Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 89-71

29-19 25-15 19-17 16-20

Position#3

Record16-8

FormLWWWW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game76.9

Avellino 🏆

Varese

Position#8

Record10-14

FormWWLWW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game78.4

Lega ARound 25

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Avellino v Varese

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Varese winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

81-80

A31/01

Lega A

Pistoia

84-76

H07/02

Lega A

Trento

80-68

+12

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

94-87

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

71-69

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

76-82

-6

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

95-94

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

81-77

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

89-82

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

82-74

H20/03

Lega A

20-21

22-17

15-19

24-23

22-19

21-14

22-23

19-20

14-27

15-15

17-13

34-13

17-22

27-17

18-14

32-34

18-16

16-14

21-23

16-16

11-21

25-22

19-17

21-22

34-28

19-22

24-30

18-14

23-20

19-16

19-12

20-29

23-16

20-26

21-20

25-20

23-19

22-16

16-15

21-24

162.2Avg total

83.3Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.7	76.9	155.6	+1.8	67%
Season at home (12)	78.8	76.0	154.8	+2.8	75%
Season away (12)	78.6	77.8	156.4	+0.8	58%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	78.9	162.2	+4.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	81.8	166.4	+2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	76.0	82.0	158.0	-6.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	76.9	76.9	153.8	-0.1	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	79.4	75.8	155.2	+3.6	75%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

69-91

-22

A07/02

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

81-82

-1

H14/02

Lega A

Gaziantep

#17

82-81

H17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Gaziantep

#17

60-76

-16

A24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Torino

#15

84-72

+12

A28/02

Lega A

Gaziantep

#17

74-71

H02/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Trento

96-82

+14

H06/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

67-76

-9

A13/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

80-69

+11

H20/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

92-81

+11

H24/03

FIBA Europe Cup

18-25

14-25

19-22

18-19

15-15

23-28

16-22

27-17

22-29

19-10

14-23

27-19

18-22

16-13

15-19

11-22

28-14

16-25

22-17

18-16

26-15

16-16

18-23

14-17

17-25

23-16

23-23

33-18

19-18

10-19

22-20

16-19

21-19

24-24

8-14

27-12

21-19

18-18

31-19

22-25

156.6Avg total

78.5Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	74.0	78.4	152.4	-4.4	42%
Season at home (12)	79.2	78.2	157.4	+1.1	58%
Season away (12)	68.8	78.6	147.3	-9.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	78.1	156.6	+0.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	75.8	157.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	68.2	88.0	156.2	-19.8	0%
vs Similar (21)	78.8	74.7	153.5	+4.0	67%
vs Weaker (4)	77.8	72.0	149.8	+5.8	75%

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AvellinoVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	18.1	38.1	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	11.0	21.0	32.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.3	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.0	22.8	38.8	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	22.0	47.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.2	42%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.0	36.0	-0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	17.7	34.1	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.4	37.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.2	21.6	36.8	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	13.8	16.5	30.2	-2.8	0%	-

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

42-38

A31/01

Lega A

Pistoia

43-33

+10

H07/02

Lega A

Trento

29-42

-13

A13/02

Lega A

Reggiana

44-39

A19/02

Italian Cup

Trento

34-30

H20/02

Italian Cup

Olimpia Milano

36-43

-7

H21/02

Italian Cup

Sassari

53-50

A28/02

Lega A

Cantu

#11

42-36

H06/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

43-42

A14/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

45-35

+10

H20/03

Lega A

79.9Avg total

41.1Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	38.2	78.2	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	36.1	76.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.8	79.9	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.2	85.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	36.0	43.0	79.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.2	38.9	78.1	+0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	41.0	36.9	77.9	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sassari

