96
61
+35
99avg 81
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 81
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
58-72
58
72
-14
48avg 81
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 81
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 81
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 81
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 81
H16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
22-23
19-21
22-18
17-31
20-21
15-27
12-13
17-32
16-25
21-22
21-24
26-12
16-16
31-20
23-13
14-27
18-19
35-13
20-24
16-21
16-20
14-16
12-15
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
165.6Avg total
82.7Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.782.9165.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)82.478.6161.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.682.8157.4-8.240%
vs Similar (3)73.378.3151.7-5.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.770.1160.9+20.695%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#32
W
68-57
68
57
+11
62avg 76
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Dnipro
#32
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 76
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 76
A20/10
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
63-93
63
93
-30
55avg 76
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
96-59
96
59
+37
29avg 76
H26/10
LPB
Sassari
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
62avg 76
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 76
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
78avg 76
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 76
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 76
H16/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
11-16
17-16
19-10
17-20
24-23
18-17
11-18
19-12
20-21
20-17
22-32
20-30
12-19
14-20
17-24
22-14
24-19
23-9
27-17
19-31
23-28
21-20
8-9
20-19
27-24
26-17
31-21
19-22
22-26
26-7
19-22
21-21
13-23
24-27
25-26
18-13
16-23
25-22
17-14
158.2Avg total
79.8Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.878.4158.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)84.083.0167.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.693.1168.7-17.60%
vs Similar (5)73.474.2147.6-0.840%
vs Weaker (18)87.075.2162.2+11.867%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
BenficaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/09
Super Cup
Manresa
#9
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A02/10
Champions League
Chemnitz
#41
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/10
Champions League
Imortal
#7
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A19/10
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/10
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
81.8Avg total
40.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.237.679.8+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.135.980.1+8.271%-
Last 30 away (16)40.439.179.5+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.681.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.480.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.641.884.4+0.860%-
vs Similar (3)38.041.379.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.635.778.2+6.971%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Dnipro
#32
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A16/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Dnipro
#32
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Esgueira
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/10
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Imortal
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H26/10
LPB
Sassari
#11
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/11
LPB
80.7Avg total
38.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.583.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.340.482.7+1.956%-
Last 30 away (14)41.342.884.1-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.980.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.085.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.149.488.6-10.314%-
vs Similar (5)39.837.877.6+2.060%-
vs Weaker (18)43.439.482.9+4.067%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.3
33.6%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
68.1%12.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.1
55.8%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.85.3
24.3%
34.2%15.9
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
68.1%15.6
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WLWWLWWLLL
Sporting CP
WLWWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#5
-2.2
Net rating
-2.0
105.3
Offensive rating
99.7
107.5
Defensive rating
101.8
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
22.4%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.6%
3-point %
24.3%
64.0%
Assist %
54.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 99.7Defence107.5 · 101.8Shooting52.0% · 48.7%3-point %33.6% · 24.3%Ball care18.5% · 22.4%Off. rebounds29.6% · 37.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Benfica wins
3
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Sporting CP v Benfica66-73
06/04/24Benfica v Sporting CP94-70
25/11/23Sporting CP v Benfica91-88 OT
11/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica85-101
09/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica57-101
06/06/23Benfica v Sporting CP87-93
04/06/23Benfica v Sporting CP85-84
29/04/23Sporting CP v Benfica80-96
01/04/23Benfica v Sporting CP99-86
05/03/23Sporting CP v Benfica86-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
29/10/24HTortona58-72
26/10/24AGalomar87-83
19/10/24AImortal96-61
16/10/24AChemnitz75-103
02/10/24AManresa64-92
28/09/24HFC Porto93-97 OT
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24HGalitos Barreiro76-72
13/11/24HAnwil Wloclawek83-97
10/11/24AOvarense86-77
03/11/24HCA Queluz104-81
30/10/24ASassari71-88
26/10/24HImortal96-59
23/10/24AAnwil Wloclawek63-93
20/10/24AEsgueira81-82
18/10/24HBC Dnipro70-78
16/10/24ABC Dnipro68-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sporting CP
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.