Beroe vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 15:00

Projected 84-92

Projected total 175.3

Final 76-82

14-16 22-17 23-21 17-28

Position#11

Record1-4

FormLLLWL

Points / game93.6

Allowed / game89.0

Beroe

24%

76%

■ BERO 24%■ RSP 76%

Pythia win probability

Rilski Sportist 🏆

Position#3

Record4-1

FormLWLWW

Points / game92.6

Allowed / game74.0

NBLRound 6· Municipal Hall

Other2026-27

Meetings · Beroe v Rilski Sportist

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Beroe will host Rilski Sportist on 14 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model clearly favours the visitors, rating them 76% to win against Beroe's 24%, a reflection of Rilski Sportist's 4-1 record and 92.6 points per game while holding opponents to 74.0, compared with Beroe's 1-4 record, 93.6 points per game and 89.0 allowed. Beroe's season shows a 1-4 record, 93.6 points scored and 89.0 allowed, and a 1-1 home record with 97.0 points per game and 78.0 allowed; their last five games were 1-4, including a 99-58 home win over Polytechnica, a 84-89 loss to Botev 2012 away, and a 104-110 defeat to Minyor away. Rilski Sportist's 4-1 season record, 92.6 points per game and 74.0 allowed, and a 2-1 road record with 87.0 points per game and 71.7 allowed, give them a 3-2 last-five record, with recent wins over Sporting CP 86-76 at home, Polytechnica 95-65 away, and a 70-92 loss to Kolossos Rhodes at home. Their head-to-head record is 10-0 in Rilski Sportist's favour, most recently 90-80 on 2 May 2026. Pythia projects a 84-92 score, 175.3 total points, a 13.0 home line with a 68% chance of the home team covering, a 176.5 total line with a 46% over probability, and a 4% overtime likelihood, ending the preview with Rilski Sportist's 90-80 win on 2 May 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost

24.4%fair 4.09

Best odds4.00

Implied22.9%

Edge+1.5pp

Rilski Sportist winWon

75.6%fair 1.32

Best odds1.24

Implied77.1%

Edge-1.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 07:07 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Beroe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBeroe

Date

Competition

Levski

#10

92-76

+16

83avg 76

H10/04

NBL

Cherno More

76-117

117

-41

60avg 76

A16/04

NBL

Balkan

89-96

-7

86avg 76

H20/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

69-89

-20

54avg 76

A30/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

80-90

-10

74avg 76

H02/05

NBL

Botev Academic

86-90

-4

76avg 76

A11/10

NBL

Lok. Plovdiv

95-98 OT

-3

92avg 76

H17/10

NBL

Minyor

104-110

104

110

-6

99avg 76

A23/10

NBL

Polytechnica

#14

99-58

+41

98avg 76

H31/10

NBL

Botev 2012

84-89

-5

no box

A07/11

NBL

30-17

24-15

16-14

22-30

21-32

20-29

11-37

24-19

27-27

23-24

19-22

20-23

19-22

15-22

17-22

18-23

14-19

25-23

18-23

23-25

30-22

22-24

9-21

25-23

21-24

19-15

28-26

19-22

28-31

23-27

34-24

19-28

23-19

36-17

17-13

23-9

20-30

19-23

22-22

23-14

178.7Avg total

87.4Scored

91.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	93.6	89.0	182.6	+4.6	20%
Season at home (2)	97.0	78.0	175.0	+19.0	50%
Season away (3)	91.3	96.3	187.7	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	91.3	178.7	-3.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	89.0	182.6	+4.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	82.4	95.5	177.9	-13.1	11%
vs Similar (4)	88.5	83.0	171.5	+5.5	75%
vs Weaker (7)	88.7	80.3	169.0	+8.4	57%

This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rilski Sportist Bulgaria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSportist

