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Braga vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 May 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-94
18-22 18-22 23-33 20-17
Position#7
Record9-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.0
Braga
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record21-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game75.7
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· AMCO Arena
Other2025-26Neutral venue
Meetings · Braga v Benfica
05 Dec 2026
BRAG v BEN
upcoming
13 May 2026
BRAG79
BEN94
28 Dec 2025
BRAG63
BEN87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
107-66
107
66
+41
121avg 73
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
97-76
97
76
+21
98avg 73
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 73
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 73
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
58avg 73
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
101-84
101
84
+17
107avg 73
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
66avg 73
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
68-82
68
82
-14
58avg 73
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 73
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 73
A09/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
20-19
35-16
24-16
31-18
19-19
26-19
21-20
22-33
14-18
20-18
21-18
29-24
14-20
22-28
22-24
15-22
24-22
11-23
23-13
11-19
40-22
29-22
21-21
17-28
15-26
27-30
18-24
21-17
19-29
12-21
16-15
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
166.9Avg total
83.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.483.0162.4-3.639%
Season at home (11)78.580.3158.8-1.745%
Season away (12)80.285.5165.8-5.233%
Last 10 (10)83.383.6166.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)78.486.2164.6-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.786.5160.3-12.818%
vs Similar (8)80.681.8162.4-1.138%
vs Weaker (11)84.974.5159.4+10.573%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 89
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
111-79
111
79
+32
118avg 89
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
106-68
106
68
+38
110avg 89
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
72-88
72
88
-16
66avg 89
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 89
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
108-82
108
82
+26
115avg 89
A04/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
108-77
108
77
+31
115avg 89
H11/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
107-65
107
65
+42
110avg 89
A18/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
103-70
103
70
+33
109avg 89
H25/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 89
H09/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
21-22
27-14
28-27
32-19
31-25
25-15
23-20
27-21
30-13
24-13
25-21
20-13
18-21
17-22
17-32
24-13
18-14
23-21
24-22
29-18
27-26
24-14
28-24
28-17
26-15
30-27
24-18
25-25
31-13
31-17
20-10
23-27
37-21
21-12
22-10
24-19
22-15
24-24
20-14
176.5Avg total
99.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)97.775.7173.4+22.191%
Season at home (12)97.474.4171.8+23.092%
Season away (11)98.177.0175.1+21.191%
Last 10 (10)99.976.6176.5+23.390%
Last 5 (5)103.273.2176.4+30.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.592.2163.7-20.717%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)97.775.7173.4+22.191%
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +6.7+6.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.3+3.3
BragaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A21/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
84.9Avg total
41.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.579.9-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.941.178.0-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.081.7-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.284.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.484.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.046.383.3-9.318%-
vs Similar (8)39.442.682.0-3.250%-
vs Weaker (11)38.936.074.9+2.955%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A07/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H14/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H14/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A21/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H28/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A04/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H11/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A18/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H25/04
LPB
Braga
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/05
LPB
91.1Avg total
52.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.439.887.2+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.140.188.1+8.081%-
Last 30 away (14)46.639.586.1+7.164%-
Last 10 (10)52.238.991.1+13.390%-
Last 5 (5)54.439.293.6+15.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.246.883.0-10.717%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)50.338.188.5+12.287%-
This opponent (Braga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.0
47.6%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.6
33.4%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws24.117.7
73.4%
70.4%17.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 99.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.824.6
63.4%
52.7%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
32.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws25.619.8
77.3%
70.4%19.8
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LWLLWLLLWW
Benfica
WWWWWWLWWW
#7
League position
#1
+0.4
Net rating
+25.2
90.0
Offensive rating
106.3
89.6
Defensive rating
81.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
59.7%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.4%
3-point %
36.3%
76.1%
Assist %
72.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence90.0 · 106.3Defence89.6 · 81.2Shooting48.7% · 59.7%3-point %33.4% · 36.3%Ball care16.1% · 17.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Braga   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Braga wins
3
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Benfica v Braga90-72
11/04/26Benfica v Braga108-77
28/12/25Braga v Benfica63-87
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67
18/04/26HFC Porto68-82
11/04/26ABenfica77-108
04/04/26HVitoria101-84
28/03/26AImortal73-80
21/03/26HSporting CP87-96
14/03/26AOliveirense77-87
21/02/26AEsgueira97-76
14/02/26HVasco Da Gama107-66
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HBraga90-72
25/04/26HVasco Da Gama103-70
18/04/26AEsgueira107-65
11/04/26HBraga108-77
04/04/26AGalitos Barreiro108-82
28/03/26HOvarense89-70
21/03/26AFC Porto72-88
14/03/26HCA Queluz106-68
14/02/26HVitoria111-79
07/02/26AImortal105-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game79.478.580.2
Allowed / game83.080.385.5
Point differential-3.6-1.7-5.2
Avg total162.4158.8165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %91%92%91%
Points / game97.797.498.1
Allowed / game75.774.477.0
Point differential+22.1+23.0+21.1
Avg total173.4171.8175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2321291%97.775.7+22.1
2 Sporting CP2318578%88.276.5+11.7
3 FC Porto2316770%89.381.7+7.6
4 Ovarense2315865%82.278.5+3.7
5 Oliveirense23121152%85.183.5+1.6
6 Imortal2391439%83.884.7-0.9
7 Braga2391439%79.483.0-3.6
8 Esgueira2391439%84.391.4-7.0
9 CA Queluz2281436%84.187.4-3.3
10 Vitoria2281436%83.290.2-7.0
11 Vasco Da Gama2261627%83.197.8-14.7
12 Galitos Barreiro2251723%81.793.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga1818232079
Benfica2222331794
← all games of the day
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