Bilbao vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 93-73

23-19 18-19 26-20 26-15

Position#2

Record24-10

FormWWLWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game69.3

Bilbao 🏆

Palencia

Position#9

Record19-15

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game79.1

Primera FEBLEB Oro - Quarter-finals

Other2018-19

Meetings · Bilbao v Palencia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Palencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bilbao

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iberojet Palma

45-67

-22

A10/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

93-75

+18

H17/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

76-52

+24

A19/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

76-74 OT

A24/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

88-59

+29

H31/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

82-70

+12

A06/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

62-59

H14/04

Primera FEB

Granada

70-72

-2

A21/04

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

93-62

+31

H26/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

84-76

A03/05

Primera FEB

12-22

16-15

7-10

10-20

22-27

24-11

19-23

28-14

18-7

23-12

19-15

16-18

13-22

20-14

13-9

18-19

21-15

27-14

20-14

20-16

18-16

15-21

21-16

28-17

23-14

13-18

14-22

12-5

20-23

23-19

14-14

13-16

24-17

24-16

19-10

26-19

12-11

29-21

25-22

18-22

143.5Avg total

76.9Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	77.2	69.3	146.5	+8.0	71%
Season at home (17)	82.2	69.3	151.5	+12.9	76%
Season away (17)	72.3	69.2	141.5	+3.1	65%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	66.6	143.5	+10.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.2	67.8	146.0	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	72.0	73.3	145.3	-1.3	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	78.7	67.0	145.7	+11.7	78%

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valladolid

80-76

A08/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

66-76

-10

H15/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

70-82

-12

A20/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

64-63

H24/03

Primera FEB

Bilbao

59-88

-29

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

70-76

-6

H05/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

94-82

+12

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

55-52

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

76-84

-8

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

60-73

-13

A03/05

Primera FEB

22-21

23-20

18-19

17-16

19-19

18-15

14-13

15-29

27-25

13-24

14-25

16-8

18-14

14-19

23-15

9-15

15-21

14-27

14-20

16-20

19-22

14-17

22-17

15-20

23-24

26-16

22-18

13-12

15-9

17-15

10-16

18-16

19-20

20-22

19-26

18-18

13-18

12-18

17-19

144.6Avg total

69.4Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	78.9	79.1	158.0	-0.2	56%
Season at home (17)	80.4	80.9	161.3	-0.5	53%
Season away (17)	77.4	77.4	154.8	+0.1	59%
Last 10 (10)	69.4	75.2	144.6	-5.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.0	73.4	144.4	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.1	84.8	159.9	-9.7	33%
vs Similar (14)	76.5	77.9	154.4	-1.4	50%
vs Weaker (7)	85.6	77.7	163.3	+7.9	71%

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BilbaoPalencia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.5	40.9	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	18.3	34.7	-2.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.2	35.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.0	23.1	40.1	-6.1	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.8	18.3	37.1	+0.6	57%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.2	38.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.0	18.7	41.7	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	16.5	36.3	+3.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	16.7	36.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.1	37.5	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.9	18.6	36.4	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.3	15.9	36.2	+4.4	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.7	37.6	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	18.5	36.7	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	19.3	35.9	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	21%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	14%	-

BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iberojet Palma

28-37

-9

A10/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

46-38

H17/03

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

41-19

+22

A19/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

33-36

-3

A24/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

48-29

+19

H31/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

33-37

-4

A06/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

36-32

H14/04

Primera FEB

Granada

43-42

A21/04

Primera FEB

Real Canoe

#15

48-33

+15

H26/04

Primera FEB

Barcelona B

#16

41-32

A03/05

Primera FEB

73.2Avg total

39.7Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	35.9	74.1	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	37.1	77.7	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	34.7	70.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.5	73.2	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	35.2	75.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	34.9	41.7	76.6	-6.9	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.1	34.2	73.3	+5.0	74%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valladolid

45-41

A08/03

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-34

H15/03

Primera FEB

Iberojet Palma

40-49

-9

A20/03

Primera FEB

Prat Joventut

#17

32-33

-1

H24/03

Primera FEB

Bilbao

29-48

-19

A31/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#14

33-39

-6

H05/04

Primera FEB

Araberri

#18

46-48

-2

A13/04

Primera FEB

Ourense

28-21

A21/04

Primera FEB

Melilla

37-36

H26/04

Primera FEB

Granada

31-36

-5

A03/05

Primera FEB

74.3Avg total

35.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	39.5	78.5	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	38.5	77.0	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	38.5	74.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	36.0	71.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.8	40.3	79.1	-1.6	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.4	39.1	77.5	-0.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	43%	-

