Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 62-84

20-22 14-26 11-18 17-18

Position#7

Record14-16

FormWWLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game78.1

Lusitania

Benfica 🏆

Position#2

Record27-5

FormWLLWW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game68.9

LPBLPB - Quarter-finals

Other2015-16

Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#10

92-85 OT

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

89-67

+22

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-88

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

84-89

-5

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

82-84

-2

A27/03

LPB

Maia

#11

59-58

H09/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

75-73

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

82-86

-4

H17/04

LPB

Benfica

61-96

-35

A23/04

LPB

Benfica

64-92

-28

A24/04

LPB

14-21

17-18

15-20

29-16

16-18

28-17

28-15

17-17

19-26

18-22

28-20

27-20

15-27

17-28

23-20

29-14

19-27

26-18

17-18

20-21

14-10

19-22

13-14

13-12

15-26

23-17

18-13

19-17

22-18

19-21

22-16

19-31

18-27

23-20

8-26

12-23

16-18

19-24

21-23

8-27

159.8Avg total

78.0Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	74.6	78.1	152.7	-3.5	47%
Season at home (14)	74.3	76.6	150.9	-2.4	50%
Season away (16)	74.9	79.4	154.3	-4.6	44%
Last 10 (10)	78.0	81.8	159.8	-3.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.2	81.0	149.2	-12.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	72.1	82.9	155.0	-10.7	21%
vs Similar (8)	75.1	73.9	149.0	+1.2	62%
vs Weaker (8)	78.4	74.1	152.5	+4.2	75%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

75-63

+12

H06/03

LPB

FC Porto

94-97

-3

A13/03

LPB

Oliveirense

95-70

+25

H25/03

LPB

Barcelos

85-69

+16

H29/03

LPB

Ovarense

77-82

-5

A08/04

LPB

Galitos

94-77

+17

A10/04

LPB

FC Porto

70-80

-10

H16/04

LPB

Oliveirense

77-84

-7

A17/04

LPB

Lusitania

96-61

+35

H23/04

LPB

Lusitania

92-64

+28

H24/04

LPB

16-17

18-15

15-16

26-15

16-24

17-17

22-24

39-32

29-21

29-13

15-20

22-16

25-22

22-19

17-16

21-12

18-17

13-21

19-22

27-22

30-21

24-23

24-15

16-18

16-24

22-18

21-17

11-21

13-18

25-20

25-24

14-22

27-18

20-23

26-8

23-12

18-16

24-19

23-21

27-8

160.2Avg total

85.5Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	82.7	68.9	151.6	+13.8	84%
Season at home (17)	84.8	66.6	151.4	+18.2	94%
Season away (15)	80.3	71.5	151.8	+8.7	73%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	74.7	160.2	+10.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.8	73.2	159.0	+12.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	75.8	84.2	160.0	-8.4	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	85.4	69.8	155.3	+15.6	88%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.2	19.8	36.1	-3.6	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.0	19.1	35.1	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.4	20.4	36.9	-4.0	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.8	38.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	15.3	19.9	35.2	-4.6	15%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.0	21.0	38.0	-4.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.0	18.5	35.5	-1.5	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	17.1	37.8	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	17.4	39.6	+4.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	16.7	35.7	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.2	16.2	37.4	+5.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.7	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.9	16.2	35.1	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.6	18.9	42.5	+4.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.1	37.3	-1.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	17.9	38.0	+2.1	72%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Electrico FC

#10

31-39

-8

H27/02

LPB

Maia

#11

44-35

A05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-48

-11

A06/03

LPB

Vitoria

32-55

-23

A25/03

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

45-45

A27/03

LPB

Maia

#11

33-32

H09/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

38-43

-5

H10/04

LPB

Vitoria

41-39

H17/04

LPB

Benfica

41-47

-6

A23/04

LPB

Benfica

35-42

-7

A24/04

LPB

80.2Avg total

37.7Scored

42.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.5	38.6	75.1	-2.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.9	76.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	42.5	80.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.5	41.8	76.2	-7.3	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.9	37.2	73.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.6	37.4	78.0	+3.2	62%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