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

#28

75-79 OT

-4

63avg 85

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Yambol

#13

96-64

+32

93avg 85

A11/10

NBL

Esenler Erokspor

62-94

-32

49avg 85

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CSKA Sofia

#10

114-76

114

+38

112avg 85

H17/10

NBL

Spartak Pleven

70-86

-16

59avg 85

A25/10

NBL

SCM Craiova

#34

86-103

103

-17

84avg 85

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lok. Plovdiv

88-79

76avg 85

H31/10

NBL

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

70-92

-22

no box

H03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Polytechnica

#14

95-65

+30

no box

A07/11

NBL

Sporting CP

#28

86-76

+10

no box

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

16-20

18-23

13-15

21-10

21-22

21-11

29-15

25-16

20-25

13-31

11-13

18-25

28-19

32-15

27-26

27-16

22-26

20-16

15-22

13-22

16-16

17-21

22-37

31-29

25-14

20-25

20-17

23-23

17-24

22-20

12-28

19-20

27-16

21-10

25-22

22-17

23-18

25-16

23-23

15-19

165.6Avg total

84.2Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	92.6	74.0	166.6	+18.6	80%
Season at home (2)	101.0	77.5	178.5	+23.5	100%
Season away (3)	87.0	71.7	158.7	+15.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	81.4	165.6	+2.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	83.0	168.0	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	75.8	88.8	164.6	-13.0	20%
vs Similar (4)	91.8	86.2	178.0	+5.5	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	93.5	79.7	173.2	+13.8	80%

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5

Over 171.5

58.4%

@ 1.52-2.8pp

Under 171.5

41.6%

@ 2.40+2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Under

Bet365

2.40

Over/Under 176.5 · main lineActual: Under 176.5

Over 176.5

46.3%

@ 1.86-4.0pp

Under 176.5

53.7%

@ 1.88+4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.86

WilliamHill

1.85

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

WilliamHill

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Marathon Be

1.84

Over/Under 181.5Actual: Under 181.5

Over 181.5

34.7%

@ 2.40-4.1pp

Under 181.5

65.3%

@ 1.52+4.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Beroe total 77.5Actual: Beroe under 77.5

Over 77.5

72.3%

@ 1.27+2.5pp

Under 77.5

27.7%

@ 2.94-2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.27

Under

1xBet

2.94

Beroe total 81.5 · main lineActual: Beroe under 81.5

Over 81.5

57.9%

@ 1.85+6.9pp

Under 81.5

42.1%

@ 2.01-6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.52

Under

1xBet

2.01

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.85

Beroe total 85.5Actual: Beroe under 85.5

Over 85.5

42.5%

@ 1.99-1.0pp

Under 85.5

57.5%

@ 1.53+1.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.99

Under

1xBet

1.53

Rilski Sportist total 88.5Actual: Rilski Sportist under 88.5

Over 88.5

61.9%

@ 1.43-2.8pp

Under 88.5

38.1%

@ 2.65+2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.43

1xBet

1.36

Under

Bet365

2.65

1xBet

2.46

Rilski Sportist total 92.5 · main lineActual: Rilski Sportist under 92.5

Over 92.5

46.3%

@ 1.85-4.8pp

Under 92.5

53.7%

@ 1.88+4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.77

1xBet

1.68

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.87

WilliamHill

1.85

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.76

Rilski Sportist total 96.5Actual: Rilski Sportist under 96.5

Over 96.5

31.2%

@ 2.35-7.6pp

Under 96.5

68.8%

@ 1.54+7.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

1xBet

2.30

Under

Bet365

1.54

1xBet

1.41

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Beroe +6.5Actual: Beroe +6.5

BERO +6.5

44.7%

@ 2.20+4.5pp

RSP -6.5

55.3%

@ 1.56-4.5pp

Best 5 market prices

BERO

1xBet

2.20

RSP

Marathon Be

1.56

1xBet

1.48

Spread Beroe +9.5 · main lineActual: Beroe +9.5

BERO +9.5

55.8%

@ 1.86+5.3pp

RSP -9.5

44.2%

@ 1.91-5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

BERO

Bet365

1.86

Pinnacle

1.85

SBO

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

RSP

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

SBO

1.87

1xBet

1.85

Spread Beroe +12.5Actual: Beroe +12.5

BERO +12.5

66.2%

@ 1.85+9.0pp

RSP -12.5

33.8%

@ 2.29-9.0pp

Best 5 market prices

BERO

Betano

1.85

Pinnacle

1.59

Marathon Be

1.52

1xBet

1.44

RSP

1xBet

2.29

Pinnacle

2.13

Betano

1.78

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BeroeRilski Sportist

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.1	43.9	-0.3	47%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.9	41.9	+2.0	53%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	24.2	45.9	-2.5	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	24.3	47.6	-1.0	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.4	25.2	49.6	-0.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.2	22.8	44.0	-1.7	37%	58%
vs Similar (4)	21.5	21.2	42.8	+0.2	50%	0%
vs Weaker (7)	23.7	20.4	44.1	+3.3	71%	43%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44.25
Last 30 (30)	22.8	20.2	43.0	+2.6	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	21.3	44.9	+2.2	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	19.1	41.1	+3.0	53%	27%
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.5	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	20.6	39.0	-2.2	20%	20%
vs Similar (4)	26.0	19.0	45.0	+7.0	100%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	20.1	43.7	+3.5	55%	45%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.4	44.2	-0.5	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.5	60%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	24.0	44.4	-3.6	13%	60%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.9	44.5	+0.7	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.2	45.0	+2.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.8	23.7	44.5	-2.9	26%	68%
vs Similar (4)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	57%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	57%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	40%	20%
vs Similar (4)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.8	65%	60%

BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Levski

#10

54-32

+22

H10/04

NBL

Cherno More

41-61

-20

A16/04

NBL

Balkan

50-51

-1

H20/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

34-44

-10

A30/04

NBL

Rilski Sportist

39-42

-3

H02/05

NBL

Botev Academic

52-46

A11/10

NBL

Lok. Plovdiv

40-39

H17/10

NBL

Minyor

51-58

-7

A23/10

NBL

Polytechnica

#14

59-36

+23

H31/10

NBL

Botev 2012

39-53

-14

A07/11

NBL

92.1Avg total

45.9Scored

46.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	43.6	44.4	88.1	-0.8	43%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	40.7	85.9	+4.5	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	48.2	90.3	-6.1	27%	53%
Last 10 (10)	45.9	46.2	92.1	-0.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	48.2	46.4	94.6	+1.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	41.9	46.6	88.5	-4.6	26%	42%
vs Similar (4)	44.2	41.2	85.5	+3.0	75%	25%
vs Weaker (7)	47.9	40.4	88.3	+7.4	71%	57%

This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sporting CP

#28

34-43

-9

A07/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Yambol

#13

42-33

A11/10

NBL

Esenler Erokspor

33-56

-23

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

CSKA Sofia

#10

60-34

+26

H17/10

NBL

Spartak Pleven

42-42

A25/10

NBL

SCM Craiova

#34

33-37

-4

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Lok. Plovdiv

45-39

H31/10

NBL

Kolossos Rhodes

#10

39-44

-5

H03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Polytechnica

#14

48-26

+22

A07/11

NBL

Sporting CP

#28

48-34

+14

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

81.2Avg total

42.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 87.5
Last 30 (30)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.2	60%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	46.2	42.0	88.2	+4.2	60%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	43.7	39.4	83.1	+4.3	60%	27%
Last 10 (10)	42.4	38.8	81.2	+3.6	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	42.6	36.0	78.6	+6.6	60%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.4	42.8	80.2	-5.4	20%	20%
vs Similar (4)	47.0	40.0	87.0	+7.0	75%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.8	39.5	86.2	+7.2	70%	30%

This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Beroe win

BERO win

no forecast

@ 3.05

RSP win

no forecast

@ 1.40

1st half Spread Beroe +4.5 · main lineActual: Beroe +4.5

BERO +4.5

no forecast

@ 2.00

RSP -4.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Over/Under 87.5 · main lineActual: Under 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 1.85

Beroe 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Beroe under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

Rilski Sportist 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Rilski Sportist under 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half: BERO + total 87.5

BERO & over

no forecast

@ 5.75

BERO & under

no forecast

@ 5.75

1st half: Draw + total 87.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: RSP + total 87.5

RSP & over

no forecast

@ 2.70

RSP & under

no forecast

@ 2.70

1st half Over/Under 86.25Actual: Under 86.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Beroe +3.5Actual: Beroe +3.5

BERO +3.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

RSP -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

1st half Spread Beroe +5.5Actual: Beroe +5.5

BERO +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

RSP -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 89.5Actual: Under 89.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Spread Beroe +2.5Actual: Beroe +2.5

BERO +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

RSP -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.55

1st half Spread Beroe +6.5Actual: Beroe +6.5

BERO +6.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

RSP -6.5

no forecast

@ 2.05

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Under 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.47

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rilski Sportist (regulation)

BERO

no forecast

@ 3.30

Draw

no forecast

@ 23.00

RSP

no forecast

@ 1.44

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.75
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.5	41.7	-3.3	27%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.9	40%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	23.3	40.9	-5.7	13%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.1	22.4	41.5	-3.3	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.7	23.9	42.6	-5.3	21%	42%
vs Similar (4)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	25%	25%
vs Weaker (7)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.1	43%	57%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 43.75
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.6	43%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.9	42.9	+1.0	47%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.3	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.8	41.5	-2.1	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.4	45.8	-5.0	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	23.2	39.4	-7.0	0%	40%
vs Similar (4)	23.2	22.8	46.0	+0.5	25%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	21.2	44.0	+1.7	60%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	21.3	22.5	43.7	-1.2	37%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.9	43.0	-0.7	40%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	23.1	44.5	-1.7	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.6	43.2	+0.0	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.9	23.6	44.5	-2.7	32%	42%
vs Similar (4)	23.2	21.5	44.8	+1.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (7)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	43%	43%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 44
Last 30 (30)	23.1	20.3	43.4	+2.8	63%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.4	43.1	+2.3	60%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	20.2	43.7	+3.3	67%	40%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	40%	20%
vs Similar (4)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.9	19.0	43.0	+4.9	75%	45%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	40.5	45.0	85.5	-4.5	27%	27%
Last 30 at home (15)	42.0	43.6	85.6	-1.6	33%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	46.3	85.3	-7.3	20%	20%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	44.0	84.7	-3.3	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.4	84.2	+3.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	39.6	47.5	87.1	-7.9	16%	37%
vs Similar (4)	44.2	41.8	86.0	+2.5	50%	0%
vs Weaker (7)	40.9	39.9	80.7	+1.0	43%	14%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 88
Last 30 (30)	44.7	42.6	87.3	+2.2	67%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	41.3	86.0	+3.3	73%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	44.8	43.8	88.6	+1.0	60%	47%
Last 10 (10)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.4	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	47.0	89.4	-4.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	43.8	80.8	-6.8	20%	20%
vs Similar (4)	44.8	46.2	91.0	-1.5	50%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	46.8	40.2	87.0	+6.6	85%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BERO win + total 176.5

🔒 Pro

RSP win + total 176.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BERO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: RSP leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BERO:RSP): BERO wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Beroe +16.5	77.9%	1.47	1xBet 1.47	-	-	-	-	+17.9pp	Won
Beroe +17.5	80.4%	1.40	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Beroe +15	74.6%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.56	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Won
Beroe +14.5	72.4%	1.46	Pinnacle 1.61	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Beroe +15.5	75.3%	1.45	Pinnacle 1.52	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Beroe +14	71.6%	1.50	Pinnacle 1.50	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Beroe +20.5	86.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Rilski Sportist under 98.5	75.4%	1.35	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Rilski Sportist under 97.5	72.2%	1.35	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 72.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 73.5	96.2%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Beroe over 73.5	83.8%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Under 191.5	83.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 74.5	95.3%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Beroe over 72.5	86.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Beroe under 102.5	95.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Under 186.5	75.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Beroe under 100.5	94.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Rilski Sportist +14.5	96.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Under 196.5	89.8%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Under 200.5	93.2%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 76.5	93.1%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Over 150.5	93.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Beroe over 76.5	75.5%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
Beroe over 74.5	81.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Beroe under 94.5	85.0%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Beroe under 98.5	91.8%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.8%	1.02	WilliamHill 1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Under 190.5	82.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Beroe under 93.5	82.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Under 195.5	88.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Rilski Sportist +9.5	92.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 78.5	90.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 151.5	92.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Beroe under 89.5	71.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Under 185.5	73.6%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Beroe under 96.5	88.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Beroe under 92.5	80.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Beroe over 77.5	72.3%	1.27	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Lost
Rilski Sportist over 80.5	86.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 155.5	88.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 82.5	81.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Lost
Beroe under 90.5	74.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Over 160.5	81.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Lost
Over 156.5	87.2%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.1pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 83.5	78.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Lost
Rilski Sportist (regulation)	73.2%	1.23	1xBet 1.23	Marathon Bet 1.23	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Rilski Sportist over 84.5	75.8%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Lost
Over 165.5	71.9%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Lost
Over 161.5	79.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Lost
Rilski Sportist +4.5	84.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Rilski Sportist win	75.6%	1.21	Betano 1.24	1xBet 1.23	Bet365 1.23	WilliamHill 1.22	BetVictor 1.22	-1.5pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀19%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

54%

26%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	25.6	54.5%	55.5%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	5.5	26.6%	29.8%	16.5
🏀 Free throws	25.0	19.0	76.0%	71.2%	19.0

They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game

54%

26%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	22.2	56.8%	55.5%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.0	32.1%	29.8%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	24.7	18.5	74.9%	71.2%	18.5