This opponent (Bilbao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	15.0	33.9	+3.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	15.8	37.1	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	14.3	30.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	15.5	32.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.8	35.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.6	12.6	31.1	+6.0	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	18.9	15.8	34.7	+3.1	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.1	39.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.5	38.3	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	18.9	38.0	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.4	18.1	41.6	+5.3	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.2	36.9	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	15.3	36.2	+5.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	15.8	35.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.1	16.6	36.7	+3.5	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.7	37.8	-1.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	21.8	39.7	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	17.7	35.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.7	34.3	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.8	36.4	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.1	20.6	36.7	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.2	19.6	37.8	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	32.2	70.8	+6.4	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	31.1	73.3	+11.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	33.3	68.2	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	32.1	68.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	32.6	70.6	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	37.1	31.6	68.7	+5.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	39.0	32.4	71.4	+6.6	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.7	39.1	76.8	-1.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.4	40.9	79.3	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.6	36.7	70.3	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	37.4	73.4	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	33.8	41.4	75.2	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.3	38.5	75.8	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	43.6	37.1	80.7	+6.4	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	16.9	49.1%	51.8%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.3	35.0%	33.7%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	12.4	67.4%	73.6%	12.4

They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.4	52.3%	51.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	10.0	38.5%	33.7%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.9	76.8%	73.6%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	16.9	50.5%	51.8%	33.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.9	34.5%	33.7%	26.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.3	71.3%	73.6%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.1	18.7	55.0%	51.8%	37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.7	37.3%	33.7%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.8	16.5	75.7%	73.6%	16.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Bilbao wins

Palencia wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/19	Bilbao v Palencia	88-59
07/12/18	Palencia v Bilbao	78-71

Bilbaolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/19	A	Barcelona B	84-76
26/04/19	H	Real Canoe	93-62
21/04/19	A	Granada	70-72
14/04/19	H	Melilla	62-59
06/04/19	A	Ourense	82-70
31/03/19	H	Palencia	88-59
24/03/19	A	Caceres	76-74 OT
19/03/19	A	Araberri	76-52
17/03/19	H	Prat Joventut	93-75
10/03/19	A	Iberojet Palma	45-67

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/19	A	Granada	60-73
26/04/19	H	Melilla	76-84
21/04/19	A	Ourense	55-52
13/04/19	A	Araberri	94-82
05/04/19	H	Caceres	70-76
31/03/19	A	Bilbao	59-88
24/03/19	H	Prat Joventut	64-63
20/03/19	A	Iberojet Palma	70-82
15/03/19	H	Real Betis	66-76
08/03/19	A	Valladolid	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	WWWLW	65%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	71%	76%	65%
Points / game	77.2	82.2	72.3
Allowed / game	69.3	69.3	69.2
Point differential	+8.0	+12.9	+3.1
Avg total	146.5	151.5	141.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	53%	35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	33% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

Palencia

Primera FEB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	56%
Home	WLWLL	53%
Away	LLWWL	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	56%	53%	59%
Points / game	78.9	80.4	77.4
Allowed / game	79.1	80.9	77.4
Point differential	-0.2	-0.5	+0.1
Avg total	158.0	161.3	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	6%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	77% (13)	75% (8)	80% (5)
Overtime %	12%	24%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Betis	34	30	4	88%	82.2	73.1	+9.1
2	Bilbao	34	24	10	71%	77.2	69.3	+8.0
3	Iberojet Palma	34	22	12	65%	78.4	73.1	+5.2
4	Oviedo	35	22	13	63%	76.7	71.1	+5.5
5	Valladolid	35	21	14	60%	78.2	74.6	+3.6
6	Ourense	35	21	14	60%	74.5	71.2	+3.3
7	Melilla	35	21	14	60%	74.6	74.1	+0.5
8	Granada	34	20	14	59%	74.7	71.2	+3.5
9	Palencia	34	19	15	56%	78.9	79.1	-0.2
10	Huesca	34	18	16	53%	76.4	75.8	+0.6
11	Forca Lleida	34	16	18	47%	73.5	72.8	+0.6
12	Leyma Coruna	34	14	20	41%	76.4	77.6	-1.2
13	Castello	34	13	21	38%	75.5	77.8	-2.3
14	Caceres	34	11	23	32%	70.2	75.5	-5.3
15	Real Canoe	34	11	23	32%	68.3	77.9	-9.6
16	Barcelona B	34	9	25	26%	70.1	74.5	-4.4
17	Prat Joventut	34	9	25	26%	71.2	80.1	-8.9
18	Araberri	34	7	27	21%	74.0	82.4	-8.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Bilbao	23	18	26	26	93
Palencia	19	19	20	15	73

← all games of the day

Bilbao vs Palencia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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