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Beroe vs Levski Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 13 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#12
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.7
BulgariaNBLRound 20· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v Levski
13 Mar 2027
BERO v LEV
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
BERO92
LEV76
19 Nov 2025
BERO89
LEV76
12 Apr 2025
BERO84
LEV76
25 Jan 2025
BERO83
LEV71
10 Apr 2024
BERO70
LEV115
23 Oct 2023
BERO76
LEV86
04 Feb 2023
BERO78
LEV71
11 Jan 2023
BERO85
LEV82
05 May 2022
BERO79
LEV87
07 Feb 2022
BERO56
LEV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Levski win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 79
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 79
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 79
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 79
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 79
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 79
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 79
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLevski
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
80avg 73
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
88avg 73
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
60avg 73
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 73
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 73
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
77avg 73
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 73
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
65-91
65
91
-26
36avg 73
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-30
15-24
14-16
30-22
32-30
27-20
20-23
11-26
15-21
28-22
13-23
15-24
17-26
26-17
20-28
25-16
18-25
19-18
22-24
17-26
22-26
14-23
25-26
22-26
15-24
28-22
26-26
16-18
12-22
19-26
14-20
20-23
26-28
13-37
22-17
21-14
19-18
19-30
25-16
21-21
172.4Avg total
80.0Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.292.7171.8-13.50%
Season at home (3)81.093.0174.0-12.00%
Season away (3)77.392.3169.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)80.092.4172.4-12.410%
Last 5 (5)79.892.6172.4-12.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)78.093.2171.2-15.211%
vs Similar (3)79.078.7157.7+0.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
BeroeLevski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Levski) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LevskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#8
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A10/04
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H15/04
NBL
Botev 2012
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A19/04
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A25/04
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A16/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H24/10
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A30/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H08/11
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/11
NBL
89.0Avg total
40.1Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.948.187.1-9.27%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.047.687.6-7.613%-
Last 30 away (15)37.948.786.5-10.80%-
Last 10 (10)40.148.989.0-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)37.451.288.6-13.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.348.587.7-9.27%-
vs Similar (3)36.045.081.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Levskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Levski: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.4
49.3%
55.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.2
34.9%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.0
72.5%
71.2%15.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
Levski
LLLLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#12
-0.6
Net rating
-16.0
96.6
Offensive rating
89.4
97.1
Defensive rating
105.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.6%
3-point %
34.9%
62.7%
Assist %
74.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 89.4Defence97.1 · 105.4Shooting50.0% · 50.5%3-point %26.6% · 34.9%Ball care14.7% · 17.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Beroe   ■ Levski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Beroe wins
4
Levski wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Beroe v Levski92-76
31/01/26Levski v Beroe84-79
19/11/25Beroe v Levski89-76
12/04/25Beroe v Levski84-76
25/01/25Beroe v Levski83-71
16/11/24Levski v Beroe58-66
10/04/24Beroe v Levski70-115
06/03/24Levski v Beroe90-59
28/12/23Levski v Beroe67-68
23/10/23Beroe v Levski76-86
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
Levskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABotev 201284-85
08/11/26HMinyor82-96
30/10/26ABotev Academic65-91
24/10/26HShumen85-90
16/10/26ABalkan83-101
12/10/26HCherno More76-93
25/04/26AAcademic Plovdiv88-87
19/04/26ABotev 201271-90
15/04/26HLok. Plovdiv90-99
10/04/26ABeroe76-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Levski
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game79.281.077.3
Allowed / game92.793.092.3
Point differential-13.5-12.0-15.0
Avg total171.8174.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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