They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	24.8	60.2%	55.5%	49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.0	33.3%	29.8%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.6	70.8%	71.2%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	20.7	55.8%	55.5%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.1	36.1%	29.8%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	20.3	15.4	75.9%	71.2%	15.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.8	24.1	51.6%	55.5%	48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.3	6.1	28.5%	29.8%	18.2
🏀 Free throws	25.7	17.6	68.6%	71.2%	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	23.0	59.1%	55.5%	45.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.6	34.7%	29.8%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	24.5	18.1	73.6%	71.2%	18.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	24.0	59.6%	55.5%	48.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.1	33.5%	29.8%	24.2
🏀 Free throws	22.8	15.8	69.5%	71.2%	15.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	20.2	53.3%	55.5%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.4	32.3%	29.8%	25.3
🏀 Free throws	22.3	16.0	71.5%	71.2%	16.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Beroe

LWLLLLLLLW

Rilski Sportist

WWLWLLWLWL

#11

League position

-0.6

Net rating

+3.2

96.6

Offensive rating

100.6

97.1

Defensive rating

97.3

50.0%

Effective FG%

53.4%

56.4%

Opp. effective FG%

55.1%

14.7%

Turnover %

14.9%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.39

26.6%

3-point %

32.1%

62.7%

Assist %

62.3%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Beroe ■ Rilski Sportist

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Beroe wins

Rilski Sportist wins

Date	Game	Score
02/05/26	Beroe v Rilski Sportist	80-90
30/04/26	Rilski Sportist v Beroe	89-69
29/03/26	Beroe v Rilski Sportist	81-98
18/01/26	Rilski Sportist v Beroe	94-73
08/11/25	Beroe v Rilski Sportist	74-96
21/03/25	Rilski Sportist v Beroe	116-109 OT
05/01/25	Rilski Sportist v Beroe	95-83
26/10/24	Beroe v Rilski Sportist	66-111
13/01/24	Beroe v Rilski Sportist	70-82
05/11/23	Rilski Sportist v Beroe	86-82

Beroelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	A	Botev 2012	84-89
31/10/26	H	Polytechnica	99-58
23/10/26	A	Minyor	104-110
17/10/26	H	Lok. Plovdiv	95-98 OT
11/10/26	A	Botev Academic	86-90
02/05/26	H	Rilski Sportist	80-90
30/04/26	A	Rilski Sportist	69-89
20/04/26	H	Balkan	89-96
16/04/26	A	Cherno More	76-117
10/04/26	H	Levski	92-76

Rilski Sportistlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Sporting CP	86-76
07/11/26	A	Polytechnica	95-65
03/11/26	H	Kolossos Rhodes	70-92
31/10/26	H	Lok. Plovdiv	88-79
28/10/26	A	SCM Craiova	86-103
25/10/26	A	Spartak Pleven	70-86
17/10/26	H	CSKA Sofia	114-76
14/10/26	H	Esenler Erokspor	62-94
11/10/26	A	Yambol	96-64
07/10/26	A	Sporting CP	75-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	20%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	20%	50%	0%
Points / game	93.6	97.0	91.3
Allowed / game	89.0	78.0	96.3
Point differential	+4.6	+19.0	-5.0
Avg total	182.6	175.0	187.7
Over 176.5	40%	50%	33%
Win by 10+	20%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	20%	50%	0%

Rilski Sportist

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	92.6	101.0	87.0
Allowed / game	74.0	77.5	71.7
Point differential	+18.6	+23.5	+15.3
Avg total	166.6	178.5	158.7
Over 176.5	20%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Balkan	5	5	0	100%	89.4	71.6	+17.8
2	Minyor	5	5	0	100%	107.0	92.4	+14.6
3	Rilski Sportist	5	4	1	80%	92.6	74.0	+18.6
4	Lok. Plovdiv	5	4	1	80%	88.2	78.0	+10.2
5	Botev Academic	5	4	1	80%	91.0	82.6	+8.4
6	Shumen	5	4	1	80%	94.0	90.2	+3.8
7	Cherno More	5	3	2	60%	83.6	72.8	+10.8
8	Spartak Pleven	5	3	2	60%	82.4	76.8	+5.6
9	Beroe	5	1	4	20%	93.6	89.0	+4.6
10	Botev 2012	5	1	4	20%	78.8	91.4	-12.6
11	CSKA Sofia	5	1	4	20%	78.4	98.6	-20.2
12	Levski	5	0	5	0%	78.2	94.2	-16.0
13	Yambol	5	0	5	0%	72.2	92.0	-19.8
14	Polytechnica	5	0	5	0%	70.8	96.6	-25.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Beroe	14	22	23	17	76
Rilski Sportist	16	17	21	28	82

← all games of the day

Beroe vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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