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Beroe vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 94-100 (OT)
28-22 16-26 19-19 20-16 11-17
Position#6
Record9-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game87.8
Beroe
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record8-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game86.1
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Municipal Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Beroe v Academic Plovdiv
18 Mar 2026
BERO93
ACAD85
28 Dec 2025
BERO89
ACAD81
05 Mar 2025
BERO94
ACAD100
14 Oct 2024
BERO85
ACAD73
30 Mar 2024
BERO83
ACAD113
12 Nov 2023
BERO87
ACAD86
05 Mar 2023
BERO90
ACAD84
10 Oct 2022
BERO94
ACAD86
14 Mar 2022
BERO95
ACAD87
13 Jan 2022
BERO98
ACAD91
05 Jan 2022
BERO91
ACAD87
27 Apr 2021
BERO62
ACAD66
21 Oct 2020
BERO85
ACAD86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-95
76
95
-19
66avg 73
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
101avg 73
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 73
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
105-98
105
98
+7
97avg 73
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
72avg 73
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
91avg 73
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
115-90
115
90
+25
119avg 73
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
84avg 73
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
88-102
88
102
-14
77avg 73
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 73
A02/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
26-25
12-23
21-18
30-23
31-25
20-18
15-30
19-24
17-14
17-20
24-21
27-27
15-30
29-23
34-18
17-31
31-22
9-22
26-20
24-21
21-24
17-19
30-16
25-21
30-19
32-29
28-21
21-13
16-16
28-23
18-19
25-20
18-25
28-26
17-31
25-23
20-13
7-22
22-19
179.6Avg total
89.9Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.087.8173.8-1.853%
Season at home (8)91.091.0182.0+0.062%
Season away (9)81.685.0166.6-3.444%
Last 10 (10)89.989.7179.6+0.240%
Last 5 (5)90.484.0174.4+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)80.8102.9183.7-22.014%
vs Similar ◀ (2)81.076.0157.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (6)89.282.8172.0+6.383%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
107-83
107
83
+24
105avg 79
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
91avg 79
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 79
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
84avg 79
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 79
H06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
76avg 79
A18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
77avg 79
H26/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
70avg 79
A01/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
62avg 79
A09/02
NBL
Levski
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
80avg 79
H01/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
33-25
28-19
16-22
22-20
23-23
16-13
29-19
24-19
14-17
20-17
21-24
31-17
13-17
19-28
27-29
25-27
17-24
23-31
26-19
21-23
22-17
15-20
18-14
22-27
22-22
23-19
20-29
21-26
20-23
25-23
13-32
18-19
19-24
22-27
13-21
26-24
22-20
18-23
14-24
173.5Avg total
85.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.686.1167.7-4.547%
Season at home (9)85.383.7169.0+1.767%
Season away (8)77.488.9166.2-11.525%
Last 10 (10)85.188.4173.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)78.891.4170.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.090.4170.4-10.422%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.283.3164.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (8)95.984.0179.9+11.988%
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
BeroeAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H09/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A23/12
NBL
Shumen
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
H28/12
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A05/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/01
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H18/01
NBL
Levski
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H25/01
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/02
NBL
Balkan
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A02/03
NBL
90.0Avg total
45.5Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.148.690.6-6.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.349.293.5-4.936%-
Last 30 away (16)40.148.088.1-7.931%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.590.0+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.084.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)42.251.493.6-9.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.536.578.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker (6)41.842.284.0-0.367%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/01
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A18/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/01
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/02
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A09/02
NBL
Levski
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H01/03
NBL
87.6Avg total
44.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.842.589.3+4.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.244.085.2-2.827%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.187.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.087.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.344.684.9-4.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.041.883.8+0.242%-
vs Weaker (8)52.643.896.4+8.9100%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 89.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.5
56.0%
53.9%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.9
33.5%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.817.4
70.2%
71.3%17.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.0
59.3%
53.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.5%
32.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.417.7
72.5%
71.3%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWWWLWLLL
Academic Plovdiv
LLLLWLLWWW
#6
League position
#5
+0.5
Net rating
-4.3
111.6
Offensive rating
110.3
111.1
Defensive rating
114.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
33.5%
3-point %
31.5%
64.3%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.3Defence111.1 · 114.6Shooting53.7% · 54.2%3-point %33.5% · 31.5%Ball care16.7% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 27.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Beroe   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Beroe wins
5
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
23/12/24Academic Plovdiv v Beroe79-77
14/10/24Beroe v Academic Plovdiv85-73
23/04/24Academic Plovdiv v Beroe125-92
30/03/24Beroe v Academic Plovdiv83-113
17/01/24Academic Plovdiv v Beroe86-80
12/11/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv87-86
05/03/23Beroe v Academic Plovdiv90-84
21/12/22Academic Plovdiv v Beroe92-72
10/10/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv94-86
14/03/22Beroe v Academic Plovdiv95-87
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABalkan74-77
10/02/25ACherno More88-102
25/01/25HLevski83-71
18/01/25HMinyor115-90
12/01/25HSpartak Pleven92-80
05/01/25ARilski Sportist83-95
28/12/24HShumen105-98
23/12/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-79
15/12/24HBalkan106-110 OT
09/12/24HCherno More76-95
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HLevski80-91
09/02/25AMinyor72-91
01/02/25ASpartak Pleven79-104
26/01/25HRilski Sportist87-97
18/01/25AShumen76-74
06/01/25HBalkan91-101
30/12/24ACherno More90-91
23/12/24HBeroe79-77
16/12/24ALevski90-75
08/12/24HMinyor107-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%62%44%
Points / game86.091.081.6
Allowed / game87.891.085.0
Point differential-1.8+0.0-3.4
Avg total173.8182.0166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWWLLL67%
AwayWLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%67%25%
Points / game81.685.377.4
Allowed / game86.183.788.9
Point differential-4.5+1.7-11.5
Avg total167.7169.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1816289%92.974.8+18.1
2 Balkan1713476%88.180.6+7.5
3 Cherno More169756%85.983.6+2.2
4 Spartak Pleven179853%86.883.9+2.8
5 Beroe179853%86.087.8-1.8
6 Academic Plovdiv178947%81.686.1-4.5
7 Minyor1881044%84.288.6-4.4
8 Levski1841422%76.484.3-7.9
9 Shumen1821611%82.794.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Beroe281619201194
Academic Plovdiv2226191617100
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