32-50

-18

A07/02

Lega A

Capo d'Orlando

#16

38-43

-5

H14/02

Lega A

Gaziantep

#17

41-39

H17/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Gaziantep

#17

34-35

-1

A24/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Torino

#15

44-39

A28/02

Lega A

Gaziantep

#17

42-31

+11

H02/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Trento

40-41

-1

H06/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

29-37

-8

A13/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

45-43

H20/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

39-37

H24/03

FIBA Europe Cup

77.9Avg total

38.4Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	36.8	75.4	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	37.7	78.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	36.0	72.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.5	77.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	37.8	76.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	31.2	44.4	75.6	-13.2	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	40.4	35.5	75.9	+5.0	76%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.8	34.5	72.2	+3.2	50%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.9	36.6	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	17.7	36.7	+1.3	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.4	18.2	36.7	+0.2	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	18.9	36.5	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.2	24.8	41.0	-8.6	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.5	40.7	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	19.7	39.4	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	21.5	44.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	18.7	20.2	38.9	-1.5	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	19.7	37.4	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	48%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.5	76.6	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.5	39.5	77.1	-2.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	37.5	76.1	+1.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.1	82.3	+2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	40.6	81.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	37.6	38.2	75.8	-0.7	42%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.4	77.2	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	37.9	78.1	+2.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	40.8	76.3	-5.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	38.0	80.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	37.0	43.6	80.6	-6.6	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	37.6	38.7	76.3	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.5	25%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Avellino wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/15	Varese v Avellino	81-93
10/05/15	Varese v Avellino	66-73
11/01/15	Avellino v Varese	67-91
16/02/14	Avellino v Varese	83-63
03/11/13	Varese v Avellino	85-68
27/01/13	Avellino v Varese	82-83 OT
06/10/12	Varese v Avellino	91-83
02/05/12	Avellino v Varese	78-77
11/01/12	Varese v Avellino	94-78
30/01/11	Varese v Avellino	83-85

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/03/16	H	Virtus Bologna	82-74
14/03/16	A	Brindisi	89-82
06/03/16	H	Cantu	81-77
28/02/16	A	Sassari	95-94
21/02/16	H	Olimpia Milano	76-82
20/02/16	H	Trento	71-69
19/02/16	A	Reggiana	94-87
13/02/16	A	Trento	80-68
07/02/16	H	Pistoia	84-76
31/01/16	A	Olimpia Milano	81-80

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/16	H	Antwerp Giants	92-81
20/03/16	H	Brindisi	80-69
13/03/16	A	Virtus Bologna	67-76
06/03/16	H	Trento	96-82
02/03/16	H	Gaziantep	74-71
28/02/16	A	Torino	84-72
24/02/16	A	Gaziantep	60-76
17/02/16	H	Gaziantep	82-81
14/02/16	H	Capo d'Orlando	81-82
07/02/16	A	Sassari	69-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	67%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	WWWWW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	75%	58%
Points / game	78.7	78.8	78.6
Allowed / game	76.9	76.0	77.8
Point differential	+1.8	+2.8	+0.8
Avg total	155.6	154.8	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	17%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	75% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	42%
Home	WLLWW	58%
Away	WLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	42%	58%	25%
Points / game	74.0	79.2	68.8
Allowed / game	78.4	78.2	78.6
Point differential	-4.4	+1.1	-9.8
Avg total	152.4	157.4	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	24	19	5	79%	83.5	72.7	+10.8
2	Reggiana	24	18	6	75%	80.5	74.2	+6.3
3	Cremona	24	17	7	71%	75.2	72.9	+2.2
4	Avellino	24	16	8	67%	78.7	76.9	+1.8
5	Pistoia	24	13	11	54%	77.7	78.0	-0.3
6	Venezia	24	12	12	50%	77.2	73.8	+3.4
7	Sassari	25	12	13	48%	82.3	80.4	+1.8
8	Trento	25	12	13	48%	77.0	76.4	+0.6
9	Brindisi	24	11	13	46%	80.0	80.9	-0.9
10	Cantu	24	10	14	42%	80.1	79.5	+0.6
11	Varese	24	10	14	42%	74.0	78.4	-4.4
12	Pesaro	24	9	15	38%	75.0	77.8	-2.8
13	Caserta	24	9	15	38%	72.0	75.3	-3.4
14	Virtus Bologna	24	9	15	38%	74.9	79.4	-4.5
15	Capo d'Orlando	24	9	15	38%	68.2	73.5	-5.2
16	Torino	24	7	17	29%	74.4	80.5	-6.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Avellino	29	25	19	16	89
Varese	19	15	17	20	71

← all games of the day

Avellino vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature