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Beroe vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 87-86
26-20 13-9 27-33 21-24
Position#12
Record2-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game83.4
Beroe 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game87.2
BulgariaNBLRound 6· Municipal Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beroe v Academic Plovdiv
18 Mar 2026
BERO93
ACAD85
28 Dec 2025
BERO89
ACAD81
05 Mar 2025
BERO94
ACAD100
14 Oct 2024
BERO85
ACAD73
30 Mar 2024
BERO83
ACAD113
12 Nov 2023
BERO87
ACAD86
05 Mar 2023
BERO90
ACAD84
10 Oct 2022
BERO94
ACAD86
14 Mar 2022
BERO95
ACAD87
13 Jan 2022
BERO98
ACAD91
05 Jan 2022
BERO91
ACAD87
27 Apr 2021
BERO62
ACAD66
21 Oct 2020
BERO85
ACAD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#10
W
104-75
104
75
+29
no box
H26/04
NBL
Peja
#2
L
82-124
82
124
-42
no box
A28/04
BIBL
Milenijum
#5
W
100-87
100
87
+13
no box
H30/04
BIBL
Balkan
#1
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 76
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
92-76
92
76
+16
90avg 76
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-86
76
86
-10
63avg 76
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 76
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
76avg 76
A05/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
32-21
29-19
17-17
20-35
20-34
16-40
26-15
27-23
27-25
24-25
22-14
22-22
16-18
15-33
25-16
15-27
14-21
21-19
22-24
4-17
22-24
26-29
22-16
20-19
19-17
30-19
23-21
16-31
24-14
21-19
15-22
31-14
17-34
17-19
33-16
24-22
13-23
30-20
15-21
174.1Avg total
85.8Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.483.4167.8+1.040%
Season at home (2)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
Season away (3)90.781.7172.3+9.067%
Last 10 (10)85.888.3174.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)84.483.4167.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.189.8167.8-11.730%
vs Similar (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker (7)86.378.7165.0+7.657%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
99-74
99
74
+25
no box
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
71-97
71
97
-26
61avg 68
A08/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
66avg 68
H14/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 68
H20/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
68avg 68
A27/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
76-78
76
78
-2
65avg 68
H06/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-21
22-21
8-15
29-18
24-15
18-17
28-24
19-24
27-22
15-17
18-13
14-20
19-24
19-24
14-17
15-18
20-23
22-31
19-25
12-29
20-21
18-19
21-28
17-18
13-35
19-15
21-19
23-24
23-20
19-26
24-26
20-17
22-22
24-18
14-21
16-17
16-15
26-24
18-22
161.5Avg total
77.3Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.287.2164.4-10.020%
Season at home (3)78.387.0165.3-8.70%
Season away (2)75.587.5163.0-12.050%
Last 10 (10)77.384.2161.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)77.287.2164.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)75.886.2162.1-10.422%
vs Similar (8)82.582.1164.6+0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)87.278.8166.0+8.5100%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
BeroeAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#10
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H26/04
NBL
Peja
#2
L
40-69
40
69
-29
A28/04
BIBL
Milenijum
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/04
BIBL
Balkan
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/05
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H05/05
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H09/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A14/10
NBL
Levski
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A28/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A05/11
NBL
86.8Avg total
40.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.646.589.2-3.931%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.846.090.8-1.238%-
Last 30 away (13)40.547.187.5-6.623%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.986.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.081.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.247.186.2-7.917%-
vs Similar (2)52.042.094.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker (5)53.046.899.8+6.260%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H14/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/10
NBL
Levski
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/11
NBL
80.6Avg total
38.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.780.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.640.480.0-0.741%-
Last 30 away (13)36.843.580.2-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.080.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.680.0-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.241.879.9-3.628%-
vs Similar (8)38.641.980.5-3.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.0
56.2%
54.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.4
36.9%
31.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.012.4
68.9%
71.1%12.4
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.6
53.1%
54.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.25.8
24.0%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws24.018.2
75.8%
71.1%18.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LWLWLLLWLW
Academic Plovdiv
LWLLLLLWWL
#12
League position
#8
+1.3
Net rating
-12.5
106.8
Offensive rating
99.8
105.6
Defensive rating
112.3
55.8%
Effective FG%
46.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.6%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.9%
3-point %
24.0%
53.9%
Assist %
52.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 99.8Defence105.6 · 112.3Shooting55.8% · 46.5%3-point %36.9% · 24.0%Ball care20.5% · 21.6%Off. rebounds28.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Beroe   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Beroe wins
5
Academic Plovdiv wins
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ARilski Sportist82-86
28/10/23AYambol98-83
23/10/23HLevski76-86
14/10/23AShumen92-76
09/10/23HChernomorets74-86
05/05/23HBalkan72-91
02/05/23ABalkan78-89
30/04/23HMilenijum100-87
28/04/23APeja82-124
26/04/23HCherno More104-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23HLevski76-78
27/10/23AShumen80-78
20/10/23HYambol89-96
14/10/23HCSKA Sofia70-87
08/10/23ASpartak Pleven71-97
08/05/23ARilski Sportist76-97
05/05/23HRilski Sportist66-85
02/05/23ARilski Sportist79-76
26/04/23HCSKA Sofia99-74
22/04/23HBalkan67-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game84.475.090.7
Allowed / game83.486.081.7
Point differential+1.0-11.0+9.0
Avg total167.8161.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%0%50%
Points / game77.278.375.5
Allowed / game87.287.087.5
Point differential-10.0-8.7-12.0
Avg total164.4165.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets660100%83.869.5+14.3
2 Balkan65183%82.376.8+5.5
3 CSKA Sofia54180%85.870.6+15.2
4 Levski64267%77.775.3+2.3
5 Spartak Pleven63350%86.376.8+9.5
6 Shumen63350%83.381.3+2.0
7 Yambol63350%81.586.7-5.2
8 Rilski Sportist52340%78.274.4+3.8
9 Beroe52340%84.483.4+1.0
10 Academic Plovdiv51420%77.287.2-10.0
11 Minyor61517%69.590.7-21.2
12 Cherno More6060%72.588.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe2613272187
Academic Plovdiv209332486
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