PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Benfica vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-64
22-22 19-13 24-12 16-17
Position#1
Record9-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game75.9
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#3
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game76.2
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2024-25
Meetings · Benfica v Sporting CP
03 Oct 2026
BEN84
SCP71
31 Jan 2026
BEN78
SCP87
29 Dec 2024
BEN81
SCP64
30 Nov 2024
BEN v SCP
upcoming
06 Apr 2024
BEN94
SCP70
06 Jun 2023
BEN87
SCP93
04 Jun 2023
BEN85
SCP84
01 Apr 2023
BEN99
SCP86
14 Dec 2022
BEN90
SCP93
17 Sep 2022
BEN84
SCP89
16 Apr 2022
BEN79
SCP78
19 Jan 2022
BEN64
SCP72
05 Jan 2022
BEN63
SCP74
13 May 2021
BEN82
SCP95
19 Mar 2021
BEN75
SCP87
02 Nov 2019
BEN85
SCP79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 82
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 82
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 82
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 82
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 82
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 82
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 82
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
W
79-75
79
75
+4
75avg 82
A22/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
21-22
13-15
23-11
22-27
164.9Avg total
87.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)91.975.9167.8+16.0100%
Season at home (4)93.575.5169.0+18.0100%
Season away (5)90.676.2166.8+14.4100%
Last 10 (10)87.477.5164.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)85.475.8161.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.869.3159.1+20.5100%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
L
71-88
71
88
-17
62avg 75
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-81
104
81
+23
105avg 75
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
78avg 75
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
83-97
83
97
-14
75avg 75
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
76-72
76
72
+4
73avg 75
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
70avg 75
H30/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
64avg 75
A07/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
74avg 75
H14/12
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
86-68
86
68
+18
78avg 75
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 75
H21/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
23-28
21-20
8-9
20-19
27-24
26-17
31-21
19-22
22-26
26-7
19-22
21-21
13-23
24-27
25-26
18-13
16-23
25-22
17-14
22-26
21-12
22-26
18-23
24-20
11-19
11-14
22-13
22-19
18-13
20-14
24-26
17-17
31-14
22-21
16-16
23-17
20-30
16-31
33-12
163.1Avg total
83.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.676.2161.8+9.378%
Season at home (6)89.276.8166.0+12.383%
Season away (3)78.375.0153.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)83.379.8163.1+3.570%
Last 5 (5)82.676.6159.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.290.8162.0-19.60%
vs Similar (5)73.877.4151.2-3.620%
vs Weaker (20)85.575.1160.6+10.470%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.1+3.1
BenficaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
CD Povoa
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A22/12
LPB
79.5Avg total
44.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.078.6+6.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.633.978.5+10.780%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.178.8+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)44.734.879.5+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.278.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.133.576.6+9.679%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#11
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/11
LPB
Anwil Wloclawek
#23
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H30/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A07/12
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H14/12
LPB
Imortal
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H21/12
LPB
82.4Avg total
40.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.881.7+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.139.980.9+1.253%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.982.8-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.782.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.649.285.8-12.60%-
vs Similar (5)38.238.276.4+0.060%-
vs Weaker (20)42.839.382.0+3.560%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.3
56.4%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.7
35.3%
32.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.814.3
62.7%
69.2%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.9
55.5%
51.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.2
27.8%
32.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.616.3
63.7%
69.2%16.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWWLWWWLWW
Sporting CP
WWWWLWLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+13.4
Net rating
+4.6
113.0
Offensive rating
105.4
99.6
Defensive rating
100.8
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.3%
3-point %
27.8%
69.7%
Assist %
58.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 105.4Defence99.6 · 100.8Shooting54.8% · 50.8%3-point %35.3% · 27.8%Ball care17.9% · 17.7%Off. rebounds33.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Benfica   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Benfica wins
3
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
04/05/24Sporting CP v Benfica66-73
06/04/24Benfica v Sporting CP94-70
25/11/23Sporting CP v Benfica91-88 OT
11/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica85-101
09/06/23Sporting CP v Benfica57-101
06/06/23Benfica v Sporting CP87-93
04/06/23Benfica v Sporting CP85-84
29/04/23Sporting CP v Benfica80-96
01/04/23Benfica v Sporting CP99-86
05/03/23Sporting CP v Benfica86-82
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24ACD Povoa79-75
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HVitoria92-90
17/12/24HImortal86-68
14/12/24HGalomar84-72
07/12/24ACD Povoa68-66
30/11/24HFC Porto83-87
16/11/24HGalitos Barreiro76-72
13/11/24HAnwil Wloclawek83-97
10/11/24AOvarense86-77
03/11/24HCA Queluz104-81
30/10/24ASassari71-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.993.590.6
Allowed / game75.975.576.2
Point differential+16.0+18.0+14.4
Avg total167.8169.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game85.689.278.3
Allowed / game76.276.875.0
Point differential+9.3+12.3+3.3
Avg total161.8166.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica990100%91.975.9+16.0
2 FC Porto98189%86.077.1+8.9
3 Sporting CP97278%85.676.2+9.3
4 Oliveirense96367%88.980.8+8.1
5 Ovarense96367%78.776.6+2.1
6 Esgueira94544%82.286.4-4.2
7 CD Povoa93633%73.775.6-1.9
8 Vitoria93633%78.380.2-1.9
9 Galitos Barreiro103730%75.377.8-2.5
10 Galomar92722%74.882.7-7.9
11 CA Queluz92722%82.791.8-9.1
12 Imortal102820%72.787.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2219241681
Sporting CP2213121764
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.