Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 77-69

18-20 26-23 23-12 10-14

Position#8

Record13-15

FormLWWWW

Points / game74.9

Allowed / game78.1

Varese 🏆

Reggiana

Position#2

Record20-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game75.3

Lega ARound 29

Domestic2015-16

Meetings · Varese v Reggiana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Reggiana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

96-82

+14

H06/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

67-76

-9

A13/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

80-69

+11

H20/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

92-81

+11

H24/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Avellino

71-89

-18

A26/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

82-93

-11

A29/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Pistoia

91-78

+13

H03/04

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

105-93

105

+12

H06/04

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

79-68

+11

H10/04

Lega A

Cremona

79-70

A16/04

Lega A

17-25

23-16

23-23

33-18

19-18

10-19

22-20

16-19

21-19

24-24

8-14

27-12

21-19

18-18

31-19

22-25

19-29

15-25

17-19

20-16

24-21

18-25

12-26

28-21

20-19

25-16

26-18

20-25

29-21

26-19

29-24

21-29

21-16

15-15

19-18

24-19

13-21

28-20

13-14

25-15

164.1Avg total

84.2Scored

79.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	74.9	78.1	152.9	-3.2	46%
Season at home (14)	80.1	77.4	157.5	+2.6	64%
Season away (14)	69.6	78.7	148.4	-9.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	79.9	164.1	+4.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	80.4	167.6	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	68.3	84.0	152.3	-15.7	17%
vs Similar (22)	80.5	75.9	156.3	+4.6	68%
vs Weaker (2)	81.0	76.0	157.0	+5.0	100%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Reggiana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#12

80-90

-10

A14/02

Lega A

Avellino

87-94

-7

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cremona

86-77

H28/02

Lega A

Venezia

98-96 OT

H07/03

Lega A

Trento

90-84

A13/03

Lega A

Pistoia

94-71

+23

H20/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

80-84

-4

A26/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

76-59

+17

H03/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

87-82

A10/04

Lega A

Sassari

98-102

102

-4

H17/04

Lega A

23-23

20-27

13-20

24-20

22-17

17-27

14-18

34-32

23-13

18-22

21-21

24-21

20-18

26-27

16-17

22-22

18-21

19-17

23-23

30-23

28-16

20-18

18-14

28-23

28-26

15-17

18-19

19-22

15-17

19-13

21-7

21-22

23-21

23-17

21-23

20-21

27-30

19-22

24-21

28-29

171.5Avg total

87.6Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	81.2	75.3	156.5	+5.9	71%
Season at home (14)	84.8	74.1	158.9	+10.7	93%
Season away (14)	77.6	76.5	154.1	+1.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	83.9	171.5	+3.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	79.6	166.6	+7.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.1	82.2	155.4	-9.1	38%
vs Similar (12)	82.5	78.2	160.8	+4.2	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	82.6	72.9	155.4	+9.7	89%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VareseReggiana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.9	38.9	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.3	21.3	37.7	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	15.0	40.0	+10.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	17.2	39.1	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.5	36.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.7	39.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.0	41.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	13.7	20.7	34.3	-7.0	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	13.0	15.5	28.5	-2.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	18.6	36.1	-1.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	17.4	36.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	19.1	36.4	-1.9	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	17.6	16.8	34.3	+0.8	56%	-

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

40-41

-1

H06/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#14

29-37

-8

A13/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

45-43

H20/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

39-37

H24/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Avellino

34-54

-20

A26/03

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

42-46

-4

A29/03

FIBA Europe Cup

Pistoia

45-35

+10

H03/04

Lega A

Antwerp Giants

55-40

+15

H06/04

FIBA Europe Cup

Venezia

36-31

H10/04

Lega A

Cremona

41-41

A16/04

Lega A

81.1Avg total

40.6Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.1	75.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.4	35.9	76.3	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.3	38.3	74.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	40.5	81.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	38.6	82.4	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	30.0	42.0	72.0	-12.0	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	40.7	36.4	77.0	+4.3	68%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.0	30.5	68.5	+7.5	100%	-

This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#12

43-50

-7

A14/02

Lega A

Avellino

39-44

-5

H19/02

Italian Cup

Cremona

41-35

H28/02

Lega A

Venezia

46-45

H07/03

Lega A

Trento

37-38

-1

A13/03

Lega A

Pistoia

48-34

+14

H20/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-43

A26/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#10

34-30

H03/04

Lega A

Caserta

#13

46-38

A10/04

Lega A

Sassari

46-52

-6

H17/04

Lega A

83.2Avg total

42.3Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.8	76.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	40.1	78.4	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	40.9	83.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.4	82.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.9	38.0	73.9	-2.1	38%	-
vs Similar (12)	39.8	38.2	78.1	+1.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.3	36.2	76.6	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.9	38.2	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.7	37.7	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	23.5	40.8	-6.2	17%	-
vs Similar (22)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.0	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.8	39.6	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	23.1	41.9	-4.4	12%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.7	17.2	38.9	+4.4	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	21.1	44.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.9	43.5	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	21.8	45.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.5	19.8	40.4	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	28.0	53.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.4	43.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	23.5	48.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	23.4	46.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.7	40.3	83.1	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.6	39.7	75.3	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	39.4	83.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	41.8	85.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.3	42.0	80.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	45.5	88.5	-2.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.1	80.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.8	40.2	82.9	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	39.9	78.5	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.8	85.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.2	44.2	81.5	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	41.5	39.0	80.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	42.2	36.7	78.9	+5.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Varese wins

Reggiana wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/15	Reggiana v Varese	86-69
08/02/15	Reggiana v Varese	86-70
25/10/14	Varese v Reggiana	112-118 OT
18/01/14	Reggiana v Varese	73-80
13/10/13	Varese v Reggiana	83-64
24/03/13	Reggiana v Varese	74-77
25/11/12	Varese v Reggiana	91-78

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/16	A	Cremona	79-70
10/04/16	H	Venezia	79-68
06/04/16	H	Antwerp Giants	105-93
03/04/16	H	Pistoia	91-78
29/03/16	A	Antwerp Giants	82-93
26/03/16	A	Avellino	71-89
24/03/16	H	Antwerp Giants	92-81
20/03/16	H	Brindisi	80-69
13/03/16	A	Virtus Bologna	67-76
06/03/16	H	Trento	96-82

Reggianalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/16	H	Sassari	98-102
10/04/16	A	Caserta	87-82
03/04/16	H	Brindisi	76-59
26/03/16	A	Olimpia Milano	80-84
20/03/16	H	Pistoia	94-71
13/03/16	A	Trento	90-84
07/03/16	H	Venezia	98-96 OT
28/02/16	H	Cremona	86-77
19/02/16	H	Avellino	87-94
14/02/16	A	Pesaro	80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	46%
Home	LWWWW	64%
Away	LWLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	64%	29%
Points / game	74.9	80.1	69.6
Allowed / game	78.1	77.4	78.7
Point differential	-3.2	+2.6	-9.1
Avg total	152.9	157.5	148.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	43%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Reggiana

Lega A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	71%
Home	WWWWL	93%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	71%	93%	50%
Points / game	81.2	84.8	77.6
Allowed / game	75.3	74.1	76.5
Point differential	+5.9	+10.7	+1.1
Avg total	156.5	158.9	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	43%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	83% (6)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	28	21	7	75%	81.8	73.0	+8.8
2	Reggiana	28	20	8	71%	81.2	75.3	+5.9
3	Avellino	28	19	9	68%	79.5	76.9	+2.7
4	Cremona	28	18	10	64%	75.2	74.0	+1.2
5	Sassari	28	15	13	54%	84.2	81.5	+2.7
6	Trento	28	15	13	54%	77.1	76.2	+0.9
7	Venezia	28	14	14	50%	77.4	74.7	+2.7
8	Pistoia	28	14	14	50%	77.5	78.4	-0.9
9	Varese	28	13	15	46%	74.9	78.1	-3.2
10	Brindisi	28	12	16	43%	78.1	79.3	-1.2
11	Cantu	28	11	17	39%	80.1	79.6	+0.5
12	Pesaro	28	11	17	39%	75.7	77.9	-2.2
13	Capo d'Orlando	28	11	17	39%	69.0	73.4	-4.4
14	Caserta	28	10	18	36%	73.0	76.6	-3.6
15	Virtus Bologna	28	10	18	36%	74.6	79.4	-4.9
16	Torino	28	10	18	36%	75.9	80.8	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Varese	18	26	23	10	77
Reggiana	20	23	12	14	69

← all games of the day

Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature