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Bilbao vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-81
19-21 27-21 17-20 9-19
Position#26
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H10/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H12/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Madrid
#1
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
A19/09
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A27/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H03/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A11/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-19
26-20
26-15
22-17
15-20
13-26
27-23
22-21
24-20
13-16
28-24
19-18
13-22
12-10
13-11
21-23
26-27
16-23
20-20
19-25
24-28
34-30
21-15
17-22
8-16
16-18
29-25
17-18
16-21
17-26
14-17
19-22
28-12
22-26
30-21
18-33
23-19
23-16
17-20
164.6Avg total
81.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.383.3164.6-2.030%
Last 5 (5)83.287.8171.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.783.7155.3-12.00%
vs Similar (6)80.080.5160.5-0.533%
vs Weaker (20)79.969.0148.9+10.975%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Gaziantep
#11
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
17-10
11-14
18-21
25-20
17-15
25-13
15-24
16-12
20-21
21-12
20-17
19-15
17-18
29-12
20-9
29-22
20-14
9-16
21-22
24-20
20-15
14-12
34-8
17-17
7-22
18-9
13-11
24-13
22-20
24-25
27-22
30-19
24-18
14-21
20-20
24-14
20-19
22-21
23-24
147.4Avg total
80.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.067.4147.4+12.680%
Last 5 (5)84.270.0154.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.096.0162.0-30.00%
vs Similar (3)85.779.3165.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)83.568.0151.5+15.688%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +3.3+3.3
BilbaoKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/05
Primera FEB
Real Madrid
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A13/02
Spanish Cup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A19/09
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A27/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H03/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A11/10
ACB
81.4Avg total
39.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.277.8+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.737.678.4+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.738.777.4+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.242.281.4-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.281.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.043.076.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (6)37.843.281.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker (20)40.835.476.2+5.475%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#3
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Gaziantep
#11
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H27/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
74.3Avg total
40.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.134.076.1+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.133.075.1+9.181%-
Last 30 away (14)42.135.177.2+6.971%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.174.3+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.435.477.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.046.081.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (3)43.337.380.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.833.476.2+9.484%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.2
51.1%
52.7%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.2
35.0%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.6
72.0%
73.2%11.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.4
56.4%
52.7%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.0
40.9%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.018.0
75.0%
73.2%18.0
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWLLLLLWLW
Karsiyaka
WWWLWWWWWL
#26
League position
#10
-8.7
Net rating
+20.2
104.5
Offensive rating
113.1
113.2
Defensive rating
92.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
58.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.0%
3-point %
40.9%
58.8%
Assist %
73.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 113.1Defence113.2 · 92.9Shooting51.7% · 58.3%3-point %35.0% · 40.9%Ball care18.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds29.3% · 25.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Bilbao   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Karsiyaka wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20AJoventut Badalona81-88
03/10/20HObradoiro CAB99-81
27/09/20ABarcelona64-82
23/09/20HTenerife70-81
19/09/20AGran Canaria102-107 OT
13/02/20AReal Madrid83-93
19/05/19APalencia57-61
17/05/19APalencia87-81
12/05/19HPalencia77-86
10/05/19HPalencia93-73
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/20HDarussafaka89-78
17/10/20ATofas88-78
10/10/20HPetkim Spor97-80
03/10/20AGaziantep55-59
27/09/20HFethiye Bld.92-55
14/03/20AGalatasaray79-74
07/03/20HBahcesehir Kol.85-54
01/03/20ATurk Telekom77-62
27/02/20HGaziantep82-72
12/02/20ATurk Telekom56-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
Champions League 2020
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Karsiyaka
Champions League 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife110100%98.073.0+25.0
2 Peristeri110100%106.088.0+18.0
3 Dijon110100%91.079.0+12.0
4 Minsk220100%71.062.0+9.0
5 Sassari110100%93.084.0+9.0
6 Igokea220100%76.069.5+6.5
7 Turk Telekom110100%98.094.0+4.0
8 Basket Zaragoza110100%86.085.0+1.0
9 Bakken Bears32167%83.380.0+3.3
10 Keravnos32167%78.380.7-2.3
11 Donar Groningen21150%72.556.5+16.0
12 Sporting CP21150%74.074.0+0.0
13 Belfius Mons21150%76.077.5-1.5
14 Neptunas21150%68.071.0-3.0
15 Lublin1010%85.086.0-1.0
16 Iraklis1010%94.096.0-2.0
17 Hapoel Jerusalem1010%94.098.0-4.0
18 London Lions1010%73.077.0-4.0
19 Fribourg Olympic1010%78.084.0-6.0
20 Cluj Napoca1010%75.082.0-7.0
21 Balkan1010%65.073.0-8.0
22 Galatasaray1010%84.093.0-9.0
23 Anwil Wloclawek1010%69.081.0-12.0
24 Rytas1010%88.0106.0-18.0
25 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%71.091.0-20.0
26 BC Dnipro1010%53.088.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao192717972
Karsiyaka2121201981
← all games of the day
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