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Esgueira vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 May 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 73-85
18-25 18-23 21-19 16-18
Position#8
Record9-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Position#3
Record18-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.5
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2025-26
Meetings · Esgueira v Sporting CP
09 Jan 2027
ESGU v SCP
upcoming
14 May 2026
ESGU73
SCP85
06 Dec 2025
ESGU95
SCP87
20 Oct 2024
ESGU82
SCP81
02 Dec 2023
ESGU68
SCP105
22 Oct 2022
ESGU78
SCP92
19 Dec 2020
ESGU70
SCP83
16 Nov 2019
ESGU78
SCP90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
A10/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-20
21-26
34-21
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
21-25
17-24
26-25
29-14
10-27
23-23
23-21
23-24
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
176.5Avg total
82.6Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.391.4175.7-7.039%
Season at home (11)87.291.5178.7-4.455%
Season away (12)81.891.2173.0-9.525%
Last 10 (10)82.693.9176.5-11.340%
Last 5 (5)80.495.4175.8-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.290.0169.2-10.838%
vs Similar (10)85.990.0175.9-4.130%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H16/03
LPB
Braga
#7
W
96-87
96
87
+9
A21/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H28/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
112-81
112
81
+31
A04/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
109-67
109
67
+42
H10/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
27-25
27-12
14-15
23-17
17-18
19-21
26-26
21-18
24-16
16-23
17-16
24-29
20-14
28-22
24-22
27-10
23-23
21-23
24-23
25-23
30-18
26-21
31-19
19-23
14-18
20-23
21-18
12-13
19-18
26-27
26-11
17-19
17-20
16-10
11-15
27-21
30-20
25-9
27-17
164.2Avg total
88.5Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.276.5164.7+11.778%
Season at home (12)84.874.7159.5+10.275%
Season away (11)91.978.5170.4+13.582%
Last 10 (10)88.575.7164.2+12.880%
Last 5 (5)87.872.6160.4+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.284.7158.8-10.533%
vs Similar (4)80.584.5165.0-4.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)92.274.0166.2+18.285%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.9+3.9
EsgueiraSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
84.7Avg total
37.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.446.287.5-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.646.188.7-3.444%-
Last 30 away (14)39.946.386.2-6.47%-
Last 10 (10)37.647.184.7-9.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.848.686.4-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.446.887.2-6.425%-
vs Similar (10)42.645.187.7-2.530%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Prievidza
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Ovarense
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/03
LPB
Braga
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/03
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H28/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A04/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/04
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H18/04
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H10/05
LPB
82.4Avg total
44.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.284.5+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.238.381.5+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)45.542.487.9+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.482.4+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.680.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.043.078.0-8.033%-
vs Similar (4)45.047.592.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.937.984.8+9.085%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.5
50.7%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
32.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.213.4
66.3%
70.4%13.4
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.5
59.9%
52.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.5
29.5%
32.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.6
72.8%
70.4%16.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LWLLWLWLLW
Sporting CP
WLWLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
-11.2
Net rating
+14.1
88.0
Offensive rating
98.5
99.3
Defensive rating
84.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.1%
3-point %
29.5%
56.4%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 98.5Defence99.3 · 84.4Shooting51.6% · 52.5%3-point %35.1% · 29.5%Ball care17.0% · 15.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Esgueira   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
8
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
10/05/26Sporting CP v Esgueira109-67
28/03/26Sporting CP v Esgueira95-79
06/12/25Esgueira v Sporting CP95-87
02/02/25Sporting CP v Esgueira93-87 OT
20/10/24Esgueira v Sporting CP82-81
13/04/24Sporting CP v Esgueira88-73
02/12/23Esgueira v Sporting CP68-105
07/01/23Sporting CP v Esgueira89-42
22/10/22Esgueira v Sporting CP78-92
21/03/21Sporting CP v Esgueira97-68
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
28/03/26ASporting CP79-95
21/03/26HOliveirense93-88
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
14/02/26ACA Queluz92-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HEsgueira109-67
25/04/26AImortal61-64
18/04/26HCA Queluz83-69
11/04/26HOliveirense74-82
04/04/26AVasco Da Gama112-81
28/03/26HEsgueira95-79
21/03/26ABraga96-87
16/03/26HGalitos Barreiro78-73
14/02/26AOvarense85-82
11/02/26HBC Prievidza92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%55%25%
Points / game84.387.281.8
Allowed / game91.491.591.2
Point differential-7.0-4.4-9.5
Avg total175.7178.7173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW78%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%75%82%
Points / game88.284.891.9
Allowed / game76.574.778.5
Point differential+11.7+10.2+13.5
Avg total164.7159.5170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2422292%97.675.8+21.8
2 Sporting CP2318578%88.276.5+11.7
3 FC Porto2316770%89.381.7+7.6
4 Ovarense2415962%81.879.0+2.8
5 Oliveirense24131154%85.383.0+2.3
6 Imortal2391439%83.884.7-0.9
7 Esgueira2391439%84.391.4-7.0
8 Braga2491538%79.483.5-4.0
9 CA Queluz2281436%84.187.4-3.3
10 Vitoria2281436%83.290.2-7.0
11 Vasco Da Gama2261627%83.197.8-14.7
12 Galitos Barreiro2251723%81.793.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira1818211673
Sporting CP2523191885
← all games of the day
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