PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 93-83
23-21 27-26 23-16 20-20
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Bilbao
Spain
Position#8
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainSpanish CupSpanish Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 94
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
79avg 94
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 94
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 94
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
82-80
82
80
+2
73avg 94
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
102-84
102
84
+18
99avg 94
A04/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
109-92
109
92
+17
105avg 94
H09/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
85-70
85
70
+15
83avg 94
A11/05
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
90-95
90
95
-5
no box
A17/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
W
94-75
94
75
+19
105avg 94
A19/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
23-18
13-23
22-17
31-24
24-24
15-22
33-16
22-27
19-18
20-19
24-19
19-24
25-16
25-25
29-21
23-22
30-18
25-20
29-23
25-31
20-10
22-22
16-24
27-14
22-18
23-25
28-22
17-30
24-16
14-24
31-23
25-12
170.0Avg total
89.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.880.2170.0+9.690%
Last 5 (5)96.083.2179.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.882.7169.5+4.250%
vs Weaker (23)87.578.2165.7+9.383%
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
88-59
88
59
+29
no box
H31/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#4
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A06/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
62-59
62
59
+3
no box
H14/04
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
A21/04
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#15
W
93-62
93
62
+31
no box
H26/04
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A03/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
no box
H10/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
H12/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
no box
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
no box
A19/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
27-14
20-14
20-16
18-16
15-21
21-16
28-17
23-14
13-18
14-22
12-5
20-23
23-19
14-14
13-16
24-17
24-16
19-10
26-19
12-11
29-21
25-22
18-22
23-19
18-19
26-20
26-15
22-17
15-20
13-26
27-23
22-21
24-20
13-16
28-24
19-18
13-22
12-10
13-11
149.2Avg total
79.3Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.369.9149.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)79.675.4155.0+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)69.873.8143.5-4.025%
vs Weaker (26)78.868.4147.2+10.473%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +4.3+4.3
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/04
ACB
Murcia
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/05
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H09/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/05
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A19/05
Euroleague
80.1Avg total
42.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.281.5+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.183.7+3.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.138.379.3+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.980.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.884.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.040.782.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (23)42.139.081.1+3.161%-
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H31/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/04
Primera FEB
Melilla
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H14/04
Primera FEB
Granada
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/04
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H26/04
Primera FEB
Barcelona B
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A03/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A17/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/05
Primera FEB
76.6Avg total
40.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.375.0+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.936.877.7+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)36.735.772.4+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.176.6+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.677.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.243.077.2-8.825%-
vs Weaker (26)39.535.274.7+4.269%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.520.8
60.3%
-41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.5
38.2%
-31.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.5
75.2%
-15.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
-33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.3
35.0%
-27.9
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
-12.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Feb 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWW
Bilbao
LWLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#8
+12.3
Net rating
-10.6
118.0
Offensive rating
103.4
105.7
Defensive rating
114.0
59.0%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.2%
3-point %
35.0%
60.1%
Assist %
55.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
29/11/15Bilbao v Real Madrid92-99
26/04/15Real Madrid v Bilbao78-52
14/12/14Bilbao v Real Madrid89-79
23/03/14Bilbao v Real Madrid73-87
03/11/13Real Madrid v Bilbao92-75
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19AFenerbahce94-75
17/05/19ACSKA Moscow90-95
11/05/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza85-70
09/05/19HEstudiantes109-92
04/05/19ASan Pablo Burgos102-84
02/05/19AMurcia82-80
27/04/19HBreogan94-89
23/04/19APanathinaikos89-82
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19APalencia57-61
17/05/19APalencia87-81
12/05/19HPalencia77-86
10/05/19HPalencia93-73
03/05/19ABarcelona B84-76
26/04/19HReal Canoe93-62
21/04/19AGranada70-72
14/04/19HMelilla62-59
06/04/19AOurense82-70
31/03/19HPalencia88-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Spanish Cup 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bilbao
Spanish Cup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia110100%82.078.0+4.0
2 Barcelona1010%78.082.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2327232093
Bilbao2126162083
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.