34-32

H06/03

LPB

FC Porto

33-41

-8

A13/03

LPB

Oliveirense

58-34

+24

H25/03

LPB

Barcelos

47-41

H29/03

LPB

Ovarense

31-38

-7

A08/04

LPB

Galitos

54-44

+10

A10/04

LPB

FC Porto

38-42

-4

H16/04

LPB

Oliveirense

38-38

A17/04

LPB

Lusitania

47-41

H23/04

LPB

Lusitania

42-35

H24/04

LPB

80.8Avg total

42.2Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	35.1	75.3	+5.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	34.4	77.4	+8.5	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	35.9	73.0	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	38.6	80.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.0	83.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	35.4	40.0	75.4	-4.6	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	41.2	34.1	75.3	+7.1	76%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	16.5	34.5	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	20.6	39.6	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.2	19.9	39.2	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.1	39.7	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	16.1	38.2	+5.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	18.3	39.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.0	17.6	39.7	+4.4	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	19.5	37.6	-1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	22.0	36.2	-7.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	46%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.2	38.2	+3.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.8	40.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	16.2	34.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.4	17.5	38.9	+4.0	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.3	37.9	75.3	-0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.2	35.9	72.2	+0.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.2	39.6	77.8	-1.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.3	76.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	40.4	71.0	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.2	40.2	77.5	-3.0	46%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.2	36.6	75.9	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.6	35.5	71.1	+0.1	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	36.6	79.6	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	33.4	76.4	+9.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	40.4	83.3	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	36.1	79.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	33.2	75.2	+8.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	40.4	44.2	84.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	43.5	35.1	78.6	+8.4	84%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	96-61
30/01/16	Benfica v Lusitania	83-65
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69
28/02/15	Benfica v Lusitania	97-87
29/11/14	Lusitania v Benfica	53-86
25/01/14	Lusitania v Benfica	66-73
03/11/13	Benfica v Lusitania	109-75
27/04/13	Lusitania v Benfica	65-89
21/04/13	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	A	Benfica	64-92
23/04/16	A	Benfica	61-96
17/04/16	H	Vitoria	82-86
10/04/16	H	CAB Madeira	75-73
09/04/16	H	Maia	59-58
27/03/16	A	Electrico FC	82-84
25/03/16	A	Vitoria	84-89
06/03/16	A	CAB Madeira	92-88
05/03/16	A	Maia	89-67
27/02/16	H	Electrico FC	92-85 OT

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/16	H	Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	H	Lusitania	96-61
17/04/16	A	Oliveirense	77-84
16/04/16	H	FC Porto	70-80
10/04/16	A	Galitos	94-77
08/04/16	A	Ovarense	77-82
29/03/16	H	Barcelos	85-69
25/03/16	H	Oliveirense	95-70
13/03/16	A	FC Porto	94-97
06/03/16	H	Galitos	75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	47%
Home	WWWWL	50%
Away	WLLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	74.6	74.3	74.9
Allowed / game	78.1	76.6	79.4
Point differential	-3.5	-2.4	-4.6
Avg total	152.7	150.9	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	13%	14%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	40% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	3%	7%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	84%
Home	WWLWW	94%
Away	WLLWL	73%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	17	15
Win %	84%	94%	73%
Points / game	82.7	84.8	80.3
Allowed / game	68.9	66.6	71.5
Point differential	+13.8	+18.2	+8.7
Avg total	151.6	151.4	151.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	66%	76%	53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	100% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	32	27	5	84%	82.7	68.9	+13.8
2	FC Porto	33	27	6	82%	77.8	67.5	+10.3
3	Ovarense	32	19	13	59%	76.4	72.8	+3.7
4	Galitos	32	17	15	53%	72.5	71.1	+1.4
5	Oliveirense	32	17	15	53%	72.7	72.2	+0.6
6	Vitoria	31	15	16	48%	77.1	76.0	+1.1
7	Lusitania	30	14	16	47%	74.6	78.1	-3.5
8	Barcelos	32	13	19	41%	67.0	70.7	-3.7
9	CAB Madeira	28	10	18	36%	74.0	77.4	-3.3
10	Electrico FC	28	6	22	21%	71.3	82.2	-11.0
11	Maia	28	4	24	14%	65.5	78.6	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	20	14	11	17	62
Benfica	22	26	18	18	84

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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